For those who wonder why the M2 offset is different for $MSTR than it is for $BTC, that's because $MSTR is traded *5* days a week and not 7 days a week like BTC.
Some people give the example of 55 days offset for MSTR. I'll translate that:
55 WEEKDAYS is equivalent to 77 CALENDAR days (includes weekends). Now, you can see it's more similar to the offset with BTC (which I curretly have at 80 days), since BTC is traded 7 days per week.
So, really, MSTR and BTC are currently only 3 days apart.
colin crypto
33zohShAgodfmNrXiMebtRTkqFtRkASGpV
npub1ume5...tl8y
GAIN CAPITAL
‘’All paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value - ZERO" (Voltaire 1729) "Fiat is the scam that enables all other scams."
I DO NOT SELL COURSES 🗣️
Global M2 Money Supply vs BTC
Right on track.
Noteable sideways/corrective periods (drawn in red boxes):
May 26 - June 18
July 1 - July 22+
Watch the video below to learn more about the predictive correlation of the Global M2 Money Supply to the Bitcoin price. 👇


⚠️ SCAM ⚠️
It has come to my attention that there is a fake Telegram channel using my name, profile image and posts, mixed with scams:
Telegram channel name: “ColinCryptoTalks” (a stupid rearranged spelling of my name)
I did not create this Telegram channel. I don’t have one. It is a fake.
Please report that Telegram channel. If enough of you do, maybe it will be removed. It’s apparently been running for several months based on its posting history. A long-standing scammer and impersonator

Telegram
COLIN TALKS CRYPTO
My Beliefs: • Crypto will make the world a better place. • Cryptocurrency is the vehicle by which mankind can free itself from the abuses of mo...
Global M2 Money Supply vs Bitcoin
We are 20 days into a 3-month M2 move upward.
----
How it works:
There is a lag (a delay) between the moves
that Global M2 makes and the moves that
Bitcoin makes.
M2 moves first. BTC moves next.
This is called the "lag" or the "offset".
The M2 is REAL DATA that has
ALREADY occured. It’s not a guess.
----
NOTE: I didn't include India in this chart due to its sudden and massive 10x in M2, overnight. Read these two posts for more details and visuals:
Post1–
Post2–
In summary, India's M2 spike of 10x is just not fully confirmed in my mind as legit, and is not really necessary for the BTC pump that is already forecasted by existing global M2, even before India's spike. If the BTC pump goes even higher due to India then great. I'm taking the conservative approach. I'd like to learn more about what happened before I go promoting it. I'd rather be happily surprised than to disappoint many.
👇 Watch new video below for more details 👇
View quoted note →

colin crypto
I see people sharing the M2 Chart where it spikes super high, acting like $BTC can go to $250k-$400k in a month from now, with accompanying clickba...

colin crypto
You may have noticed an enormous, retroactive spike in Global M2 chart data. (see chart 1) TL;DR: The massive pump in Global M2 remains s...
📽️ Global M2 vs BTC
I am confident in the next BIG MOVE UP. Here's why.
Pump confirmed by:
• Global M2 ✅
• Tether (USDT) dominance ✅
• Bitcoin price chart TA ✅
3-Month-Pump. New ATHs coming.
Get the M2 script for TradingView here:
https://colintalkscrypto.com/files/global_m2_script.txt
Ethereum
Combine the potential, monthly reversal candle (chart 1) with its "dead"-level sentiment (chart 2), and you have the perfect storm for the Ethereum bottom being in soon, or already in.


In case you were wondering, the Bitcoin price is super healthy.
BTC reclaimed a key support (white arrow) after breaking above the diagonal trendline (yellow arrow).
This is insanely bullish. This makes the last 2 months a giant deviation below the main channel (white lines).
One likely scenario: The price could re-test the lower boundary of this channel one last time (the lower white line, right where the white arrow is), and then take off and not look back.


I see people sharing the M2 Chart where it spikes super high, acting like $BTC can go to $250k-$400k in a month from now, with accompanying clickbait headlines.
The spike in the M2 chart is due to India's M2 data.
It's more likely it's a change in reporting method or some other error than not.
M2 doesn't go instantly vertical like that-- especially with that magnitude. That would be a 10x of India's money supply overnight.
There's very low odds that's a genuine change in actual supply.
That being said, Global M2 *is* heading up steeply and Bitcoin will likely surge because of it. But this was already the case before India's data spike.
You may have noticed an enormous, retroactive spike in Global M2 chart data. (see chart 1)
TL;DR: The massive pump in Global M2 remains solid, and with BTC's climb over $95k recently, we are more on track than ever.
To figure out what was caused this Global M2 chart spike, I went one-by-one through all the countries that make up the Global M2 data and discovered this spike was caused by a change to a single country's M2 data— India, specifically. Every other country appears normal. India is the only country that has this glitch/change to its M2.
I'm not sure if it is a TradingView bug (or their data source) or a change that India made specifically to the calculation of their M2. I can't find much data on this being some kind of official change, which suggests it could be a data bug of some kind.
I was, however, able to corroborate this change of India's M2 reporting outside of TradingView (see chart 2). It is possible that site uses the same erroneous data source, so I am not jumping to a conclusion about the M2 spike's legitimacy just yet.
Upon casual observation it looks like India M2 increased by about 10x— almost a perfect 10x, kind of like the decimal place was just moved right by 1, which seems suspicious in itself.
Quick fix: I removed India from the Global M2 group, until we learn more about why India's M2 changed so drastically. (see chart 3 for the corrected M2 chart with India's M2 data removed)
The blast-off is still a GO! 🚀📈


