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Skyrose1
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skyrose 11 months ago
Good morning, so why the Trump pivot, he had to, the treasury market was about to blow up ( move index at 140 ), we are in fiscal dominance, hold on. Index now at 128, still to high.
skyrose 11 months ago
Treasury move index ( measures volatility ) basically 140 ( read terrible ) means treasury market close or will blow up. OAS high yield spread at 1 year high, not good
skyrose 1 year ago
The year-2025, bought a car on Friday afternoon, had to wire 41k to the dealer, so I could only do 25k on the web, went to bank Saturday morning to do the rest ( couldn’t do on web ), took 40 minutes, insane. Hopefully it gets there today. Need a new system. Meanwhile can send any amount in any currency at any time on bitcoin blockchain.
skyrose 1 year ago
I know bitcoin is down, always hard to deal with and the hardest thing to do is keep buying, I also realize what the Gov’t is trying to do with Doge, tariffs etc. however the treasury move index is 112.5 and h/y spreads are moving higher quickly around 3.15%, this is going to cause a treasury malfunction soon, which means liquidity has to come just don’t know when. We could always let a treasury auction fail or default which I can’t see happening. Short term- yikes, longer term- bullish
skyrose 1 year ago
Good morning, cds 5 year swaps moving up, treasury move index @ 104.46 and high yield spreads highest in weeks, trouble ahead.
skyrose 1 year ago
The U.S. Economy Depends More Than Ever on Rich People from WSJ, don’t think spending is going down
skyrose 1 year ago
Everyone, take a breath, a step back for a moment, bitcoin is trading at 107k as I type this, do you think for 1 second that would be the case if he wasn’t going to do for bitcoin/ crypto if this was the case? Numerous people on his staff have said it’s going to be done.
skyrose 1 year ago
Received this from a friend today Donald Trump was elected President two days ago. Stock Market: Booms to an all-time high. Bitcoin: Surges to a record high. Migrant Caravan: Disperses at the southern border. Mexico: Pledges to halt migrants at the U.S. border. New York City: Mayor terminates voucher program for illegal aliens. Germany: Socialist government collapses. Qatar: Expels Hamas leadership. Hamas: Calls for a ceasefire in Gaza conflict. Putin: Expresses willingness to end Ukraine war and agrees to sell oil in U.S. dollars. Zelenskyy: Contacts Trump and Elon Musk to discuss peace deal. EU: Commits to purchasing U.S. natural gas over Russian supplies. China: Signals desire for peaceful cooperation with the U.S. Major U.S. Corporation: Announces plans to relocate operations from China.
skyrose 1 year ago
Treasury move index @ 124, will be a problem very soon like now.
skyrose 1 year ago
Don’t look now, but the move index is on the move up, bond market volatility ahead.