not sure where you pulled “tens of thousands of blocks” from - a week is about a thousand blocks, a month is about four thousand blocks its how the fork is designed and their intention they believe that if they start to get any type of momentum on hash pivoting to their chain, the rest will follow due to the risk of the reorg wiping out their rewards they will likely use threats to try to make it happen and will probably fail but its fucked up regardless

I was thinking you meant a delay of 3 months and maybe I was being hyperbolic but the point stands regardless, anything past 6 blocks is a vanishingly small likelihood if the support is as low as you think. Chainsplit risk is zero barring the proliferation of a URSF client. There are two possibilities: 1. BIP 110 fails immediately (10 noncompliant blocks after activation makes the hash power contest almost unwinnable for BIP110) 2. BIP 110 has moderate to high support making it the main chain.