Andrew M. Bailey's avatar
Andrew M. Bailey
resistancemoney@resistance.money
npub1yezu...awc7
I’m here to chew bubblegum and talk about bitcoin and I’m all out of bitcoin
This podcast was special — both because I consider the Crypto Critics Corner fellas friends, and because we were able to dig into a few points of substantive disagreement. That said three of my mistakes require correction: 1. Sliding between which kind of miracle bitcoin's origin is alleged to exemplify (virgin birth and immaculate conception) 2. Failing to be precise about soft vs. hard forks 3. Wrong date on Patrick McKenzie interview with Tyler Cowen I’m still mulling over whether the house flipping analogy works in the case of speculators and bitcoin. Episode: Video:
For too long, academia has polluted journalism and policy with misinformation about bitcoin. Thanks to the Bitcoin Amsterdam organizers, for having @Bradley Rettler, @Craig Warmke and me on stage to talk about how to fix this problem!
Best conference swag bag. As for the Global Bitcoin Summit itself, I can scarcely put into words what I felt there. Not the fear and greed one often finds at such events, but instead: faith, hope, and love. Onwards. image
Arch-conservatives and utopian socialists make the same mistake. They have a vision for society; people are tools for carrying it out. There are exactly three known cures: (i) suffering under the boot, (ii) Hayek '45 — and (iii) this curious little poem by D. Friedman. image
Cash is good. Bring back supernotes, and in bigger denominations — $500, $1,000, even $10,000. But for better financial privacy, we need supercoins too, without serial numbers. This is perhaps my most unusual money policy stance: the US should mint $100 and $1,000 coins.
immediately implementing a jubilee: closing all browser tabs, marking all messages as read, restarting laptop It is good to be free.
There are some very bad objections to the idea of a strategic bitcoin reserve on the part of the US Federal Government. For example: 1. Bitcoin is bad for the world (false; our best science shows that, on net, bitcoin is good) 2. Bitcoin isn't valuable (false; bitcoin is precious, and useful) 3. Buying or holding bitcoin undermines American values and empowers foreign adversaries (false; bitcoin embodies American values, and a huge chunk of bitcoin is held by Americans) 4. Buying or holding bitcoin weakens the American dollar (this one is complicated, and depends on what it means to 'weaken' the dollar, and how the reserve strategy is actually implemented) 5. People only like the strategic reserve idea because it pumps their bitcoin bags (this one is very psychologically important -- but irrelevant to the merits of the policy as such) Following are some other objections that strike me as more sensible. What do you think? What are the best replies to these objections? Are there other sensible objections I'm missing? 6. A bitcoin-stockpiling strategy gives the state more incentive to seize bitcoin 7. The state should be neutral between asset classes and assets within them; to hold or buy bitcoin is to pick a winner 8. Massive state holdings confer powers in contentious fork wars that the state shouldn't have (e.g., to massively sell off the more freedom- or privacy-oriented side of a hard fork, and thus move markets in that direction) 9. A sovereign wealth fund should aim at yield-bearing assets to displace taxes or debt, but bitcoin doesn't offer any yield 10. Policy should be neutral about a 'number go up' thesis; but stockpiling bitcoin is pretty plainly a bet on that thesis 11. Impoverished and indebted governments should pay down debts rather than acquire assets
I’m putting together a strategic bitcoin reserve — a stockpile if you will. image
You know what doesn't shut down when Windows goes haywire? Cash. Today is a good day to act accordingly.
Everything you say in public will be recorded and remembered forever. We are all surveilled by the future, more so than even Caesars and prophets of old. Your great-grandchildren will judge you for any intellectual dishonesty. Act accordingly.