NorthWestHawk 🗡️ 🛡️ 🦅

This could be helpful to anyone considering $CART (NP): Page 24 & 25 describes the Pump and Dump Lifecycle Pattern for IPOs, and the common Advance Failure #IPO_AF

Maplebear Inc. "Instacart" $CART (NP) IPO'd 10 days ago at $30. Currently still holding above $29. Sep 19th Market Cap of $7.9B was 80% below its peak private market valuation in March 2021 at $39.0B For more information about trading IPOs, you can check out this excellent book here:

Amazon

#IPOnews #thelifecycletrade Disclosures: 1️⃣ POSTS ≠ ADVICE; 2️⃣ I have No Position (NP) on $CART and I do NOT plan to buy or sell short them in the near future; 3️⃣ StockTwits is my journal. I post my trades, comments, opinions here mostly for my own accountability, continuous improvement, and transparency; 4️⃣ Trollers, liars and # Negatoilets will be promptly blocked;

northwesthawk 2 years ago

#NorthWestHawk_Trades on 9/28/2023 ½ $SPXU L opened

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Re-Bought a ½ $SPXU ⬆⬆⬆ position at $11.80 for my Long Portfolio, i.e. I've shorted the stock market, with a 2X inverse/short SPY 🔻🔻�...

½ $SQQQ L opened

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Re-Bought a ½ $SQQQ ⬆⬆⬆ position at $20.40 for my Long Portfolio, i.e. I've shorted the stock market, with a 2X inverse/short QQQ 🔻🔻...

½ $UBER S opened

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Shorted an extra ½ $UBER 🔻🔻🔻 at $45.85 (~ 200d SMA)

½ $BKNG S opened

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Shorted an extra ½ $BKNG 🔻🔻🔻 at $3,079 (~ 50d SMA)

½ $NVDA S opened

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Shorted an extra ¼ $NVDA 🔻🔻🔻 at $425.73 (10d SMA)

northwesthawk 2 years ago

#NorthWestHawk_Trades on 9/27/2023 ½ $SQQQ L sold for -0.8% loss. ¼ $SQQQ L still open

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Sold ½ $SQQQ position, which was bought yesterday at $21, at $20.84 for a -0.8% loss #mistakes Keeping the remaining ¼ $SQQQ in my Long...

Full $PLTR S covered for -3.7% loss

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Covered the full $PLTR Short Position (borrowed ½ today and ½ on 9/26/2023 15:41:00, average: $14.325) at $14.86 for a -3.7% loss. I may consi...

#EatMyShorts #mistakes

northwesthawk 2 years ago

#NorthWestHawk_Trades on 9/26/2023 ¾ $SQQQ L opened

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Bought a ¾ $SQQQ ⬆⬆⬆ position at $21 for my Long Portfolio, i.e. I've shorted the stock market, with a 2X inverse/short $QQQ 🔻🔻🔻 ...

½ $NOW S opened

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Shorted ½ $NOW 🔻🔻🔻 at $540.83 Great company, but stock is under distribution, and the Risk-Reward Ratio for this Short Position is be...

½ $PLTR S opened

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Shorted ½ $PLTR 🔻🔻🔻 at $13.93 It's another stock that is under distribution, and that Risk-Reward Ratio for a Short Position is beco...

¼ $OLMA L sold for +5.2% profit. ½ $OLMA L still open

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Sold ¼ $OLMA position, which was bought 4 days ago at $12.31, at $12.95 for a 5.2% profit 💰 Keeping the remaining ½ $OLMA in my Long Por...

northwesthawk 2 years ago

Two questions for the growing #nostr community: Are there any traders or investors on #nostr? So far, I haven't seen anyone besides myself. It’s also discouraging that I haven't received any encouragement for the content I've been sharing on #nostr. Do you have any suggestions or advice on how to help grow a strong FinTwit community on #nostr? #asknostr

northwesthawk 2 years ago

The #Hindenburg_Omen (HO) last flashed on 9/8, 9/11, and 9/12/2023 as shown in this #NASDAQ weekly chart. Studies have shown that all stock market crashes and severe declines between '84 and '14 were preceded by the HO. More recent crashes (in '15, '16, '20), and the severe '21/'22 decline were also preceded by the HO. The HO has a success rate of approximately 25% for major crashes, as noted in WSJ articles (which I've backtested and confirmed). Note: Sometimes the HO misfires, such as the one on 5/10/2023 (commented in green in this #NASDAQ weekly chart).

northwesthawk 2 years ago

#NorthWestHawk_Trading on 9/22/2023 $SQQQ L +5.0%, closed

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Sold/Closed remaining ½ $SQQQ position, which was bought 2 days ago at $19.00, at $19.95 for a 5% profit 💰 I may consider buying $SQQQ again...

