Lol, there's no indication that we *won't* cross that line in the next five years. Everyone gets to place their own bets though ๐คท๐ปโโ๏ธ
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The best test we have for iintelligence is, what, IQ? Some other arbitrary highly distilled measure? We haven't even proven it's a real thing.
Sure there is - path dependence. We know enough about LLMs to know that is not the technology path which leads to AGI.
All of the investments into that space will at best be precursors or fundamental technologies.