No matter how much I want to be productive past 9PM (after kids fall asleep) it seems like an impossibility. When I compare it to early mornings, perhaps I'm with caffeine and nicotine at 15%. Today is my last day in bed past 9.30PM.

Warren Buffett is ending his Thanksgiving letter with timeless advice: • Don't beat yourself up over past mistakes. • Get the right heroes and copy them. • Decide what you would like your obituary to say and live the life to deserve it • When you help someone in any of thousands of ways, you help the world. • The cleaning lady is as much a human being as the Chairman. His letter reads as though he feels his death is near. I learned a lot from everything Warren Buffett has written over his lifetime. I am extremely grateful for that. If there is one thing that he inspired me to do, it is to write publicly. While it feels as if nobody is reading what I write today, I know that there will be one single person 41 years from today who will be just as grateful that I published and not buried my thinking.

So, Nostr has AI bots? Sucks...

I always thought that the world is big. That there are many countries to choose from if you ask yourself “Where to live?” The truth is: the world is actually very small. When you have certain criteria, the # of countries that qualify collapses from hundreds to only a handful of options. For example: if you believe in home-schooling, no legally required childhood vaccination, and you do like sunshine, only 7 countries will match this specific criteria. Of these, some are shitholes, which leaves you with 5 options. If you don’t want to live completely detached from society (in the jungle or on a remote island) then you have 3 options left. If you want to own property, there are 2 left: Portugal and Panama. If you don’t like the EU, Panama is the only option with its own downsides – or perhaps the best option is to get a medical exemption to make the USA your perhaps best option. Have you ever defined what principles are truly important to you – and then matched where in the world these criteria are fulfilled? You will be surprised.

There is this book from Cal Newport called “So Good They Can’t Ignore You.” It basically says focus on what value you can offer and which rare and valuable skills you can acquire. I carefully predict that in order to be “so good they can’t ignore you” in the future, all you need to do is ignore using ChatGPT and any other LLM and just do intellectually challenging work every day. In 3–6 years you’ll be one of the sought out, employable, and highly-paid individuals simply because you are cognitively sovereign. Yet, in order to survive the next 3–6 years without falling behind competitively against those who do use ChatGPT et al., you must avoid all computer and knowledge work. In other words: have a career that allows you to provide value (and make money) without using a computer. Besides obvious blue-collar jobs (which are themselves antifragile if specialized), this is particularly sales and deal related work: sales, M&A, broker, leader/founder/owner. By pursuing such AI-resilient jobs, while spending early mornings, late evenings, or weekends writing essays, doing manual research, solving difficult math or physics problems, or simply by reading real books, you’ll be so good they can’t ignore you. It will require much less effort than ever before, not because less effort is required for mastery, but merely because you are now part of the control group against a massive population that will experience cognitive-atrophy and thereby become dependent on AI and thereby unoriginal, homogenous, and uncreative.

What's wrong with Europe. Sabine Hossenfelder puts it into words.

Ok, that's it. My X account received a "label" for whatever ridiculous reason. I'll now be Nostr + Wordpress first. Screw this centralized shit.

One of the many things we experience is the simultaneous reaching for more alongside the subconscious knowing that the little we have is all we truly need. We seek noise, though silence holds the answer. We look to the future, we look to the past, yet we forget the now. We live here. We live now. The illusion of the future and the weight of the past hold us captive. It is like a pendulum, swinging from what was to what ought to be. From what made us happy to what might make us unhappy. We cling instead of letting go. We try to force the future into submission, forgetting all the while that the future emerges with effortless grace in the here, in the now. Let us flow. Not blindly. With visionary intention. Instead of waiting for tomorrow, let us be today who we wish to be tomorrow. It is what is born today that shapes the morrow.

The funny thing is that she's correct in a certain sense. The internet should be decentralization maxxed and not rely on a few choke points like Cloudflare, AWS, Azure, Google Cloud, OpenDNS, Let's Encrypt... We need much more P2P routing, Web3, decentralized identifiers, etc. No single point of failures should exist so we can end big tech AND big government's influence.

What if the people not using LLMs today will lose temporarily in the marketplace because they cannot compete efficiency wise, yet the exact same individuals will become irreplaceable 5 years from now, because they're the last independently intelligent, creative humans on earth?

As AI keeps advancing, we must advance ourselves spiritually. We need to raise our collective consciousness to the frequency of love. If we fail, we will become an extremely technologically advanced society – with no heart. We will just be like machines. This will be truly dystopic.

