Appreciate your perspective. If you want to read a good book on just how Fragile (and important) electrical grids are, read "Shorting the Grid" by Meridith Agwin. Oil being cut off definitely played a role, but I definitely defer to local knowledge on all the rest.
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I won't deny that a lack of fuel can cause a country's energy system to collapse... but in this specific case, I don't think so. We will probably never know the real answer in this context