colin crypto's avatar
colin crypto
33zohShAgodfmNrXiMebtRTkqFtRkASGpV
npub1ume5...tl8y
GAIN CAPITAL ‘’All paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value - ZERO" (Voltaire 1729) "Fiat is the scam that enables all other scams." I DO NOT SELL COURSES 🗣️
colin crypto's avatar
Colin 8 months ago
Global M2 Money Supply vs Bitcoin 🔹 CONTINUES TO BE BULLISH. Global M2 has remained at an ATH for 3 days in a row. This is a fantastic sign for what it signals will be coming into risk assets in ~108 days. (See upper-right corner of chart) 🔹 DIP BUYING OPPORTUNITY? Global M2 (with a 108-day offset) doesn't show a blast-off for another ~2 1/2 weeks, and actually shows a slow bleed into next week until around April 16th or 17th. See pink arrow. As such, I'm wondering if next week will provide us another dip-buying opportunity. 🔹DOUBTERS AND FLIP-FLOPPERS. I see an inclination by some to shift opinion every time there is a short time frame price movement. Global M2 is a *macro* chart. Thus, it is best to view it as such and to have patience-- not to change one's analysis with each small price movement. This is backed by the fact that Global M2 *WILL* deviate 20% of the time, by mathematical correlation— that includes deviations both to the upside and downside. This is why you must zoom out, in order to account for that 20% non-correlated period and **not be suckered into accepting it as the average**. Furthermore, we just proved over an extended period of time (several weeks) that the 108-day offset was accurate via the "MINI RALLY THAT FAILS". That was big. Many were calling the 108-day offset wrong before that period, too. It turns out the doubters were incorrect. I haven't seen enough proof that the 108-day offset is wrong. It's totally fine if the offset does change, and I will shift accordingly, but I'm not being too quick to jump to that conclusion. Let's give it a week or two to play out. In summary: I wouldn't be too quick to judge the M2 offset on each short term BTC price movement. image
colin crypto's avatar
Colin 8 months ago
Gold leads Bitcoin That would indicate a large move up is coming. image
colin crypto's avatar
Colin 8 months ago
Bitcoin has shown good strength during the last few days. KEY LEVELS If BTC can break $85k (yellow line in image 1) and hold it as support, things are beginning to look good again. That is the first key level of support to hold in reversing the downtrend. Next will be breaking through the the underside of the white channel, around $91k-$92k. Once that has been reclaimed and held as support, it's off to the races for the next leg up of the bull run. I remain optimistic that BTC has more juice left in store for us. Remember: The large influx of capital via Global M2 is coming. [image 2]
colin crypto's avatar
Colin 8 months ago
Global M2 made a steep move up today (green circled area). New ATHs. Looking forward to seeing it breaking out of this range, which will suggest we have a continuation of the bull run AFTER the 2-month-pump (May through June). image
colin crypto's avatar
Colin 8 months ago
I haven’t made a video on this yet but I actually think there is a good chance we are already in the beginning stages of the large economic crash that I talked about a few years ago. I recently stated that I think we are now overdue for it. I now think we may be already in it, or just a few months away from it beginning, in the best case scenario. With the upcoming 2-month-long Global M2 pump that we hope to see from approximately May through June, it is entirely possible that it could be a relief rally in an otherwise larger crash, for the reasons shared in the image (Fed Funds rate timing with the stock market), as well as other metrics such as rising Unemployment Rate and the inverted yield curve. Whether we make a higher high or a lower high in the upcoming rally, I think the next 2-month-long M2-induced rally could be the next best time to take profits. The red line in the chart is the Federal Funds Rate. Black line is the Nasdaq. I’ll cover this is more detail some time. Chart made by @brett_eth on X image
colin crypto's avatar
Colin 8 months ago
Global M2 Money Supply vs Bitcoin price The "MINI RALLY THAT FAILS" fully played out ✅ Next is a period of sideways movement in the Global M2. Will that lead to a "SIDEWAYS/BLEEDING PERIOD" for BTC? (white box in middle of image) There is a lot of global uncertainty right now, with Trump's tariffs and China refusing to negotiate. Yes, I believe this correlation chart holds true even through that, especially the M2 pump on the right side. Remember: 🔹 The M2 chart has been pushed forward by 108 days. That means all of the M2 data *already happened* 108 days ago. 108 days is apparently the delayed reaction of how long it takes money to circulate through the global economy until it finds its way into risk assets. 🔹 M2 is about 80% correlated (not 100%!) with this 108-day shift. It WILL deviate 20% of the time. 🔹 The popular 70-80 day offset that many were using has proven incorrect. I've seen a number of people copying my 108 day shift, presenting it as their own work, some even going so far as to remove my watermarks. Watch my video below for a full explainer on this predictive, correlative relationship between the Global M2 Money Supply and the BTC price. 👇 image
colin crypto's avatar
Colin 8 months ago
I feel like the second portion of the bull run has just begun. Baby steps at first. God candles later.
