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LogicallyMinded
npub1s0fs...rqf5
Crypto trader. Independent thinker diligently working to move the Overton window closer to the truth. Advocate for decentralized governance models and freedom tech. Banned from Twitter for denouncing the vax pass. Don’t follow if you can’t handle the truth! XMR: 88RzWHVvdifJHwf1nsfVBrLYm8D5hFUcWHMtPK8F3TkzLLe2rqHkfNAUBQ2dSU1tTQenfSoXtqnxSMNiCaMekZ6wUMWtgnB
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LogicallyMinded 4 months ago
Is #Qubic’s attack strengthening the cas for #Monero to migrate to hybrid PoW/PoS? Although far to be a total victory, Qubic’s merge mining attack on Monero shedded light on a weakness for pure PoW blockchains. Indeed, merge mining enables an auxiliary chain to incentivize the concentration of the hashpower in exchange of extra rewards. In the case of Qubic, the flaw is more apparent as Qubic has been intentionally adversarial but the same issue would remain for other non-adversarial auxiliary chains such as #Tari or #DarkFi. Because of the extra rewards offered, it would be rational for economically motivated miners to direct their hashpower to those auxiliary chains, hence concentrating hashpower over time. Maybe some smart brains will figure out a solution that would prohibit merge mine on a pure PoW blockchain but assuming this can’t be done, a PoW/PoS mechanism could be an alternative solution. It’s exactly because of security concerns that some PoW blockchains have moved to a hybrid PoW/PoS model. #eCash (a fork of BCH by Amaury Sechet, the founder of BCH), has moved to a hybrid PoW/PoS (Nakamoto+Avalanche consensus) to prevent 51% attacks on the network and improve the user experience (sub 3 seconds finality). The goal of eCash is to be the best form of digital cash which requires fast finality. Still in the case of eCash, it can be debated whether or not digital cash with optional privacy can be the best form of cash (to most Monero folks, the answer would be no). Another example is Boolberry that was relaunched as #Zano with the migration from pure PoW to a hybrid PoW/PoS chain. Here again, security concerns motivated the transition. On the user experience front, Zano also benefited from the integration of PoS by offering faster transaction finality. Notably, it’s likely why Aaron Day chose Zano over Monero for the launch of his point-of-sales system as long finality times aren’t acceptable for in-person merchant payments. It’s questionable whether Zano is secured enough with PoS as the coin distribution was heavily influenced by the Boolberry premine, but this is not an issue that Monero would have. Due to its fair launch, focus on medium-of-exchange and lack of supply held on exchanges (thanks to the delistings) Monero is really well positioned to augment its consensus with PoS without fearing attacks related to the concentration of #XMR in the hands of a few. PoS presents the advantage to lower the barrier to entry to participate in the consensus and earn a share of the coin emission. It should make the network more resilient to the attack of a small actor (let’s be honest, Qubic is a small actor). Plus some PoS consensus such as Avalanche can allow for a high degree of coin concentration without risking the network of being attacked. Even with a classic PoS consensus, Monero would certainly be one of the most secure PoS chain out there. In addition, PoS would enable faster transaction finality which is a key feature Monero lacks to be the best digital cash possible. That said, PoW still has its importance for Monero. In pure PoS blockchains, a new validator joining the network needs to connect to a set of trusted validators to load the blockchain history. Those are usually maintain by the core teams or foundation. The real utility of PoW is to enable a new validator to bootstrap the blockchain in a trustless manner (by seeking the chain with the most work rather than trusting a given set of validators). Hence a PoW/PoS model is preferable to a pure PoS model. It’s no secret that the culture of the Monero community is generally opposed to PoS. Maybe this strong stance is slightly ideologically driven. We certainly can be proud of being one of the few respected PoW blockchain left out there but maybe this Qubic event will change the narrative. Whichever path Monero takes next, hopefully the chain will gain in resiliency.
