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Tony Carrera
_@tonycarrera.com
npub15mwt...zz9n
I sell lights @ apogeehouse.com, an architectural lighting, fans, & controls distributor. Fan of financial markets, tech & BBQ. Always learning. Using nostr to share what I have learned. Nothing I say is financial or medical advice. Assume everything I say is wrong. Do your own research.
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tonycarrera 11 months ago
Honest question: Why do so many people want Ross Ulbricht pardoned today? Is it because his sentence was extremely harsh? According to GPTs, a fair sentence for crimes similar to Ulbricht's might be: - Drug Trafficking: 15-30 years - Hacking: 5-10 years - Money Laundering: 10-20 years Aggregated, possibly 20-40 years concurrently, considering first-offense, no proven violence, and potential for rehabilitation. He’s served 11 years and 3 months. Best explanation I’ve seen is by Rep. Thomas Massie @Thomas Massie and his short video posted on X/Twitter. He argues that he set up a website which enabled others to sell drugs and those drug dealers are already free while Ross remains in prison. To play devil’s advocate, you could argue that the website enabled thousands of illegal transactions - including, as some allege, listings for murder-for-hire. If true, the punishment might fit, given the site's total reach. I’m genuinely curious because I don’t know enough about Ross or his case. I’ve seen many calling for his release (#FreeRoss) and would love to understand their perspective. Personally, I think Ross has served enough time. Double life plus 40 years is excessive for a young person who launched a website and got in over their head. At the same time, I see the potential real-world harm the site may have caused, especially if murder-for-hire claims are true. If it were me, I’d hope for the benefit of the doubt and a chance to prove I’ve learned from my mistakes. I know a lot of folks here on Nostr are vocal about this like @ODELL - would be interesting to get their take. #gm #plebchain #asknostr #ross #rossulbricht #dayone
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tonycarrera 11 months ago
This is what meme coins are about. Trading in and out, if you hold long-term you’ll likely end up losing most, if not all your investment. Don’t be the last one holding the bag. Better yet, skip trading altogether unless you really know what you’re doing. Best idea: Stick with #bitcoin if you have the “crypto” fever. #gm #btc #psa #grownostr #plebchain Dave Portnoy has the money to lose on this kind of trading. Don’t be like Dave. image
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tonycarrera 11 months ago
Meme coins like $Trump and $Fart coin don't make sense to me, and I find no value in them. I felt the same about NFTs last crypto cycle. I understand why people like them, but I don't participate as I see no value in them. It's hard to watch things go from a low price to skyrocketing overnight. As a non-professional investor, focus on what you understand, study, and believe in, not the latest trend. Will I miss out on massive profits? Definitely, life changing in some cases. But I'll also avoid rug pulls and pump and dumps. I'm not a VC looking to invest 1% in 100 ideas, hoping for a few to be home runs and expecting losses on the rest. The older you get, the less FOMO affects you. Experience from multiple market cycles is invaluable. Owning assets you believe in helps because you choose not to abandon your best ideas for new ones. Want the thrill of "crypto"? Why not just buy and hold Bitcoin long-term? It's volatile enough lol. To be completely honest and transparent, I'm not immune from FOMO. I've done it in the past and I still do it on occasion. It's rare but sometimes I'll put a tiny amount on what I think could be a dark horse. My success rate on these is near zero though and I know that it's basically a loss going in. Not financial advice. You do you. Oh, and good morning! #PSA #NFA #trump #trumpcoin #meme #memecoins #plebchain #behumble #gm image
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tonycarrera 11 months ago
$TRUMP $FARTCOIN and other meme coins are destroying all models and logic. #Trumpcoin has in approx 24 hours outperformed the S&P 500 since 1980. Nothing makes sense anymore lol. Enjoy the cycle (while it lasts). Good night. PSA: Avoid memes or other coins/tokens/NFT’s, the likelihood of losing your investment is high. Stick to #bitcoin. Not financial advice, you do you. #gn #plebchain #grownostr #btc #nfa image
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tonycarrera 11 months ago
More often than not, I write something and delete before pressing send. It's usually for the best but it gets frustrating to hold back what I really want to say. #gn #plebchain #grownostr
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tonycarrera 11 months ago
Just found out there was a "crypto ball" last night. The little bit I've seen so far gives me Bitconnect vibes... looks like a lot of fancy people got an invite and a meme coin was launched. I'm sure lots of fun was had but no one was more excited to be there than this dude... #cryptoball #gn #goodnight #grownostr #plebchain #trump image
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tonycarrera 11 months ago
