Taiwan is next.
-Taiwan has just realised that there is zero need for an invasion, an oil blockade would bring them to their knees.
-China has just realised that the US is unable to protect GCC allies with 100+ bases in the region. Are they going to protect Taiwan from Japan?
-NATO is more divided than ever. If they won't fight over Iran, there's no way that they would over Taiwan.
-US assets are now concentrated in the Persian Gulf and will be offline for operations in East Asia for at least 6 months.
-China has provided Iran with ISR, satellite data for missile targeting. (As we suspected - confirmed today by FT).
-Cheng Li-wun meets Xi Jinping.
-Pedro Sánchez, Spain's PM, is reported to have pledged support for Taiwan reunification to Xi in recent visit.
==> China has a very rare window to get this done peacefully within 1 year. No invasion needed.
Interesting Scott Ritter theory in this video:
https://www.youtube.com/live/Zi5nNHNiYuU
The deal is already done. Trump is just maneouvering to take credit.
I'd love to believe it's true. It would finally stop this war.
I can imagine so many worse ways that this could end.
#Iran
Iran negotiators should have offered to end their nuclear programme... in exchange for Israel ending theirs.
With the same international inspection regime for both.
Ah, the double blockade. A classic from Caesar's siege of Alesia and a thousand other historical scenarios.
The problem is that it tends to be good for starving out an opponent... not for a quick resolution.
Oil consumers should be trembling right now.