Bitcoin is below $76,000 this morning. Stocks are at all-time highs. Gold is climbing in the same chart frame. Half of crypto Twitter is calling capitulation. The other half is calling manipulation.
Both halves are looking at the wrong picture.
Yesterday the Federal Reserve added another sliver to the balance sheet. The Treasury rolled another tranche of maturing debt at a higher coupon. The dollar lost a little more purchasing power against every asset that has not yet been issued, allocated, or printed. Stocks at all-time highs are not a strong-economy signal. They are a soft-currency signal denominated in the asset everyone has the most of.
Gold runs because the same dollar is buying less of it. Stocks run because the same dollar is buying less of them. Bitcoin runs harder over a longer horizon than either, for the same reason and one additional one. The supply schedule is in the code. The other two assets do not have a code.
Stocks are not at all-time highs. The dollar is at an all-time low against stocks.
Bitcoin isn't lagging, its readying the next face melting bull market.













