I do think your analysis is spot on. It lacks some factor for non-linear impulses. Maybe I find the article, about a professor that researched around social tipping points through spontaneous network impulses.
Think humans writing each other on social media. His studies were used to find control and surveillance measures to stop spreading the wild fire of ideas outside the well crafted overton window. It's not so much that they want to censor individuals. They regulate the amplitude.
However you give too much credit to the AI powered central planners. Every living system hasan weakspot to dismantle the whole thing (think Achilles).
We are going through a paradigm shift and all those perimeter controls behind the scenes seem necessary to maintain power, which tells me there is a window of opportunity of redefining some fundamental human interactions.
Nostr, Bitcoin, Monero are social structures, tools and techniques that get discovered as the need for them increase. As long as they stick to principles they can be used as leverage at any point in time in the future, which brings us to markets that somehow will need to factor in the tail risk of a spontaneous global discovery of said tools.
Self custodied BTC waking up and atomic swapping into Monero in the millions is one such thing they currently couldn't efficiently stop. It's our duty to have the tools (AMM, DEX, atomic swaps) available to facilitate spontaneous healing.
That's why I said the short cut for BTC to reach $1M is swapping 10% for Monero.
I believe in natural corrective forces in a world based on polarity. Any future potential of economic liberation will be realised sooner or later, no matter the walls you build around it.
You might like this podcast. I'd like to hear your stance on state avoiding and state repelling (creating enforcement costs higher than gains from taxation).
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> You give too much credit to the AI powered central planners.
I definitely do, because I scrape and read policy synchronization standards summaries every week, and unfortunately we happen to live under a one world government ( https://controlplanecapital.com/p/rivalry-between-countries-is-curated ).
Of course, there is a non-zero probability that we win. I've explicitly defined falsifiers, if not in every article, in 90%+ of my articles.
I track most of these things weekly/monthly and adjust. We are the underdog by a wide margin.
I just prefer to focus on the things I can control and the Bitcoin community is not one of them (nor is any other community, other than my immediate family/close friends).
The only thing I felt like I owed the community is to publish most of what I've researched, so they can address some of these issues... or not. Which I've already done.
So when you wrote: "At one point you need to stop riding a dead horse.", I don't know if the horse is dead, but it's castrated and domesticated. So I'll focus on other things until my falsifiers trip.
This conversation gave me a deja vu to a conversation we had 2 months ago.
1)
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2)
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I'll check the podcast out.
OK, I watched some of the presentation. He lost me when he said: "I don't believe the State is a cabal of bad people. It's an evolutionary strategy. The cat that eats the mouse is a result of evolution, it's not someone's design." 😂
I have looked in Zomia very briefly, but need to do more research on it.
Mark Passio's Natural Law Seminar is great:
https://odysee.com/@DotConnectorReports:e/Mark-Passio---Natural-Law-Seminar-FULL-Version:e
I think it's quite clear it is someone's design.
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Yeah, agree that's some weird analogy.
Are you familiar with societal evolutionary concepts like "spiral dyanmics"? In that sense his point probably is, that at one point in time states or state like structures are an ineviatble part of societal evolution.
Besides that I was more thinking about the philosophy, strategies and consequences of becoming "state repellent".