For one user like you or me, and say 500 npubs they follow, how big does that event store get if you were to store just the events from all those npubs? And that's not even counting blossom server files/image caching. What do you think is the ceiling for how many users' notes can fit on a relay running on a raspberry pi? Before you need to start looking at bigger hardware.

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I honestly don’t know. User activity levels vary substantially, there are different kinds of notes beyond just short and long text, and a single black swan event such as “Reply Guy” or even a misbehaving client can drastically change the outcome. Maybe folks running WoT relays, such as Utxo and @Girino Vey! can give you a better idea.