I say that current AI is AGI. It is not obvious yet, because we haven’t yet connected very complex and fragmented software and data environments – and for R&D to turn into real-world change is a multi-year process anyway. Even if we stopped and freeze AI development here and now, we’d only realize that we indeed have AGI 2 or 3 years down the road. In some niches it will be faster (software or law) in others slower (complex logistics). However, AI development is not stopping here and now. It continues to improve – I say exponentially. Even if you are more conservative, then the linear growth still has undoubtedly a large rate of change. Today (!), we have AI models that evolved from barely completing sentences to writing code that ships to production, we have AI doing PhD-level research, and achieved gold medal-level performance on the International Math Olympiad. AI is solving medical problems that baffle experts. Again – what is currently mostly manually prompted work in long chat conversations will soon develop into agents that can do almost all knowledge work fully autonomously. I’m not talking about AI as an assistant, as a co-pilot. It will just straight up finish the work while you are napping on the beach. The difference between the GPT-3 model and today’s models – whether Grok 4, Gemini 2.5 Pro, or ChatGPT o4 – is like comparing a Nokia 1011 to an iPhone 16 Pro. We went from purely text based chats to multimodal understanding – models that can see, hear, and reason across domains simultaneously. AI is starting to genuinely understand context and nuance in ways that feels human. The next phase is not purely larger AI models, but models that learn continuously. They can remember you, plan and execute multistep tasks over days, weeks, or months. An AI system that perfectly remembers, understands context, who never sleeps, and gets smarter every day. This is being built today in AI labs around the globe. We have AGI today, and it is only a matter of time for us to arrive at superintelligent AI systems. Is it 2 years? 3 years? 4 years? 5 years? Irrelevant. Whether it is 1 year or 10 years, the implications are the same: everything is going to change forever.

I think CBDC are actually brilliant, because the black labor market will still exist, and they obviously will not use CBDCs. They will use Dash, Zano, ZCash, Monero. Ergo, finally we see real world adoption of useful privacy-friendly cryptocurrencies due to NNT's minority rule.

Looking back, I was most successful when I actually didn't care at all about the results of my work. I expected nothing. I simply went with the flow. Everything just inexplicably fell into place. I met people, published articles online, and opportunities just came along out of the blue, deals closed without resistance. However, in the past 2 years – primarily after my son was born – I put a lot of internal importance on "having to succeed". I put a lot of pressure on myself. I was more disciplined, I was working more on larger goals I set myself. But very strangely, everything became notably harder and financial success effectively ran away from me. Because it simply isn't working, I decided to remove all of this importance and pressure; to detach completely. Not caring about the end result. Moving with the flow. Paying attention to synchronicities. Moving with the most exciting thing I can do – even if financially it looks irrational. ¡Venga! P.S. maybe there is a reason you read this? Send me a DM ;)

I'm quite disappointed in the quality of posts on this platform. My feed is full of noise, nonsense, and division. Nostr/Primal should do a much better job in discoverability. The main mistake is valuing followers and engagement over substance. In Subreddits, for example, you can provide value without requiring social proof in the form of followers. Ironically, the best accounts on X are often between 739 and 10.142 followers. Beyond that, most accounts maximize for engagement and the value provided drops. There should be zero incentive to maximize followers. Instead, there should be an incentive to maximize "value provided". Nostr has this great feature for zapping microtransactions. Medium - I believed - tried to achieve this by allowing you to "heart" an article multiple times. The number one metric should be value provided measured through: "time spend reading" an article, the amount of collected $, the amount of bookmarks, etc. Following should become a much more exclusive feature that either costs a small recurring microtransaction of $ (each follow costs $0.10 / month and goes 100% to the followed account) or has other psychological barriers (i.e., you receive ALL posts as an email or notification) so this way you choose carefully who to follow.

AI generated content is a real problem now. I'd pay for a version of social media that is 100% authentic human.

Anstatt auf die Einwanderung muss sich Deutschland auf die Auswanderer fokussieren. Wenn Auswanderer keine Gründe mehr haben, auszuwandern, dann ist das Einwanderungsproblem bereits gelöst.

Our 2YO son was eating very selectively, and we worried he's eating too little. I thought about it. And I realized we place too much importance on him eating by encouraging him to eat. I said to my wife: you know what, we remove this importance totally. We don't tell him, ask him, encourage him to eat anymore. If he wants to eat, he can eat. If not, then not. Guess what happened? He's now eating satisfactorily. But not according to our schedule or exactly what we cook. According to his schedule. I also started asking him in the supermarket what he'd like to eat this evening. Then he points at particular things: broccoli at one day, chicken filet at another day, pickled cucumbers, etc. And guess what? He absolutely is eating what he picked earlier. Very instinctively to what nutrients his body wants. Maybe this helps other young parents. Stop putting importance on it.