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TFTC
tftc@primal.net
npub1sk7m...jraw
Truth for the Commoner. A media company focused on #Bitcoin, freedom, and truth in the digital age.
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TFTC 3 months ago
JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs are now offering hedge funds ways to short the $1.8 trillion private credit market. They've assembled baskets of companies with exposure, alt managers, BDCs, and lenders tied to private credit. This isn't speculation. These are structured products designed to bet against an entire sector. Private credit defaults hit a record 9.2% in late 2025. Blackstone's $82 billion flagship credit fund saw $6.5 billion in redemption requests in Q1. BlackRock had to cap withdrawals after requests hit 9.3% of its HPS fund. Morgan Stanley and Cliffwater are also gating redemptions. JPMorgan already started marking down software-related loans in private credit portfolios. When the banks that lend to these funds start cutting the value of the collateral, it forces deleveraging at the worst possible time. US banks have lent nearly $300 billion to private credit providers. The exposure is not contained. Goldman's own data shows hedge funds are "aggressively shorting" financial stocks, the most-sold sector of the year. Financials are down 11% on the S&P. The same banks that helped build the private credit boom are now building the tools to bet against it. If that sounds familiar, it should. image
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TFTC 3 months ago
Bitcoin's first line of defense against quantum computing just went live on testnet. BTQ Technologies deployed the first working implementation of BIP 360, 50+ miners, 100K+ blocks mined, full wallet tooling. BIP 360 introduces Pay-to-Merkle-Root (P2MR), a new output type that removes Taproot's quantum-vulnerable key-path spend while keeping Lightning compatibility intact. The proposal was merged into Bitcoin's official BIP repository in February. This isn't full post-quantum security, that would require additional signature scheme changes down the road. But it's a meaningful first step toward hardening the protocol. image
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TFTC 3 months ago
Gas prices have surged 30% in 19 days since the Iran war started. The national average was $2.98/gallon on February 27th. Today it's $3.88, the highest since 2023. That's an extra $0.90 per gallon. For a family filling up once a week, that's roughly $180 more per year that appeared overnight. Oil is up over 40% since the Strait of Hormuz was closed, cutting off a fifth of the world's oil supply. This is what war costs at the pump. image
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TFTC 3 months ago
Rep. Gomez: "Last year you testified that Iran was not building a nuclear weapon. Do you stand by statement?" Gabbard: "Context matters." Gomez: "Were you lying or not?" Gabbard: "I stand by the IC assessment."
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TFTC 3 months ago
Secretary of War Pete Hegseth: "We will finish this, and we will honor their sacrifice with decisive action."
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TFTC 3 months ago
This was U.S. surveillance tech in 2012. Imagine the upgrades in 2026.
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TFTC 3 months ago
An Indian oil tanker just crossed the Strait of Hormuz safely by paying for its cargo in Chinese yuan. Iran let it through. Ships paying in dollars get nothing. The world's most critical energy chokepoint is now being used to enforce a parallel payment system. Pay in yuan, you get safe passage. Pay in dollars, good luck. The Strait has been closed for 19 days. Twenty percent of global oil supply flows through that 21-mile gap. Dubai crude hit $152 a barrel. WTI in the US sits at $94. That is a $55 spread for the same commodity. In February it was 75 cents. SAS canceled 1,000 flights. Gas stations in Bangkok are dry. The IEA authorized the largest emergency oil release in history: 400 million barrels. JPMorgan says that buys weeks, not months. The Fed meets today boxed in. Oil-driven inflation means they cannot cut. A weakening economy means they cannot hike. The US national debt is at $39 trillion. The strategic reserves are draining. The petrodollar is not dying in a boardroom. It is dying in a shipping lane. image
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TFTC 3 months ago
An Indian oil tanker just crossed the Strait of Hormuz safely by paying for its cargo in Chinese yuan. Iran let it through. Ships paying in dollars get nothing. The world's most critical energy chokepoint is now being used to enforce a parallel payment system. Pay in yuan, you get safe passage. Pay in dollars, good luck. The Strait has been closed for 19 days. Twenty percent of global oil supply flows through that 21-mile gap. Dubai crude hit $152 a barrel. WTI in the US sits at $94. That is a $55 spread for the same commodity. In February it was 75 cents. SAS canceled 1,000 flights. Gas stations in Bangkok are dry. The IEA authorized the largest emergency oil release in history: 400 million barrels. JPMorgan says that buys weeks, not months. The Fed meets today boxed in. Oil-driven inflation means they cannot cut. A weakening economy means they cannot hike. The US national debt is at $39 trillion. The strategic reserves are draining. The petrodollar is not dying in a boardroom. It is dying in a shipping lane. image
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TFTC 3 months ago
Steve Sweeney is an Irish war correspondent based in Beirut. Award-winning conflict journalist. Israel hit him and his cameraman, Ali with a missile near Al-Qasmiya Bridge in southern Lebanon while he was live on air. Both survived.
