the last Bitcoin cycle returned 8.16×
$15,500 → $126,500
if $58,000 proves to be this cycle’s bottom:
• 4.08× = $237,000
• 8.16× = $473,000
the first is half the previous cycle’s return. the second matches it.
markets reward conviction long before they reward consensus 💪🏽
Preparation beats Planning.
Planning expects order.
Preparation expects chaos.
Plan for order & chaos will destroy you.
Prepare for chaos & you’ll succeed in any environment.
Thoughts?
Hot Take: test transactions are overrated 🔥
When moving sats from an exchange to cold storage, a test transaction creates an extra UTXO, adds fees, & defeats the goal of keeping your wallet clean. If you’ve verified the address, the test transaction is often the greater risk to efficiency than the transfer itself.