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Going to do a deep dive on capital accrual on the lightning network It seems that adding liquidity, not losing custody, and providing infrastructure, with your Bitcoin, is a incentive-aligned investment for a Bitcoin maxi Most of the time I am put off by: - counter party risk - liquidity risk - liquidation risk - the hurdle rate of Bitcoin - tax risk But thus far, and I could be wrong, all due diligence is positive I wonder, the yield of say 10% that is available should you optimise it well Why won’t that be compressed? As more capital becomes available and sophisticated, I assume it’s less profitable to run a node, channel, and provide liquidity? Really does seem like a clean play at to create yield on your Bitcoin
2025-12-01 06:19:53 from 1 relay(s) 6 replies ↓
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Is adding liquidity to the lightning network akin to being a gold miner? Ie you’re adding critical infrastructure that improves the underlieing asset and creating a yield? Or perhaps it’s more like a commercial bank, adding liquidity to the base layer money? I think I prefer the 2nd analogy nostr:nevent1qqsqrjn90dkm92c6ndeq6zxxp6sprp4pj00ncj74607xwvn87tz9dhqprfmhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuumwdae8gtnnda3kjctv9ukqpkhjut
2025-12-01 06:57:02 from 1 relay(s) ↑ Parent 3 replies ↓ Reply
10% is a pipe dream, sure you will see anecdata here or there but you cannot predictably deploy large amounts of capital into LN and expect meaningful returns, specially given the return on risk for putting your bitcoin in a hot wallet that is accessible over the internet
2025-12-01 07:10:12 from 1 relay(s) ↑ Parent 2 replies ↓ Reply
What would be your estimation %? I think you can only get up significantly if you are selling liquidity. But this will be more a one term thing and we have quote some players who are doing this already.
2025-12-01 07:59:08 from 1 relay(s) ↑ Parent 1 replies ↓ Reply
yeah you can get decent returns when you sell liquidity to loop or on marketplaces etc, but thats not really a repeatable process unless you have endless bitcoin amboss is throwing around some numbers between 1-4% but thats all based on anecdata and thats the point, it becomes better with large infrastructure - nostr:nprofile1qyt8wumn8ghj7etyv4hzumn0wd68ytnvv9hxgtcpvemhxue69uhkv6tvw3jhytnwdaehgu3wwa5kuef0dec82c33denh2mtvw9kh2uek0p4hymtkwejk2drevvmhxamg895rgattxam8quf5v3j8gdmpxf48gantvvery7fsv9ehyum9xdc8v0mzwfhkzerrv9ehg0t5wf6k2qpqngumlqmus6xkrmvvee4yc7swh9h4uk7vpq4ddt7a2jtvkc22y0as8a7mmt is sharing his numbers somewhat frequently so thats a good start to dig into this here's an interesting thread nevent1qqsp8ca2q3axpanssgyh28nl6xvnfw4j8h2fctg5un8wfd4h8xpxvqs4q0nu8
2025-12-01 08:10:07 from 1 relay(s) ↑ Parent 1 replies ↓ Reply
The yields are higher the more channel you have and the more liquidity. Small nodes barely make a profit. Lightning is overlooked though, competition is NOT fierce yet and you can run a big node for 10BTC Lightning is a very exciting network for maxis and degens alike, if covenant get supported this network will be very interesting for all things DeFi too
2025-12-01 08:19:37 from 1 relay(s) ↑ Parent 1 replies ↓ Reply
I agree it’s the best yields you can get on your bitcoin. You should be careful running your hot wallet but if you follow the good practices you’ll be fine. All big players are in there running node with hundreds of BTC capacity
2025-12-01 08:23:21 from 1 relay(s) ↑ Parent Reply
Biggest driver of earnings is routing volume. It’s the one factor out of the hands of the noderunner. But volumes overall on the network have been very steadily increasing for a while now. In the past there would be shorter spurts of heavier volumes; what we are seeing now is very consistent and sustained. Competition— I don’t think is much of an issue at this point. There are very few ‘professional’ lightning modes outside of the large commercial operators. There’s currently more demand for liquidity than is being met imo.
2025-12-01 21:26:10 from 1 relay(s) ↑ Parent 1 replies ↓ Reply