Sure if you don’t know what you’re doing it’s a gamble, just like bitcoin can be a gamble since bitcoin is a speculative asset ie price is based purely on supply demand not cash flow like a business.
Now until Oct 2026 high probability of outperformance. This is the same timeline as bitcoins underperformance.
Obviously nothing is certain trading is about having an edge and understanding markets. You don’t need to be right all the time.
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I question the intelligence of people who say they know what they’re doing when it comes to trading. All assets are speculative by the way.