USDT dominance just broke down. (See white arrows/lines)
Every time this happens, bitcoin makes a large leg up until USDT dominance again touches the parabolic trend line.
Blue arrows indicate local BTC price tops. Notice how far we have to go until the next BTC top, based on how far the USDT dominance has to drop?
Strap in. BTC is heading up. Global M2 says so and USDT dominance confirms it.


📽️ Global M2 Money Supply vs Bitcoin
A demonstration of the changing M2 offset over time (it's not fixed)
I isolated the exact reason that everyone, including myself, kept thinking everyone else could be wrong about the M2 offset.
Hint: we were all more right than we realized.
New video tomorrow at 9am EST breaking this down and ending the mystery of the "offset that changes".
I see some Global M2 doubters/haters. It's good to question everything, but if you don't like the M2 correlation to BTC, then just look at the gold chart.
The gold chart corroborates the Global M2 chart. They move in tandem.
▶️ Gold predicts the same move for BTC. ◀️
Gold leads BTC just like global M2 leads BTC.
(first chart by @decodejar)


Nice little pop in BTC price.
$87,000 breached (hourly candles shown)
Is this the BIG M2 MOVE happening? I have learned to be patient before judging it, but a move up is always welcome!
Also, Global M2 just made a new ATH, yet again.
Markets are cooking. 🍳


Global M2 Money Supply vs Bitcoin
Comparison of 78-day offset to 108-day offset
Pick your flavor. There are pros and cons to each chart. I’m ok with either outcome if it results on the big move on the right flowing into BTC and crypto.
The 78-day offset has better long-term correlation (time frames over 1 year), and it seems to be tracking better in the past 10 days or so, if we truly are mid the "blast off zone" already.
The 108-day offset looks better visually to me overall, and the 108-day has better correlation with time frames up to 1 year, but slightly worse correlation on time frames over 1 year.
We will know soon which we're in, if BTC starts steeply moving up, sooner than later.
imo it's best to focus on the big picture. Assuming the correlation plays out, we'll be good regardless of a few weeks difference.
Regardless of which it is, I find the global M2 extremely exciting to watch and it continues to give me hope.
What do you think? Do you think we're already in the middle of the "Blast-off" zone (as in the 78-day offset)? Or do you think we have a little while to wait (as in the 108-day offset)?
Notes:
Why'd I pick 78 and not 76, 77, 79, 80, 84, etc? Because it was the best mathematical correlation.
Watch the video below to learn more.


Light work


Gold has now entered its blow-off stage. Such rapid advancement will come to a terminal top, but attempting to pick a high can be very expensive. Blow off tops can extend well beyond a bear's ability to meet margin calls
$GC_F $GLD


Gold just made a new ATH. 🚀📈
Gold leads $BTC.
Excellent. 🤝


New video
📽️ Global M2 Money Supply predicts Bitcoin's Next Move!
Global M2 Money Supply vs Bitcoin
🔹 CONTINUES TO BE BULLISH. Global M2 has remained at an ATH for 3 days in a row. This is a fantastic sign for what it signals will be coming into risk assets in ~108 days. (See upper-right corner of chart)
🔹 DIP BUYING OPPORTUNITY? Global M2 (with a 108-day offset) doesn't show a blast-off for another ~2 1/2 weeks, and actually shows a slow bleed into next week until around April 16th or 17th. See pink arrow.
As such, I'm wondering if next week will provide us another dip-buying opportunity.
🔹DOUBTERS AND FLIP-FLOPPERS. I see an inclination by some to shift opinion every time there is a short time frame price movement. Global M2 is a *macro* chart. Thus, it is best to view it as such and to have patience-- not to change one's analysis with each small price movement.
This is backed by the fact that Global M2 *WILL* deviate 20% of the time, by mathematical correlation— that includes deviations both to the upside and downside. This is why you must zoom out, in order to account for that 20% non-correlated period and **not be suckered into accepting it as the average**.
Furthermore, we just proved over an extended period of time (several weeks) that the 108-day offset was accurate via the "MINI RALLY THAT FAILS". That was big. Many were calling the 108-day offset wrong before that period, too. It turns out the doubters were incorrect.
I haven't seen enough proof that the 108-day offset is wrong. It's totally fine if the offset does change, and I will shift accordingly, but I'm not being too quick to jump to that conclusion. Let's give it a week or two to play out.
In summary: I wouldn't be too quick to judge the M2 offset on each short term BTC price movement.