Investing is the only place a dumb person can outperform a smart person over time. The dumb person just has to put money in consistently (DCA) and then remember about it when they retire. The smart person thinks they can trade their way in and out, buy low and sell high. They can think they can time it perfectly. They’ll study the business and other economic cycles and indicators are on my side. ISM, PMI, VIX, MOVE, ALPHA, BETA, DELTA, GAMMA… Truth is, after spending countless hours watching charts, reading 10K’s, spending a fortune on Bloomberg and indicators/signal subscriptions, fees to get in and out of positions, and capital gains tax, they will likely underperform the S&P 500 and the “dumb” guy just putting money in and not worrying about the ebbs and flows of the market. Invest like a dumb person but in the smart assets. Good options are S&P 500 and Nasdaq index funds and Bitcoin (keep it simple and go with the low fee ETF’s). Your future self will thank you. My humble suggestion to folks, keep it simple. Remove the stress and outperform most pros. Not financial advice. #nfa #grownostr #investing #bitcoin #btc
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tonycarrera 11 months ago
This is likely the best cover of I Am The Highway by Audioslave. Cover by Fred Hadley. Enjoy! Good night. #audioslave #iamthehighway #gn
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tonycarrera 11 months ago
*"Those who excel at delaying gratification, and mentally managing the associated uncertainty along the way, end up accumulating the vast majority of capital and enjoying the vast majority of health and prosperity. Low time preference is the most reliable source of life inequality. This means stay humble, stack sats, and HODL an uncomfortable amount of bitcoin for an uncomfortably long time. **Bitcoin is the most potent device ever invented for transferring wealth from the impatient to the patient.** Be patient."* - Ross L. Stevens, Stone Ridge Asset Management Link to 2024 Investor Letter (worth reading): https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/614e11536f66309636c98688/6772064c0f83b9dad82414b4_Stone%20Ridge%202024%20Investor%20Letter.pdf
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tonycarrera 11 months ago
Pro tip: If the price of the S&P 500, Nasdaq, or Bitcoin worries you, don’t look at price or charts. Keep busy with other things like work, family, chores, etc. If you still believe in the assets you own, use price dips to just keep accumulating and go on with your day. Stock market is the only place people run away from a sale. It’s like playing mercy (do kids still play that?), Wall Street will start crying and soon Fed will let go. #stocks #bitcoin #btc #gm #manup image
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tonycarrera 11 months ago
Good morning! Volatility is life. Let it percolate. #gm #plebchain #coffeechain #espresso
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tonycarrera 11 months ago
Plot twist: This is his brilliantly executed “I lost my keys in a boating accident” scheme to make everyone believe the bitcoin is gone. Then, he moves to Dubai and lives happily ever after, tax-free. I’d watch that movie. Let’s write the script. Any writers or Hollywood folks available? #bitcoin #btc #LetItGo image
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tonycarrera 11 months ago
Good morning! #coffeechain #grownostr #plebchain #gm image
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tonycarrera 11 months ago
Good morning! Remember that any troubles, no matter how bad they seem at the time, eventually pass. Keep chugging along and improving 1% every day. #gm #nostriches #plebchain #grownostr image
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tonycarrera 11 months ago
Time to vote on the $MSTR Microstrategy 2025 Special Meeting! For any of us that are into altcoins in retirement accounts. #MSTR #stocks 👇 image
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tonycarrera 11 months ago
Actual words uttered by another adult: “It’s a book? That I have to read?” image #gn #imdone #plebchain #nostriches #omg
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tonycarrera 11 months ago
Luckily, I don’t suffer from any dietary issues (allergies, gut problems, etc.). I’ve eaten terribly for periods of time, very cleanly for other periods, and have been on #carnivore for over a year now. Honestly, I feel the same physically either way. I don’t notice much difference in mental clarity either - sleep matters more in that department for me. That said, I prefer carnivore because I enjoy it, which makes it easier to stick to. It doesn’t feel like I’m sacrificing much at all. The only thing I miss is potatoes (baked or fries). The main difference I notice is when I overeat. With carnivore, I don’t feel the bloat or disgust afterward like I do with other diets. If I eat normally, I feel about the same. However, no matter the diet, I definitely feel more bloated if I eat bread (though sourdough affects me much less, if at all). Yes, it’s not ultra-strict carnivore. I still drink coffee and use small amounts of erythritol to sweeten coffee and homemade ice cream (just eggs and heavy cream). It is what it is. #gm #proofofsteak #meatstr
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tonycarrera 11 months ago
Oh my… “*DOJ CLEARED TO SELL $6.5B IN SEIZED SILK ROAD BITCOIN: OFFICIAL” #bitcoin #btc image
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tonycarrera 1 year ago
GM! PSA: Cape Town might be great at a lot of things, but it’s not this lungo from #nespresso. Make it a great Friday the 13th! #psa #coffeechain #coffeestr #plebchain