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James Lavish
james@primal.net
npub1cj94...0efa
reformed hedge fund manager | cfa | bitcoin | writes the 💡Informationist newsletter (www.jameslavish.com)
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james 1 year ago
Hello. The US government now pays over $3 billion of interest on its debt per day. Have a great Thursday.
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james 1 year ago
gm nostrs California wildfires clouding the LV strip today. image
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james 1 year ago
For everyone who is getting fatigued with Bitcoin’s recent price action: Over the last decade, the average return in #Bitcoin for the top 10 days each year was 184%, and the average return (loss) for all of the remaining days each year was −10%. Patience eventually pays off, big time.
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james 1 year ago
With this morning's JOLTs data showing that job openings are falling--well below estimates--and layoffs increasing, futures show a 47% chance of a 50bp rate cute in September, up from 37% yesterday. And bad news is once again 'good news' for the markets. image
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james 1 year ago
Welp. Nikkei 225 down 3.7% and the usd/yen headed lower. Looks like we’re about to see just how much of that Yen Carry Trade is still out there.
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james 1 year ago
Good evening nostrs. Keep your eyes on the horizon. image
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james 1 year ago
The market is reacting negatively this morning to extremely poor ISM manufacturing data. Here’s the TLDR: Demand fell, inventories rose (due to unsold stock), and prices *rose* (due to labor and shipping costs). In essence, this is stagflation (higher prices in a stagnant or slowing economy). The Fed’s worst nightmare. image
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james 1 year ago
Good morning. Once the world realizes that you don’t need a PhD or math degree to understand #Bitcoin, that you just need to open your mind and critically think, it will soon right itself. Have a great Labor Day.
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james 1 year ago
gm nostrs, enjoy your day of rest image