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Dr. Jeff
DrJeff@primal.net
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Macro. Charts. Geopolitics. Random musings. Sometimes funny. Occasional doom and gloom. Fund management insights. Never individual investment advice. ** Nothing to do with Vailshire Capital Management, LLC or Vailshire Partners, LP hedge fund. **
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DrJeff 2 days ago
It’s been awhile. Who’s getting ready for yet another #58kGang party?!? 🥳
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DrJeff 1 week ago
The script? Team A: Get overly involved and distracted in the PG, by design. Team C: Make a quick move for T while Team A is “too far away to meaningfully help.” Team A: “We would have liked to help more, but the PG crisis was imminent and most of our former allies refused to help. What could we do?”
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DrJeff 2 weeks ago
Because I like you, here's a free glimpse of an amazing chart that I'm regularly watching... 👀 Three data lines are overlapping: 1. ISM Manufacturing PMI (multi-color line) 2. Global M2 (blue line) 3. Bitcoin price (red/green candles) I still believe that the unimpressive bitcoin price performance in 2025 resulted primarily from the lack of a positive US manufacturing cycle since 2021. Everything became distorted during the 2021 Covid-related, fiscal/monetary easing debacle, but cycles have a way of re-establishing themselves. ISM Manufacturing PMI is finally starting to recover. It will be interesting to see if the price of bitcoin responds in kind, as it (seemingly) has in the past. Not a prediction, just some observations. Cheers. 🍻 image
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DrJeff 2 weeks ago
Issue #2 of the brand-new "Dr. Jeff's Macro Chartbook" drops this Thursday, March 12th. 👀 Each issue: ~5 charts I'm actively watching as a fund manager, with commentary on what I think they're telling us. Macro, geopolitics, the occasional Bitcoin rant, and unsolicited health/wellness advice -- all included at no extra charge. 😁 If you missed Issue #1 -- the most important macro chart of the last 100 years -- you can read it here: Note: I will never give individual investment advice. Don't ask. 😉
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DrJeff 2 weeks ago
A systematic process is ♾️ better than a prediction.
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DrJeff 1 month ago
Have you traded your savings account today, degen?
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DrJeff 1 month ago
I recently received this good news from BarclayHedge about my little friends and family hedge fund: “Vailshire Partners, LP has ranked #1 in the Multi-Strategy - Past Three Years category for the 3rd Quarter, 2025.” I make lots of mistakes, but sometimes we get things right with our long-term systematic investment approach. image
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DrJeff 2 months ago
I don’t know about you , but I think it’s pretty wild to watch the post-WW2 geopolitical and financial world order fragment and reorganize in real time. 👀
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DrJeff 2 months ago
Ozempic is the new Prozac.
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DrJeff 2 months ago
John 14:27 [27] Peace I leave with you; my peace I give to you. Not as the world gives do I give to you. Let not your hearts be troubled, neither let them be afraid. - Jesus of Nazareth
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DrJeff 2 months ago
Based on the amount of comments (primarily on YouTube) that I am a "moron" who should "stay in [my] lane" and not discuss geopolitics because I am "way out of [my] depth"... I would recommend that such folks take some time to actually read the National Security Strategy of the United States of America, which was published by the Whitehouse in November 2025. Afterwards, if you would like to have a civilized discussion about my misinterpretations of the Trump administration's geopolitical and military actions/intentions, I would be amenable. Here is a link for your ease: https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/2025-National-Security-Strategy.pdf
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DrJeff 2 months ago
Another quarterly Mastermind banger with @preston , @HODL , and @Joe Carlasare ⚡ We discussed: - Venezuela - Taiwan/China - Restructuring of the geopolitical world order - Semiconductors - Elon Musk's predictions - The Clarity Act - US Treasury yields - Jerome Powell - Bitcoin
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DrJeff 2 months ago
How different forms of "money" actually work over time: Government fiat currency: Pay more, get less. Gold: Pay about the same, get about the same. Bitcoin: Pay less, get more. -------- Choose your savings vehicle and financial ruler wisely.