colin crypto's avatar
Colin 9 months ago
BTC Continues to Follow Global M2 Like Glue We're not out of the woods, but if we're lucky it will be mostly sideways from here until May. There could still be some bleeding during this time. Second chart is the exact same chart, except BTC is displayed with bars and wicks, so you can see how low it dropped today. I'm still a believer that the May "blast-off" will play off as expected. If this recent "mini rally that fails" is any proof of continued correlation, then we are looking good. Yes, even amidst Trump tariffs. Learn more about this predictive, correlative relationship between the Global M2 Money Supply and Bitcoin in my latest video below. 👇
colin crypto's avatar
Colin 9 months ago
Call me crazy but I set some $ETH buy orders between $1200 - $1300. Currently ETH is $1551. Let's see how I do. Willing to buy more if it goes lower. image
colin crypto's avatar
Colin 9 months ago
Bitcoin's recent resilience is remarkable, in light of the stock market. S&P 500 -3.2% past 24 hours BTC +0.42% past 24 hours
colin crypto's avatar
Colin 9 months ago
People who see stocks dropping and BTC remaining high might be tempted to put their money into Bitcoin. This could result in a cascade effect (a chain reaction) of BTC outperforming the stock market, with BTC having increased desirability compared with stocks. Higher BTC price = more outperformance compared with stocks = more desirability = more people buy BTC = <repeat cycle> Stocks represent companies that are affected by tariffs. Bitcoin is not a company and thus is not directly affected by tariffs. It’s a currency and an asset, like gold. Bitcoin doesn’t have to buy or sell any goods and thus isn’t directly subject to tariffs. A self-fulfilling prophecy! image
colin crypto's avatar
Colin 9 months ago
Global M2 Money Supply vs Bitcoin vs Stocks (S&P500) Will the local bottom be in around April 6th? (see white dotted line). Stocks are notably taking a worse hit than BTC. BTC has thus far remained impressively resilient. M2 blast-off begins May (green dotted line). Will BTC & stocks follow? This is just an observation. It is not a prediction. image
colin crypto's avatar
Colin 9 months ago
Global M2 Money Supply vs Bitcoin 🔹 MASSIVE M2 spike; New ATH (top-right of chart). 🔹 M2 regained ascending channel after deviating below it. Super bullish, long term. The "blast-off" phase may last longer than 2 months. 🔹 BTC continues to follow "MINI RALLY THAT FAILS?", like glue. Watch my latest video, below, to learn more on the apparent predictive relationship of Global M2 to BTC. image
colin crypto's avatar
Colin 9 months ago
As I've observed previously, the recent price movements of the 77 and 108 day offsets are a sort of "echo" of each other. The 77 and 108 patterns are 1 month apart. (108 - 77 = 31 days) There appears to be a 1-month "echo" going on here, where there are two similar shaped structures. (see circled areas in white) Either one could be valid. This means: be ready for either "blast-off" scenario. We may be in the middle of the "blast-off zone" right now, or maybe it happens in May. I can see either as being possible and valid. As a side note, the next best "buy the dip" date that coincides with both scenarios is around April 4-6. I'll be eyeballing a potential ETH entry then, being aware that it could drop more if the 108 day scenario is correct. THE BIG PICTURE IS WHAT MATTERS MOST The massive influx of global liquidity could last for 2+ months. The exact date of "blast off" is less important. Many people get caught up in the weeds of exact dates when we should be stepping back and looking at the potential glory that lies ahead. I'm here with you, hoping for the biggest bull run we ever saw. image
colin crypto's avatar
Colin 9 months ago
The problem (pictured) The answer: Bitcoin
colin crypto's avatar
Colin 9 months ago
Global M2 Money Supply vs Bitcoin 77-day vs 108-day M2 offset. Which will it be? Notes: 🔹 The BIG take-away (the most important observation) is that a big M2 influx is coming. The exact date is less important. 🔹The M2 pump lasts for 2 months. 🔹Mathematical correlation figures are shown in corner of each chart. 🔹 I also did a 70-day chart but it was less correlated than the 77-day. I am observing with you. 👀 Learn more about this correlation in my latest video below (next post).
colin crypto's avatar
Colin 9 months ago
When i’m not stacking sats you can catch making some cool 💰 for clients 💁‍♂️
colin crypto's avatar
Colin 9 months ago
🔵 Global M2 Money Supply predicts Bitcoin's Next Moves!? Is There Hope? Bearish Before Bullish? How low could BTC drop? Is Ethereum dead?