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I see a lot of #bitcoin price predictions. $200K, $1 million, $10 million, etc. I think the truth is: WE DON'T KNOW. And, even if we knew, say it will be $1 million in 10 years, we would NOT KNOW how much this will be due to inflation (money printing, 1 BTC having THE SAME purchasing power as 1 BTC today) or real purchasing power of 1 BTC growth (e.g. thanks to more adoption, capital inflows, halving impact). While I continue to think we DON'T KNOW, I think we CAN run different scenarios. Put in some guesstimates on money supply growth, halving impact, capital inflow impact, economic crises, market crashes (how often they will happen) and see how many times the real (inflation adjusted) price was, say 2x in 20 years (spoiler alert: around 50% of simulations with conservative parameters) If you want to play with it, the model is here https://white-historic-booby-179.mypinata.cloud/ipfs/bafkreigvidjuhp2qoptsmszeasdg2hmvcc4lrmhkkixq6utf6reuvdzp3y/bitcoin_price_model_scenarios.xlsx Feedback welcome. Not financial advice, but tool for thinking. AI-assisted generation. Enjoy.