Vance's avatar
Vance
vance@buildtall.com
npub1xg73...9d2x
I record people telling their life stories. Most of my clients are farm families. I have a podcast: The Ag Tribes Report
Ok Nostr what are your predictions for 2025? I’ll go first: Drones attack happens on US soil. Multiple people killed. Satellite or orbital warfare becomes a recognized theater of war. (We will see countries blow things up from satellites) Bitcoin price rips above $300,000. G7 country announces national bitcoin mining project- BTC becomes publicly used as cross-border payment settlement. A dozen large eggs costs more than $7.00 for some period of time in several major metropolitan areas. USDA will relinquish some control on building local beef slaughter facilities, it will take 3+ years for the effects to be seen. Beef prices rise by 30% during 2025 FDA, FBI department of education have workforce reduced by 30% Diddy and Epstein files released; billions of dollars of star equity evaporates over night. The rise of conservative movie production houses. US deportations of illegal migrants causes the left to assert Federalist perspectives to thwart deportation efforts - states rights becomes mainstream democrat talking point Canada elects Pierre Poilievre, repeals gasoline carbon tax and makes deal for US trade. Mainstream news will distance itself from the concept of climate change. New threat will be given a name and elevated as the challenge of humanity. Africa will develop energy infrastructure, more than doubling capacity. Most will be purchased by bitcoin mining companies. Europe has several large scale terrorism experiences with Muslim migrants killing Europeans. Deportation becomes more popular. Bird flu gets a lot of hype. Doesn’t live up to COVID.
Bullshit comment censoring- Spotify protecting my listeners image
What was the first time you realized you were in the flow state? I’ll go first: making an excel spreadsheet. image
American Airlines just grounded all flights due to system wide failure.
Something anti-GMO activists never realized: Monsanto benefited tremendously from all the protests and rabble rousing. Every time their protests made a government bureaucrat or politician nervous, Monsanto would just say “if it will make everyone more comfortable we will add some more tests, paperwork and years of field trials… it will costs us $10M per year and we’re willing to add 3 more years… All they were doing was building a giant regulatory moat around them. Sure it cost $30M more but those rules applied to everyone. So all new entrants would have to pay $130M to get anything new through… So Monsanto could go to young snappy startups and say “we see you won’t be able to get through regulations- what if you sold your company/tech to us…” All the regulation forced mergers so that there were eventually only 6 seed companies and now only 4 and only one (corteva) is owned as a US company.
It used to be “save your pennies” but that became a joke due to inflation. But I will teach my kids to save their satoshis that lesson will have deep meaning and value.
I need to follow some good accounts. Who is someone I wouldn’t find on my own…?
One thing not discussed: the bureaucracy of the US government is run by unmarried men and women. When a young person goes to DC, finally meets someone and has children, they can’t afford to live in DC, the commute from outside the city become onerous so to avoid divorce they move to other cities and take different jobs. However gay men and career women- don’t have the constraints of marriage and children. So they stay in DC, earn high income and continue to get promoted. So the upper levels of the bureaucracy they are disproportionately represented. These are the staffers and upper level management that essentially run the US system. When they leave government they also go into trade organizations- and become lobbiests. It has a profound impact on the point of view of the bureaucracy.
Christmas ham is an interesting part of Christianity. All other major religions have restrictions on pork- but the Christians have it as a centerpiece of their holiest days. Also back when we pasture raised hogs, late November is a good time to harvest and by Christmas the curing would be perfect.
I used to work for Monsanto. I have a relatively strong understanding of the issues in agriculture that keep the system from changing. I’d like to have a sophisticated discussion here about it.
I’ve been gone for a while. Interested to see how things have gone.
What is the best resource to introduce someone to Austrian economics?
Nostr- this is the kind of farmer we need to bring into the Bitcoin community. He knows big scale agriculture but is creating systems for backyard chickens and pasture raised livestock inside the rows of corn.