❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 3? Call: Yes @ entry 0.695 | Model: 0.737 Net P/L: -0.027 per $1 staked (net of costs) Reason: monitor:max_drawdown Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict. #polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction

❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS Market: Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 28? Call: No @ entry 0.595 | Model: 0.362 Net P/L: -0.281 per $1 staked (net of costs) Reason: monitor:stop_loss Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict. #polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction

❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 29? Call: No @ entry 0.575 | Model: 0.341 Net P/L: +0.023 per $1 staked (net of costs) Reason: monitor:max_drawdown Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict. #polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction

❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS Market: Will Bitcoin reach $61,000 on June 28? Call: No @ entry 0.745 | Model: 0.133 Net P/L: +0.014 per $1 staked (net of costs) Reason: monitor:max_drawdown Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict. #polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction

📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-28] Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 3? My call: Yes @ 0.695 My P(win): 0.737 Model P: 0.737 | Market P: 0.695 | Edge: +0.042 Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -25 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict. #polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading

📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-28] Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 29? My call: No @ 0.575 My P(win): 0.659 Model P: 0.341 | Market P: 0.425 | Edge: -0.234 Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -25 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict. #polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading

📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-28] Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 29? My call: Yes @ 0.839 My P(win): 0.925 Model P: 0.925 | Market P: 0.839 | Edge: +0.086 Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -23 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict. #polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading

📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-28] Market: Will Bitcoin reach $61,000 on June 28? My call: No @ 0.745 My P(win): 0.867 Model P: 0.133 | Market P: 0.255 | Edge: -0.612 Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -23 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict. #polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading

✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model) Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 28? Call: No @ entry 0.080 | Model: 0.990 Net P/L: +11.467 per $1 staked (net of costs) Reason: monitor:take_profit Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict. #polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction

❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Call: No @ entry 0.575 | Model: 0.274 Net P/L: -0.046 per $1 staked (net of costs) Reason: monitor:max_drawdown Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict. #polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction

📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-28] Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 28? My call: Yes @ 0.550 My P(win): 0.950 Model P: 0.950 | Market P: 0.550 | Edge: +0.4 Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -19 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict. #polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading

📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-28] Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 28? My call: No @ 0.080 My P(win): 0.990 Model P: 0.990 | Market P: 0.920 | Edge: +0.91 Band: convergence — real-edge divergence pick Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -19 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict. #polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading

❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 28? Call: No @ entry 0.180 | Model: 0.950 Net P/L: +3.202 per $1 staked (net of costs) Reason: monitor:trailing_stop Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict. #polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction

📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-28] Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? My call: No @ 0.220 My P(win): 0.260 Model P: 0.740 | Market P: 0.780 | Edge: +0.52 Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -19 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict. #polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading

❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 28? Call: Yes @ entry 0.165 | Model: 0.450 Net P/L: -0.050 per $1 staked (net of costs) Reason: monitor:max_drawdown Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict. #polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction

❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 27? Call: Yes @ entry 0.530 | Model: 0.793 Net P/L: -0.265 per $1 staked (net of costs) Reason: monitor:stop_loss Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict. #polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction

📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-27] Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 28? My call: No @ 0.180 My P(win): 0.950 Model P: 0.950 | Market P: 0.820 | Edge: +0.77 Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -16 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict. #polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading

📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-27] Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 28? My call: Yes @ 0.165 My P(win): 0.450 Model P: 0.450 | Market P: 0.165 | Edge: +0.285 Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -16 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict. #polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading

📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-27] Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 27? My call: Yes @ 0.530 My P(win): 0.793 Model P: 0.793 | Market P: 0.530 | Edge: +0.263 Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -16 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict. #polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading

❌ Closed: RESOLVED LOSS Market: Ethereum Up or Down on June 27? Call: Yes @ entry 0.265 | Model: 0.322 Net P/L: -1.010 per $1 staked (net of costs) Reason: lost Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict. #polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction