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therationalroot
therationalroot@nostr.directory
npub1r00t...sqe8
#Bitcoin on-chain & cycle analysis. Signal only. Follow the carrot down the rabbit hole.
The current rally — over 0.5 standard deviations from the short-term holder cost basis — is comparable to other pre-halving rallies (marked by blue arrows). #Bitcoin 🧵 image
Once again, #Bitcoin back at fair value preceding the Halving. 🧵 image
The setup for current price level is a lot different from the previous bull market (end of 2020). #Bitcoin image
38k level, in terms of standard deviations, is the same as in March and April earlier this year. #Bitcoin image
Monitoring Binance, ✅. "Concerns about market manipulation have historically hindered [an ETF] approval. The SEC's requirements for robust market surveillance remain a significant hurdle…With Binance facing legal challenges and lawsuits by the SEC and accounting for a substantial trading volume..." — Last week's Bitcoin Strategy newsletter. 👇
69%, an all-time high, of the Bitcoin supply hasn't been active for over a year. 🙌 image
I am thrilled to share with you a deep dive into the best #Bitcoin charts, several animated! 🔥 Topics discussed: -Market Edge: On-chain Analysis -Bitcoin Cheat Sheet: the Psychology of the Market -The 4-Year Cycle: Where do we stand? -Supply Distribution: Resistance levels -ATH in LTH Supply and Cost Basis insights -HODL’er behavior: Illiquid vs. LTH Supply -inflection point at 3rd Halving -Available Supply & Paper Bitcoin A big shoutout to @Kellykellam from BitLab Academy for hosting this! Link to full interview here: 👉 image
HODL'er behavior is very similar to previous cycles! Looking at the change of the Long-Term Holder cost basis on a 90-day basis, which gives us a macro signal, their cost basis is rising. image