Good afternoon #nostr, living free in Surf City 2, El Salvador Buenas tardes, viviendo libre en Surf City 2, El Salvador #PlayaLaVentana

In 2021 I had a significant portion of my family’s stack seeking yield on Blockfi and Gemini Earn because I thought I was late and felt compelled to “catch up.” Was lucky to pull out when something simply didn’t feel right, and that experience of flying too close to the sun meaningfully shaped the Bitcoin maximalist I am today. Not your keys, not your coins

Bitcoin @ Block Ht. 879,987: Weekly Typical Price = $98,898 200W VWAP = $38,556 Subsidy Era 5 VWAP = $74,304 4-year Annualized Return = 31% Current Heat Index = 79 Heat Index 0 price = $24,614 Heat Index 50 price = $60,738 Heat Index 100 price = $319,335

Onto baseball season. Let’s go O’s

Forever rent-free #ravensflock

Safe space, what signposts have you missed or ignored over the years that’s caused you to have less #bitcoin than you could have?

Looking back at my #Bitcoin maxi journey, it took way too many signposts from the Universe for me to build the type of conviction I have today… Shortly dated a girl in college that was CPU mining in late 2009 Best man transacted on Silk Road and at one point held 10k+ coins Married a Salvadoreña 5 years before El Salvador adopted Bitcoin as national currency Assigned a new-hire engineer in 2019 who somehow got me to read The Bitcoin Standard in the depths of the bear market while I was a Buffett fanboy Hit $100k for the first time on my 36th birthday, which marked three full zodiac cycles

That ribeye was soul nourishing.

#Bitcoin Auto-DCA execution price the past four nights: $94,978 $94,877 $94,764 $94,798 Came for volatility, stayed for a stablecoin 😆

Bitcoin @ Block Ht. 879,008: Weekly Typical Price = $96,157 200W VWAP = $38,365 Subsidy Era 5 VWAP = $73,477 Current Heat Index = 79 Heat Index 0 price = $24,492 Heat Index 50 price = $60,430 Heat Index 100 price = $317,753

Embrace the suck, do hard things. View quoted note →

🕯️ 🕯️ 🕯️ 🕯️ 🕯️ 🕯️ GO 🕯️ 🕯️ BRONCOS 🕯️ 🕯️ GO 🕯️ 🕯️ 🕯️ 🕯️ 🕯️ 🕯️

Those who’ve been in #Bitcoin long enough understand that we are all part of the greatest accumulation race in human history. At the same time, Bitcoin’s short history has shown that patience is often rewarded and if you simply played the game by always being on zero fiat, you would have ended up leaving a significant sum of sats on the table. This is why as a Bitcoiner with a strong desire to not try and time pico tops or get shaken out at the bottom, holding some fiat and scaling up and down my DCA according to Bitcoin’s relative expensiveness has made the most sense for me. My preferred measure of Bitcoin’s relative expensiveness is what I refer to as Bitcoin’s Heat Index. It is a measure of Bitcoin’s weekly typical price (avg. of high, low, and closing) relative to its 200-week volume weighted average price (200W VWAP). In this measure, the 200W VWAP can be thought of as the long-term hodler’s average price, or a proxy for a potential price floor. A Heat Index of zero implies that Bitcoin’s weekly typical price has never been lower in its history relative its 200W VWAP, and conversely a heat index of 100 implies that Bitcoin’s typical price has never been higher in its history relative to its 200W VWAP. The simple strategy is for my DCA to scale lower as Heat Index goes up, and scale higher as Heat Index goes down. Instead of using some sort of log regression, power law, or stock to flow model which I find to be dubious at best in terms of ability to understand near-term expensiveness of current price, this strategy also does not even attempt to project price into the future. It utilizes Bitcoin’s dampening volatility and historical price data to set lower and upper bounds for current price, and then measures what percent of the time the ratio of Price/200W VWAP is higher or lower than the current one, to determine Bitcoin’s relative expensiveness.

There’s a special place in hell for the self-dubbed gurus on X that are publicly bearish, steer their subscribers to go long, and then qualify that their content is for entertainment only. Drain the swamp already

Stacking with @River

Goals so far for 2025: Stack some #Bitcoin every single day, no exceptions. Simple but historically easier said than done for me. Reach 1,250 miles running while incorporating strength training (hit 1,000 miles en route to dropping 37 lbs and getting under 20% body fat in 2024)

Bitcoin weekly price metrics, January 5, 2025 (Block Ht. 878,012): Weekly Typical Price = $96,198 200W VWAP = $38,236 Current Epoch VWAP = $72,821 Current Heat Index = 79 Heat Index 0 price = $24,409 Heat Index 50 price = $60,214 Heat Index 100 price = $316,683 Pi Cycle Top Ratio = 0.61

When family, friends, coworkers tell me they’re late to #Bitcoin, I tell them I was late to $1,000 bitcoin when I smash bought my first sats at $3,800

Bitcoin crossed… 100k sats per USD in 2013 10k sats per USD in 2017 1k sats per USD in 2024 Cent-sat parity is coming sooner than any of us can imagine, and I’m absolutely not ready for it. Must. Stack. Harder.

Nostr newb here - really dig the vibe. Wasn’t there for it, but imagining this is what pre-$1,000 Bitcoin Twitter felt like