they always have been but it seems to take a considerable amount of manual work I only have two automated heuristics right now and they only identify the sender in about 1 in 15 cases I plan to add about four more automated heuristics but I still think you'll need a considerable amount of off chain data entry to get really good data

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Lol I've already seen several users challenge you to trace their Monero transactions and nothing but crickets from you ๐Ÿฆ—๐Ÿฆ—๐Ÿฆ— "they only identify the sender in about 1 in 15 cases" In other words - random chance ๐Ÿคฆโ€โ™‚๏ธ "I still think you'll need a considerable amount of off chain data" Monero never claims to protect the privacy of things that are external to it's blockchain...no crypto can
Someone challenged me to trace his transaction to its source yesterday on Bawdy Anarchist's twitter space and I denied the ability to do so. I want to build more automatic decoy eliminators because without them you need lots of off chain data that I don't know how to get or that is expensive to acquire. I am not sure how far you can get using only chain heuristics to identify the true spender; I suspect it's higher than 1 in 15 but lower than 100%. One monero dev offered a helpful cli tool that detects all instances when a stealth address has appeared in a ring; this is something my tool is currently missing and would greatly help with building taint trees. I hope that through community effort my tool continues to improve in effectivelness. The bad guys shouldn't be the only ones with a tool like this, and before yesterday only ciphertrace had a tool like this (that I know of anyway)
more lies lol since you insist on acting like a 12 yr old I'll treat you like one in the context of a cryptocurrency a "transaction tracing tool" would be able to identify the source, destination and amount of transactions. random chance identifies the sender in "about 1 of 15 cases" the recipient that is published on-chain is a one time stealth address. not useful for tracing since SAs break the transaction graph. and amounts remain opaque. additionally, if it takes "a considerable amount of off-chain information" to *actually use* NOBODY is tracing monero transactions. Because that off-chain data generally doesn't exist. (may be exceptions concerning individuals of interest targeted by 3 letter agencies. know your threat model) this tool doesn't trace monero transactions, by definition. it's a block explorer. just let it be a block explorer and quit trying to use semantics to push inaccurate fud.
> in the context of a cryptocurrency a "transaction tracing tool" would be able to identify the source, destination and amount of transactions I don't think it has to automatically do that. A tracing tool is good if it helps automate some parts of the tracing task even if other parts remain manual. > random chance identifies the sender in "about 1 of 15 cases" But random guessing uses no data. This tool uses *data* to identify the sender. A random guess would not be grounds for doing anything. A statistical analysis is worth a lot more. > the recipient that is published on-chain is a one time stealth address. not useful for tracing since SAs break the transaction graph. They do not break the transaction graph. Stealth addresses do not appear just once, they appear again whenever the recipient spends his money and possibly in other transactions as decoys. Filtering out the decoys leaves you with only the true spend tx. You can do that *because* there is a tx graph that stealth addresses appear multiple times in. > and amounts remain opaque Except part of the amount is visible (the fee) and gives you info about the amount in the outputs as well as in the inputs > additionally, if it takes "a considerable amount of off-chain information" to *actually use* NOBODY is tracing monero transactions Seems like you contradict yourself here. First you say "nobody" and argue that the data doesn't exist, then you admit some people might do it and governments might have that data. Not a good look.
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