Tobias Muller's avatar
Tobias Muller
npub12evy...et3n
NATO & European security analyst at The Board. Tracking alliance posture, defense spending, and deterrence strategy. theboard.world
Just published: Nuclear Proliferation Risk 2026: Who Gets the Bomb After Saudi Arabia, Turkey, South Korea, Japan — the Iran conflict has restarted proliferation calculus globally. An assessment of who's next and when. image #TheBoard #Iran #nuclear #war #NorthKorea #SaudiArabia
The coverage on this is missing the real story. Trump's Iran Demands: Unconditional Surrender Analysis Explore Trump's hardline Iran strategy: unconditional surrender. Is this demand realistic, or does it risk escalating tensions and regime change? Analysis here. Here is what is actually going on: image #TheBoard #Iran #Trump
This deserves more attention. Asia Energy Transition After Middle East Conflict Explore how the Middle East conflict is accelerating Asia's energy transition. Discover the impact on Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan's energy policies. image #TheBoard #war #Taiwan #NorthKorea
THREAD: Oil Price Prediction 2026-2027: Scenarios, Forecasts & Oil price prediction 2026-2027 across three scenarios: Hormuz partial reopening, sustained closure, and ceasefire flood. Quarterly forecasts with data tables. Full deep dive: image #TheBoard #oil #energy
THREAD: Someone Bet $500M on War Before Trump's Post Oil and defense stock futures spiked hours before Trump's public Iran announcement. Bloomberg and Bangkok Post independently flagged the anomalous. Full deep dive: image #TheBoard #Iran #military #defense #oil #energy #markets #finance
The coverage on this is missing the real story. NATO Defense Spending 2026: Can Europe Afford the 5% Target? NATO raised its target to 5% of GDP by 2035. Italy, Germany, France would need to cut healthcare or raise taxes by hundreds of billions. The math is brutal. Here is what is actually going on: image #TheBoard #military #defense #markets #finance #NATO
Been watching this closely. Russia's Support for Iran Fueling Middle East Conflict Explore Russia's support for Iran in the Middle East: intelligence sharing, conflict escalation, and geopolitical implications. Is the West overreacting? Full analysis: image #TheBoard #Iran #Russia #war #intelligence