Augustus Cato's avatar
Augustus Cato
npub1p22h...pqlq
Augustus Cato's avatar
augustuscato 1 month ago
The Iranian regime unveiled a mural of some of its most prominent personnel who died. Included in the mural is a photo of Mojtaba Khamenei, the current leader. This does not mean he is dead.
Augustus Cato's avatar
augustuscato 1 month ago
Russian lost Syria in 2024, lost Armenia, Venezuela in 2025, and now is losing Mali in 2026.
Augustus Cato's avatar
augustuscato 2 months ago
The Iranian regime has said 3,375 people were killed in this war compared to 15 U.S soldiers confirmed killed. Israel meanwhile has said they have lost 14 soldiers and 27 civilians.
Augustus Cato's avatar
augustuscato 2 months ago
The Iranian regime can say it won the war because it survived the enormous amount of destruction to their economy and industrial sector. To paraphase Captain Hunt, the regime are a group of weak rulers, ruling over a declining state*, but who too often have extravagant notions of their own power and importance. image *The regime bears enormous responsibility, for causing the decline, by severe mismanagement of basic needs such as the water table, to spending money on non-state armed groups that have isolated Iran's economy from the rest of the world.
Augustus Cato's avatar
augustuscato 2 months ago
Israel has been targeting the senior leadership of the αΈ€arakat Amal- also known as Amal. During the Lebanon Civil War they had a brutal fight with Hezbollah to determine who could be the leading militia for the Shia of Lebanon. Iran made sure that Hezbollah won in the end. The long term impact has been the subjugation of Shia militias under the thumb of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. image
Augustus Cato's avatar
augustuscato 2 months ago
The Iran War went from being a existential fight for the regime to a culture war meme.
Augustus Cato's avatar
augustuscato 2 months ago
If Iran's railway network is severely damaged it will slow down the regime's speed of recovery. One of the aims of China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is to reduce reliance on maritime trade. Allowing them to bypass Western sanctions with regards to Russia and Iran. image
Augustus Cato's avatar
augustuscato 2 months ago
Hezbollah is fighting for the regime in Iran, and these are some of the casualties they suffered within the last 4 days. This is what they bring upon themselves.
Augustus Cato's avatar
augustuscato 2 months ago
The rescue of the F-15's WSO should be made into a movie. A mix of Argo, Behind Enemy Lines and Black Hawk Down.
Augustus Cato's avatar
augustuscato 2 months ago
The Royal Navy's destroyer HMS Daring has spent over 3000 days being out of service compared to the 2,307 days it took to be built and commissioned. image
Augustus Cato's avatar
augustuscato 2 months ago
"Russian diplomatists have invariably sought to aggravate the case and render an accommodation impossible." Captain George Hunt (1858)
Augustus Cato's avatar
augustuscato 2 months ago
President Trump appears to be confused about Iran acting strange in the negotiations. First reason for that would be the recent deaths of many in the revolutionary regime leads to extreme paranoia. Second, Iran's geography encourages factionalism, that comes to the surface whenever a regime faces an existential crisis. Finally, the Supreme Leaders by centralising power, similar to the way the Shahs of the past, have played different factions off each other. Now those factions feel there's less constraints to achieve their own objectives, and they wish to use Trump against their rivals. The White House is speaking to multiple factions at the same time.
Augustus Cato's avatar
augustuscato 2 months ago
Mohammed Baqir Qalibaf- the Speaker of Parliament, appears to be the person who is negotiating on behalf of what's left of the Iranian regime.
Augustus Cato's avatar
augustuscato 3 months ago
This war against Iran is ample evidence that shows just how much Russia has effectively been downgraded from being a global superpower.
↑