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LogicallyMinded 5 months ago
This is the future of centralized services on the internet. You will be required to #KYC to simply watch videos on YouTube like in the UK and you won’t be able to bypass the restrictions using a VPN. The sooner we start adopting decentralized services such as #nostr the freer the internet will be kept. image
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LogicallyMinded 5 months ago
The presence of the third interstellar object #3IAtlas ever detected in our solar system is probably one of the biggest story to keep an eye on in the coming months. This object presents a set of characteristics that makes the base hypothesis regarding its nature (comet) somewhat suspicious. #AviLoeb even suggested the alternative hypothesis that it could be an alien craft with potential hostile intent. In the meantime, I have not seen any thorough debunking of Loeb’s calculation and hypothesis. A lot of the #UFO researchers are pretty silent on this event. Mainstream journalist specialized on the UFO subject, #RossCoulthart, even minimized the importance that 3I/Atlas could represent. Some people have indicated that it is known for many years that this object would pass in our solar system. If that’s true and if indeed, this object is artificial, it could explain the ramp-up we’ve seen over the last decade or so in the mainstream media and by the U.S. government to address the UFO topic. The heated debate over whether or not the #deepstate may stage an #alien invasion is also gain in relevance in light of the recent observations. Is AI/Atlas nothing more than a natural object that goes against the odds? If not, what would be its mission? Could the humanity be on the verge of a major interstellar threat? If that is the case, who would have an interest in covering up this threat and why? #UFOs #Aliens #Astronomy
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LogicallyMinded 5 months ago
Thanks to the implementation of sublinear staking, the #Idena network finally got rid of the human farms. This means that currently the network runs a set of validators (153 as of now) that are all unique humans and all have equal voting power (for block production, verification and oracles). This demonstrates a level of decentralization that is not seen in classic Proof-of-Stake or Proof-of-Work #blockchain. At current price, $3,600 worth of #iDNA is distributed monthly to the network participants (420 as of now). Those rewards are distributed based on the participants’ stake amount in a way that small stakers earn less than high stakers but benefit from a higher APY. This mechanism prevents the coins supply from being concentrated in the hands of whales over time. Overall #ProofOfPersonhood is a novel and promising approach that is showing some success. Something worth looking into if you are a decentralization maxi. #Crypto #IdenaNetwork
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LogicallyMinded 5 months ago
The number of active users on #nostr has been dropping for the past six months. IMO, a big factor for this drop is the lack of algo to prioritize and personalize high value content. Without content prioritization, content creators can’t make it to this game unless they regularly post new content which has the perverse effect to flood users’ timeline with less valuable content. I don’t know how technically feasible it is for Nostr to implement content prioritization algos (it doesn’t seem so straightforward) but I’m afraid that without this feature, Nostr growth is doomed. image
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LogicallyMinded 5 months ago
#Bitcoin price forecast update: Below are the two paths for #BTC that I see as the most likely. Path 1: The typical 4-year cycle. This path would send Bitcoin to around $135k in the next weeks/months and would be followed by about 200 days of sideway consolidation. A final leg up to around $150k in around May 2026 would mark the top for this bull cycle. Path 2: The extended supercycle. This path would send Bitcoin upward to around $220k by the mid-year next year. This move would be follow by close to 400-500 days of sideway consolidation. A final leg up to around $250k in 2028 would mark the top for this bull cycle. The key area to watch for is the resistance line (white line) drawn from the tops of the current cycle. Reaction at this inflection point is likely to determine which path Bitcoin will take. If Bitcoin fails to break above on the next leg up, then path 2 will be favored. If it convincingly breaks above then, the supercycle scenario will be at play. As always many alternative scenarios are possible including a deeper retracement or more consolidation in the current range before the next leg up. Those can take place and still keep the character of these two paths possible. #Trading #Tradestr image View quoted note →
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LogicallyMinded 5 months ago
#Bitcoin hasn’t seen a significant pullback over the weekend. The pullback may still happen next week but it’s now more likely that we trade higher without seeing a pullback. #BTC #Trading #Tradestr View quoted note →
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LogicallyMinded 5 months ago
There is the potential for a short term pullback here on #BTC. If it happens, we need to remain above $107k and Ideally $111K to maintain the impulsive structure. Also if $117K is breached, I’d like to see this level being quickly reclaimed for more continuation upward. #Bitcoin #Trading #Tradestr View quoted note →
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LogicallyMinded 5 months ago
#nostr / @Damus UX has been horrendous in the last weeks. None of the new replies/note interactions show in the tab for new notifications. The only way to see new replies is for me to go check all my recent notes for new notifications. This wasn’t the case before… What has changed? I know maybe using less relays may fix the issue, but that’s not a great trade off and if some relays are the cause, I have no easy way to troubleshoot which relays these are.
