Do we need to be worried that the #mempool is empty or does the difficulty adjustment make everything right? What about 2 halvings from now? #btc
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No need to worry. the difficulty adjustment keeps Bitcoin running smoothly yes.
But the mempool isn’t related.
Right now, an empty mempool just means faster, cheaper transactions, not a problem. If low transaction fees ever made mining unprofitable, the difficulty would adjust downward, not because of the mempool just because it wouldn’t be profitable for miners to mine and many will unplug from the network, making it easier for the other miners to stay in the game.
In about two halvings from now? That’s when things get interesting. Block rewards will be tiny, and miners will rely almost entirely on fees. If fees stay low and mining costs stay high, we could see:
1️⃣ Fewer miners = Slower blocks until difficulty adjusts
2️⃣ Higher fees = More congestion again as miners chase profits
3️⃣ More and better Lightning & L2 adoption = Less stress on the base layer
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Appreciate the breakdown!
🙏🏽
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