Maybe if you are an artist you can make this argument. Like you create real things in opposition to ai slurm. For 90% of things agents and robots will be cheaper and more efficient in a couple of years. I always thought this is bla bla, but last year things changed. What took weeks and months in software development, people do on a Sunday afternoon now. Ai agents do tasks a person was doing full time. Robots get sophisticated enough to do the laundry. And it's still early.

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hasky's avatar
hasky 1 month ago
I can’t wait for my next holiday where I can buy software and hardware from China to create something robotic on my vacuum cleaner or coffee machine or washing machine . China is really Damm good to make such thing image
Have you looked into METR at all? They’ve done some interesting work on measuring AI model capability and autonomy against a benchmark of software engineering tasks which have baseline measurements of how long they take a human to do. TL;DR, frontier models currently have a ~50% success rate when performing tasks that would take humans a little over two hours, and that time has been doubling every 7 months. Assuming that trajectory, they’ll have the autonomy to complete a human 40 hour work week worth of work in less than three years.
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