I gave up trying to predict the market. Now I just dca and raise and lower the dca amount based on how “expensive” Bitcoin feels. If I can limit my top buys I can maximize my bottom buys. I’m not a trader. I just hope to have more money to dca with when a market turns down. If it never turns down at some point then the bitcoin I have in cold storage should be enough. Besides my home I have 90% of my wealth in bitcoin, so if it doesn’t work out I’ll never retire without moving to a low cost place. It’s worth the risk to me.