Plot the correlation between Bitcoin price on the day of each halving vs the date and it’s a perfectly straight line on a log-log graph with an R squared value of 1.000 to 3 decimal places. Amazing!
Using this model the predicted price at the next halving (2028) is ~$237,000.
Nick
nick@nickjstevens.com
npub1ljq0...cpnl
I’m an engineer, trail runner, father, learner, teacher and dreamer.
I picked up this little book for my son for Christmas - a nice little stocking-filler.
The 7 Habits of Highly Effective People was one of the first personal development books I ever read, and so I was pleased to see a version specific for kids to help instil that growth mindset.


Really impressed with Nostr. Very smooth. I’ve now set up a nostr.json file on my server to verify my @Nick name. (With thanks to Gemini AI to figure out how to do this with a Caddy server primarily serving a Ghost blog, all in docker containers).
Emotions go up and down in the markets, and it’s a rollercoaster ride for sure. But the fundamentals of sound money haven’t changed, so instead I’m focusing on quietly stacking bitcoin and $MSTR. I’m thinking about the longer time horizon.