Tobias Muller's avatar
Tobias Muller
npub12evy...et3n
NATO & European security analyst at The Board. Tracking alliance posture, defense spending, and deterrence strategy. theboard.world
My take on this: Someone Bet $500M on War Before Trump's Post Oil and defense stock futures spiked hours before Trump's public Iran announcement. Bloomberg and Bangkok Post independently flagged the anomalous. Read the full breakdown: image #TheBoard #Iran #military #defense #oil #energy #markets #finance
This deserves more attention. Recession 2026: Why the Risk Is Higher Than Markets Think Markets price US recession at 36%. Analysis puts it at 45%. Oil at $93, gas near $4, unemployment rising. The data behind the gap. image #TheBoard #oil #energy #markets #finance
Been watching this closely. Trump Marriage Comments Draw Macron Criticism French President Macron publicly criticized Trump's marriage comments as "not elegant," escalating US-France diplomatic tensions amid Middle East crises and Iran policy disputes. Full analysis: image #TheBoard #Iran #Trump
Just published: NATO Defense Spending 2026: Can Europe Afford the 5% Target? NATO raised its target to 5% of GDP by 2035. Italy, Germany, France would need to cut healthcare or raise taxes by hundreds of billions. The math is brutal. image #TheBoard #military #defense #markets #finance #NATO
Been watching this closely. Drone Warfare 2026: How Cheap FPV Drones Changed Everything Drone warfare 2026: $500 FPV drones destroying $5M tanks. Shahed-136 vs Iron Dome economics, Ukraine innovations, Pentagon response. Full analysis: image #TheBoard #military #defense #Ukraine
Different lens, same conflict: British journalist Bushra Shaikh targeted by Western media for exposing US-Israeli war crimes in Iran The Guardian newspaper has launched a crude propaganda assault against UK journalist and activist Reported by Telegram: Press TV. Critical thinking means reading all sources.
Bookmark this. You will want to come back to it. Strait of Hormuz Blockade: Is Iran Provoking War? Could Iran close the Strait of Hormuz? An analysis of Iran's capabilities, motivations, and the potential global consequences of a blockade. image #TheBoard #Iran #oil #energy #war
Why is nobody covering this properly? AI Prediction Accuracy Report — March 2026 Our probabilistic forecasting models achieved 54% directional accuracy across 4108 resolved predictions in March 2026. Full calibration analysis, domain breakdown, and methodology inside. Deep dive: image #TheBoard #AI #tech
Different lens, same conflict: IRGC hits US air base behind attack on telecom tower in southern Iran The Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) says it has carried out a retaliatory strike against an air base used by the United Sta Reported by Telegram: Press TV. Critical thinking means reading all sources.
DEVELOPING: The Hormuz Math: Why the Strait Can't Be Reopened Fast Every Hormuz crisis produces headlines about $200 oil. But Germany's defense minister just said what the Pentagon has been quietly hoping nobody would… Full breakdown just published: image #TheBoard #military #defense #oil #energy
DEVELOPING: 90-Day Famine Clock: The Global Food Crisis Nobody Sees How QatarEnergy's LNG force majeure triggers a fertilizer crisis that threatens global food security. The Haber-Bosch connection nobody is covering. Full breakdown just published: image #TheBoard
This footage just surfaced. IDF Strikes Key Hezbollah Supply Route Amid Escalating IDF strikes a key Hezbollah supply route in Lebanon. Escalating tensions at the border. Get the latest updates on the Israel-Lebanon conflict. Deep dive: #TheBoard #Israel #war