$NVDA S +4.9%, closed

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Covered/Closed the ½ $NVDA Short Position (borrowed at $432.6 per Sep 15th post) at $418.55 for a 4.9% profit 💰 I may consider short se...

$OLMA L opened

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

$OLMA https://primal.net/e/note1v4qh5rq62su8v30ypzxd5ex5nez230nymwtqrqj2x9llgh3nh6vsgg8tpn

$NVDA S opened

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Re-Shorted ½ $NVDA 🔻🔻🔻 at $415.32 Risk-Reward Ratio for this Short Position is quite attractive:

$UBER S opened

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Shorted ½ $UBER 🔻🔻🔻 at $44.11 Once it loses its $44.01 Support, the Risk-Reward Ratio for a Short Position should become quite attractive.

$BKNG S opened

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

$BKNG Shorted ½ $BKNG 🔻🔻🔻 at $3,063 Great company, but stock is under distribution, and the Risk-Reward Ratio for this Short Position ...

$SPXU L +0.9%, ¼ $SPXU still open

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Sold ½ $SPXU position, which was bought today at $11.55, at $11.65 for a 0.9% profit. Keeping the remaining ¼ $SPXU in my Long Portfolio...

northwesthawk 2 years ago

Bought a ¾ $OLMA position at $12.31 for my Long Portfolio, taking advantage of this potential bounce from the 10-day SMA. You can refer to my Sep 15th post for prior discussion on $OLMA. $NWHAWK23 Disclosures: 1️⃣ POSTS ≠ ADVICE; 2️⃣ Do not follow me if you don't understand risk management & diversification!

northwesthawk 2 years ago

#NorthWestHawk_Trading on 9/21/2023 $ELF S +12.7%

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Covered & Closed remaining ¼ $ELF Short Position (borrowed at $118 per Sep 19,2023 11:40 AM post) at $103 resulting in a 12.7% profit 💰💰 ...

$BKR S +0.1%

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Covered/Closed the ½ $BKR Short Position (borrowed at $35.33 per today's post) at $35.10 for a 0.1% profit. I may consider short selling $BKR...

$CRM S +0.1%

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Covered/Closed the ½ $CRM Short Position (borrowed at $209.7 per today's post) at $208.4 for a 0.1% profit. I may consider short selling $CRM...

$NVDA S +5.0%

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Covered the ¼ $NVDA Short Position (borrowed at $432.6 per yesterday's post) at $411.0 for a 5.0% profit 💰 Keeping the remaining ½ $NVDA...

$SQQQ L +8.1%

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Sold ¼ $SQQQ position, which was bought yesterday at $19, at $20.55 for a 8.1% profit 💰💰 Keeping the remaining ½ $SQQQ in my Long Po...

northwesthawk 2 years ago

#NorthWestHawk_Trading on 9/20/2023 $SQQQ ⬆️⬆️⬆️

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Bought a ¾ $SQQQ position at $19 for my Long Portfolio, i.e. I've shorted the stock market, with a 2X inverse/short $QQQ 🔻🔻🔻 ETF (i.e. ...

$NVDA ⬇️⬇️⬇️

Stocktwits

NorthWestHawk (@NorthWestHawk) | Stocktwits

Also just shorted an extra ¼ $NVDA 🔻🔻🔻 at $432.6 (now a ¾ position in my Short Portfolio) It's a great company/stock, but the R...

northwesthawk 2 years ago

The #Hindenburg_Omen (HO) last flashed on 9/8, 9/11, and 9/12 (1 week ago). Since then, I've been gradually shorting Mega Cap stocks with broken charts. However, I waited until today to short an index: I just bought a 3/4 position in $SQQQ at $19, similar to what I did almost 2 years ago (as per my 11/22/2021 10:32 AM EST @stocktwits post). The #Nasdaq hit an all-time high (at 16,212) on that day. There is a study by @McClellanOsc, along with a chart, showing that all crashes and severe declines between '84 and '14 were preceded by the HO. The HO has a success rate of approximately 25% for major crashes, as noted by @srussolillo in 2010 and 2014 WSJ articles (which I have backtested and confirmed). More recent crashes (in '15, '16, '20, and '21) were also preceded by the HO, but it's essential to note that sometimes the HO misfires.