Excuse my brain's ability to comprehended averages; though I have seen blocks be confirmed after 1 minute and after 1 hours.
Average block time seems to converge at 10 minutes, though im unsure if the next block will be 10 minites.
#ELI5
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For example, as of 833154 height, the last 10 blocks had time close to 10 mins. 833146 and 833148.
The graph is semi misleading as on average it looks like each block is 10 minutes; but in reality it's sometimes 53 second (833153) then 27 minutes (833154)