I’m certainly not an optimist, but I also think a prerequisite for this scenario is that Bitcoin is worth a shit ton. Then, all of the extremely rich bitcoiners will have had to fail at influencing the government with money, which is how our government works. Additionally, large scale crackdowns on unrealized capital gains would probably lead to bitcoin crashing severely, resulting in a whole lot less tax money for the government.
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Different than in the US in Europe I don't see many bitcoiners influencing the government.
Could be they're smart and won't crackdown to hard to don't crash the market, didn't think of that.