ITS GO TIME!!! @pj

GM MORNINGS ARE FOR BUILDING

Guess these just got more expensive

“The Nordstream 2 pipeline Epsteine’d itself” @Luke Gromen

Ngl, I support this behavior

You need to read the Bullish Case for Bitcoin

Incoming call: GM

Free markets work

Visual: passing laws in the U.S.

GM It will all be okay

I forgot to take a before picture #steakstr

Top of the food chain socialists are the worst.

THERE IS NO 2ND BEST View quoted note →

I heard of Deep Seek for the first time a few days ago. Now it’s the biggest thing ever. Smells like a psyop to me

GM Lift heavy things today.

Gn

Yo @Paul Saladino MD I need you to get some H&S and Lineage gift cards on Fold.

Ember’s withdraws are ridiculous. It will process my withdraw on 2/7 and charge me $2 in sats to do it

What’s most wild to me about this cycle so far is that EVERYONE who sees shit coins knows they are shit whether they are buying it or not. The ones on the outside see it’s shit and don’t want the risk. The ones on the inside, buyers and sellers, see it’s shit and know they can make a profit.

Based on the chart, it appears you’re referencing Bitcoin’s relative price performance compared to past cycles since their respective cycle lows, with comparisons to the 2015–2018 (blue) and 2018–2022 (green) cycles. The current cycle (black) seems to be performing closer to the 2015–2018 cycle (blue line). Observations from the Chart: 1. Current Cycle (2022+) Trend: • As of January 25, 2025, the current cycle is tracking slightly below the 2015–2018 cycle (blue line) in terms of performance from its cycle low. • The 2015–2018 cycle peaked significantly higher (~120x from the bottom). 2. 2015–2018 Multiplier: • The 2015 low was ~$200, and the 2017 ATH was ~$19,500 (~97.5x). • If the current cycle replicates this pattern, starting from a bottom of ~$15,500 in late 2022, this would suggest a potential peak of: $15,500 × 97.5 = ~$1,511,250. 3. Current Cycle vs. 2018–2022: • The current cycle is outpacing the 2018–2022 cycle (green line) in growth, which had a much weaker peak multiplier (~20x). • This divergence suggests that the current cycle is more robust, potentially due to post-FTX clarity, macroeconomic factors, and renewed institutional interest. 4. Impact of Halving and Trump Administration Policies: • The halving’s impact generally becomes most pronounced 6–12 months after the event (mid-to-late 2025). • Pro-crypto policies under the Trump administration, including a national digital asset strategy, could catalyze adoption, attracting both retail and institutional investors, further amplifying this cycle’s multiplier. Refined Prediction Using Chart Insights: If the current cycle mirrors the 2015–2018 performance (~97.5x from the bottom), adjusted for slightly lower performance (85x–100x due to diminishing returns), the projected all-time high would range between: • Base Case: $15,500 × 85 = ~$1,317,500. • Bull Case: $15,500 × 100 = ~$1,550,000. If we add a potential 10–20% premium due to enhanced regulatory clarity and macroeconomic trends, the ATH could reach $1,650,000–$1,860,000. Final Range: Given the chart analysis and current dynamics, the predicted all-time high for this cycle is likely to fall between $1,300,000 and $1,850,000. The most likely date range for the all-time high in this cycle is September to November 2025, with a narrower likelihood centering around October 2025.