In this case it's coming from people who prefer dollars over Bitcoin, or from newly created Bitcoin.
I'll write the process:
- get a loan (receive new fiat)
- take new fiat and buy Bitcoin
- Bitcoin goes up (this step is crucial for success)
- Sell Bitcoin to cover loan liability
- Profit
This will not work forever, but it's undeniable that it has worked in the past and works now under the right conditions. The word 'Yield' is divisive though.
Think about it like using a fiat cheat code to take Bitcoin from Bitcoin holders (who actually prefer dollars) by using the fiat system.
If enough people preform this strategy, Bitcoins price increases through their leverage alone, and new sellers who want that fiat emerge. Booms and busts are ways to mine people's emotions.
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But the amount of Bitcoin has not changed. So where is the yield?
When I buy a bond, I’m getting more dollars back. That is the yield. Like a 5% interest savings account. Or like how Celsius was offering x% yield on crypto. The yield is the percentage you’re getting back. And the risk is that they lose all your money.
In the case of a Bitcoin loan, the Bitcoin’s value goes up. But the amount of Bitcoin is the same. That’s why I said 1 Bitcoin = 1 Bitcoin. There is no yield with a Bitcoin loan. The growth in value in fiat terms has nothing to do with the loan. The risk is that the person holding your bitcoin while you pay back the loan can rug you. But that’s still not yield. The value of your bitcoin would be the same if you never took out the loan and never sold it. So it’s not yield.
Unless my understanding of yield is different from yours 🤷♂️
The internet seems to have conflicting definitions of yield.
The 5% interest in a savings account is supposed to come from the people who are borrowing your money at a higher rate. You and me both know that's not how it really works, but that's still how most people see it.
I know the total supply of Bitcoin is fixed, and that there is no "native yield" to Bitcoin. But if you lend your Bitcoin to someone at 5%, and they are able to repay, then you get a 5% yield.
The fiat/Bitcoin yield is much more sustainable because your liability is dollars. When you get a loan, new dollars are created. So let's say you gain $10,000 in dollars as an asset, and owe back $11,000 as a liability in one year.
By buying Bitcoin with the dollars, you get Bitcoin and you also increase the marginal price of Bitcoin. Combine that with Bitcoins fundamentals, and as long as the Bitcoin is with more than $11,000 in a year, you get to keep the difference in Bitcoin. That is your yield.
The yield comes from the people who sold you the Bitcoin at the lower price. That is the game currently being played.