why would it be any different on the future? if the value proposition is "your Bitcoin will ONLY increase in buying power" you have huge incentive to spend whatever else you have. *even more so* at a future higher valuation. no?

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Because you inch closer and closer to where you yourself are simply running out of time to enjoy with your very own senses anything your BTC can buy. And thus - as I see it - the sensorical value someone gets by spending some of their BTC will at some point in time turn almost every hodler into a net seller. Some people are lucky enough to have enough cash flow to enable a satisfying lifestyle _as well as_ buy/hodl BTC without _ever_ selling any. But I'm pretty sure these people make up a small fraction of all hodlers. All the others will - IMO - turn from buyers into sellers at some point in time.