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LogicallyMinded 5 months ago
The bear path has just been invalidated. It’s full bull mode on for #Bitcoin! The higher high/higher low structure that has been formed on the breakout should be maintained in order to for the bull path below to play out. If it were to break, I think an alternative path would still be bullish although less. #BTC #Trading #Tradestr View quoted note →
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LogicallyMinded 5 months ago
In short, #Bitcoin is at a crossroad. I would say that the bear scenario is the path of least resistance but it’s also the one that is the closest to be invalidated (only 2% away). Now it’s time for the bulls to follow-through this week breakout. The longer they fail to push #BTC price upward, the more likely the top would have been put in with this last impulse. It’s still possible to see a deep pullback (below $111K) and resume the uptrend, but the deeper and longer this pullback is, the less likely the uptrend will resume for this cycle. #Trading #Tradestr View quoted note →
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LogicallyMinded 5 months ago
#Bitcoin price forecast update: Although Bitcoin has seen a nice breakout to ATH, it needs to do a bit more work to fully invalidate the bearish path and prevent this breakout from turning into a nasty bull trap. Path 1 🐻 : The bearish path remains possible as long as $121,100 isn’t crossed. The bulls couldn’t quite get there on the last impulse. Not crossing this level in the next month or so would make the bear path more likely. The path 1 could take a multitude of shapes but I drew what I think would be the most likely which is a slow sideway downtrend that could last up to the end of 2029 and reach sub $20K. The unusual length of this bearish path would be justified by a structure correcting 16 years of bull cycle down to the base of the fan formation (yellow lines). Path 2 🐂 : The bullish path will require a demonstration of force from the bulls as there are still quite a lot of upward resistance above the current level particularly the upward trend line formed by the three tops of this bull market (white line) and the upward trend line from the fan that has formed over the last 16 years (yellow line). #BTC just tagged the latter and while it can reject from here and still cross it, I would like to see a shallow pullback to then come back with strength to breach it in a convincing fashion. Crossing the yellow, then the white trend lines would prove the strength of this bull market that could then certainly be qualified as the supercycle that would definitely put an end to the 4 years cycle model. In this scenario, I would expect a massive uptrend to around $270K from now to mid 2026, followed by a long period of consolidation until the end of 2027, then a final up leg that would end this five and a half year long bull cycle at around $290K. Crossing $110,970 would make this scenario significantly less likely but still possible with a deeper pullback. Crossing $89,300 would make this path very unlikely and it would be fully invalidated if $74,480 is breached. I put both paths at an equal probability of 35% as the current invalidation levels remain untapped. Other alternative scenarios in between can play out although it’s unclear to me what those would look like. Probably, a lot of chops without a clear direction if I had to guess. I’m expecting more clarity in which path becomes more likely in the next month or so. #Trading #Tradestr image View quoted note →
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LogicallyMinded 5 months ago
Nice breakout for #Bitcoin. The thesis of the supercycle is now likely to be at play. #BTC may keep running for many years without seeing a cycle bear market. #Trading #Traderstr View quoted note →
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LogicallyMinded 5 months ago
I’m not surprised that the #Trump administration won’t release more information about #Epstein and his clients but I’m surprised that they don’t even try to come up with a better excuse. They didn’t even use the national security card. Oops…
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LogicallyMinded 6 months ago
This week will be pivotal for the the price of #Bitcoin. By the end of it, we are likely to get a better sense about which path will #BTC take for the next years ahead. Supercycle bull 🐂 or end of 16 years cycle bear 🐻 ? #Trading #Tradestr View quoted note →