I think its also important to note the human aspect of it all. The saying: "You can only keep a secret between two people, and even the one is safer."
Is true even here. So the larger the group the easier it is to sneak in as a third party eavesdropper.
Even with best security encryption the screenshot leakage will increase per person in the group as well.
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After a critical size the chance of a malicious actor in the group becomes the weakpoint rather than the cryptography.
This MLS is very cool however and will be very nice to see implemented. It will be the strong point.
That's true, but pretty hard to factor human behaviour in to any kind of model. For example a large group on an incredibly boring topic will be less prone to social engineering than a small group on a scandalous topic.