The framing here is very wrong: things can get much worse and not get better for decades, centuries, so it doesn't make sense to claim they will get better at all if all you see is a downward trend.
This slogan is repeated too often, and gives people false hopes and make them apathic, thinking that they should just wait and "survive" while things go through a bad period and then get better. That isn't the attitude we need from the people who know what is going on. We need them to do _something_, not only try to egoistically survive.
Likewise, things _can_ get a lot better without having to get worse. It makes no sense to claim otherwise. This is just doomerism wrapped in a disguise of false prophecy.
View article →
Login to reply
Replies (9)
It’s not about waiting for the storm to pass—it’s about refusing to accept the storm as the only possible sky.
🤍 Holding onto hope amidst the ruins—our journey is shared on my pinned post if you feel like reading.
"Prophecy" is overselling it. I'm just observing some very obvious negative trends and extrapolating.
The optimistic part is also an extrapolation based on things that we are helping to build, like Bitcoin, Nostr and others, that I hope will make for a much better future in the long term.
However I don't see them being adopted fast enough to prevent the looming crisis.
Is it doomerism? Perhaps. But I would argue that periodic crises are common. Localised crises are always happening. Ask the lebanese, iranians or ukranians in 2026 if it's "doomerism" or just realism to react.
As for the implication that we should do nothing... nothing could be further from my thoughts.
In any case, thank you very much for reading!

I tend to follow the framing of things getting worse before they better as well - however I also view it as more of an individualized perception.
If indeed we are all “pattern recognition specialists” than there is an implied requirement that we must recognize the pattern of things getting worse before we can make a change to improve things.
I sense this is very much aligned with the natural world around us.
I also agree that on a macro scale - no one among us is able to yet recognize the patterns that the world is going through in order to prevent or keep things positive….yet….
Perhaps this is where Jason Lowery’s concept of Bitcoin as a world computer/network comes into play eventually???
Things can get much more worst
Tribalistic doomerism is quite a trend these days. Idealistic black and white views of reality also. Self-reliance is beautiful for the human spirit but has its clear real life non black-and-white limits on context.
It's getting better and better for us. When we start building and working together. To show people what real looks like.
Can't defeat the Zeitgeist, though
These disaster "all is getting worse, let's prepare" writeups remind me of this one all the time.
(No hate, it's just an observation. Maybe even not a fit for this one.)