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TFTC 3 months ago
Joe Kent: “The Israeli officials, some in intelligence, some in government, will come to U.S. Government officials and say all kinds of things that we know from our intelligence just simply isn't true.”
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TFTC 3 months ago
Ex-Trump counterterrorism chief Joe Kent tells Tucker Iran posed NO imminent threat. Israel was planning the first strike, forcing US preemptive action.
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TFTC 3 months ago
Joe Kent tells Tucker Carlson he was BLOCKED from probing foreign links in Charlie Kirk's assassination. “The investigation that I was a part of [with] the National Counterterrorism Center, we were stopped from continuing to investigate.” “But there was still a lot for us to look into that I can’t really get into.” “There’s unanswered questions.” “We know, because of the text messages that have been made public, that Charlie was under a lot of pressure from a lot of pro-Israel donors.”
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TFTC 3 months ago
The US national debt just crossed $39 trillion. It doubled in 10 years. $19.5 trillion in 2016. $39 trillion today. The first $10 trillion took 27 years (1981–2008). The last $9 trillion took 4 years. Here's how fast each recent trillion was added: $34T → $35T: 204 days (Jul 2024) $35T → $36T: 112 days (Nov 2024) $36T → $37T: 270 days (Aug 2025)* $37T → $38T: 72 days (Oct 2025) $38T → $39T: 146 days (Mar 2026) *distorted by debt ceiling At the current rate of $7.2 billion per day, we hit $40 trillion by August 2026. $50 trillion by 2030. It took 205 years to reach the first trillion. Now we're adding one every 4-5 months. This is exponential debt growth in real time. image
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TFTC 3 months ago
Joe Kent told Tucker Carlson that Iran was never weeks away from a nuclear weapon. He cited a longstanding religious fatwa that prohibited nukes.
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TFTC 3 months ago
The CIA's venture capital arm funded the technology behind Pokémon Go. That's not conspiracy. It's public record. Niantic's founder John Hanke previously built Keyhole, a 3D satellite imaging tool funded directly by In-Q-Tel, the CIA's venture capital arm. Keyhole was used to support US military operations in Iraq before Google acquired it and turned it into Google Earth. The same founder also led the Google StreetView WiSpy scandal, where Google cars secretly harvested emails, passwords, and browsing data from unencrypted Wi-Fi networks across multiple countries. Now look at Niantic's board. Gilman Louie, co-founder of In-Q-Tel, sits on the board of both Niantic and Vantor (the defense contractor Niantic just partnered with). Niantic's CTO co-founded Keyhole with Hanke after spending a decade at E-Systems, a military contractor later acquired by Raytheon. Another co-founder came from DARPA-funded Silicon Graphics, which built 3D graphics for defense systems. This was never a gaming company that pivoted to defense. The defense lineage was there from the beginning. Pokémon Go was the data collection mechanism. 30 billion images. Centimeter-level spatial accuracy. GPS-free navigation for autonomous weapons. Built by a team with direct ties to the CIA, DARPA, and Raytheon. The story isn't that Niantic tricked gamers. It's that the intelligence community found a way to crowdsource a centimeter-accurate map of the physical world by making it fun. Full report from (theragetech) image
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TFTC 3 months ago
7 measles deaths in the US since 1995. 300+ MMR vaccine death reports among infants and toddlers in VAERS, from a system that captures less than 1% of adverse events. "The vaccines are killing far more children than measles infection. Far more." - (NicHulscher)
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TFTC 3 months ago
Dow Jones plunges nearly 800 points (-1.63%) to close at 46,225, its lowest of 2026. image
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TFTC 3 months ago
The market heard Powell loud and clear. image
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TFTC 3 months ago
FOMC RECAP: March 18, 2026 The Fed held rates at 3.50%-3.75%. Vote was 11-1, with one member pushing for a cut. DOT PLOT Median projection still calls for one 25bp cut in 2026 and one more in 2027. But 7 of 19 members see no cuts at all this year. The committee is split. INFLATION The Fed raised its 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.7%, up from 2.5% in December. Powell said there has not been "as much progress" on inflation as "hoped." He pointed to tariff-related price hikes that haven't slowed as anticipated, on top of the energy shock from the Iran war. GROWTH GDP forecast for 2026 sits at 2.4%. Unemployment expected around 4.3% by 2028, a tick higher than prior outlook. POWELL'S KEY LINE "If we don't see that progress, then you won't see the rate cut." The Fed is no longer on a preset path toward cuts. Inflation is sticky, energy costs are surging from the Hormuz disruption, and tariff effects haven't faded. All of this is being driven by forces entirely outside the Fed's control, a war in the Middle East, supply chain disruptions, and trade policy they have no say over. image
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TFTC 3 months ago
Powell on when he'll leave the Fed: "So if my successor is not confirmed, by the end of my term, I would serve as chair Pro Tem until he is confirmed." "I have no intention of leaving the board until the investigation is well and truly over."