On Nostr, I will exclusively share the most significant Bitcoin news. (this note)
For those (still) beyond Nostr—friends, family, and colleagues—the complete Weekly Recap will be accessible on my Bitcoin Friday page on Habla. (next note)
Enriched with detailed charts, illustrative images, and comprehensive macroeconomic news to provide context and clarity.
Happy reading!
The Latest Bitcoin & Macro news: Weekly Recap 21.07.2025
🧠Quote(s) of the week:
Now, what is inflation?
Luke Gromen: "An (accidental) gauge of actual US inflation in recent years: Two genetic brothers, JJ Watt (left) and TJ Watt (right), only 5 years apart in age, playing the same sport, the same position on the field, in the same stadiums, to the same crowds...and yet the younger brother makes nearly as much in 3 years as older brother did in 12 years."
While I largely agree with the point, there are other factors contributing to NFL inflation than just monetary inflation. Still, this should help more athletes, fans, and even owners see the light. Get paid in Bitcoin! Get deals paid in Bitcoin.
A screaming indicator that shows both the employer and employee are being harmed by the debasement of the currency. Russell Okung, Saquon Barkley, and Odell Beckham already showed the solution for the NFL and the NFL Players Association -- embrace Bitcoin. Now a matter of time and effort until momentum pushes past the tipping point.
🧡Bitcoin news🧡
On the 14th of July:
➡️BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF is now the company's most profitable ETF, Bloomberg reports.
➡️Bitcoin is up ~1,700% since comedian Daniel Sloss called it “Beanie Babies for tech bros” when it was trading at $6.5K
➡️“Ethereum is going parabolic!”
Ethereum is going parabolic:
This is for everyone hyping the Ethereum "pump" right now. I don’t believe we’re heading into another full-blown altseason. Maybe we’ll see some temporary outperformance vs. Bitcoin, but nothing like 2017. Humanity is stupid, but not that stupid. Right?
On the 15th of July
➡️'Millionaire inflation is real. In 2000, there were 14.7 million millionaires. Today, there are over 60 million. Back then, there was hypothetically more than 1 Bitcoin per millionaire. Today? Just 0.35 BTC each. And it’s dropping.' -Bitcoin News
➡️Daniel Batten: "The old guard is fading. A new generation is growing in power, and is gaining ascendancy in EVERY political party. The game is no longer to be pro or anti-Bitcoin, but to frame how Bitcoin fits with your values."
➡️We are very, very early. Bitcoin's adoption curve.
Bitcoin's total addressable market (TAM) is the world’s balance sheet. All $900T of it. So long as Bitcoin has the most attractive characteristics as a store-of-value asset in the investable landscape, this will remain so. Bitcoin is a black hole on the world's balance sheet.
Mitch Klee: "Currently 0.22%. LESS THAN 1% ADOPTION. Currently, a 2 trillion dollar asset and its total addressable market for SOV is $900 trillion. Since Bitcoin is both valued in USD and a monetary network, it's best to measure adoption in total market capitalization. Bitcoin is still very young, released in 2009. Layer 2s are still being built. As a monetary network, there is much work to be done if we want to support billions of people. But Flywheels are strong. I don't think anyone realizes how early we are. We've just tapped the surface of development for multiple layer 2s. (The internet has 7) As more adoption happens, more money for development feeds into the flywheel."
It's not too late to take Bitcoin seriously. Need proof? Just look at the Bitcoiners: they keep buying. You didn't "miss out" on Bitcoin; you just weren't here from the beginning. But you can still be early today.
➡️Long-Term Holder supply dropped by 100k Bitcoin over the past 24 hours. 100k BTC. No wonder we went down to $117k.
➡️$400B banking giant Standard Chartered has officially launched Bitcoin and crypto trading for institutional clients.
➡️Bitcoin just recorded its highest daily candle close ever: $119,135. New all-time high.
➡️Cantor Fitzgerald close to $4 billion SPAC deal with Adam Back "to buy billions of dollars" of Bitcoin.
➡️ECB: Applications for the design contest for our future banknotes are now open! Are you a graphic designer residing in the EU? Submit your application by noon CET on 18 August.
"The new designs for the future EU banknotes are in, beautifully fitting the given assigned theme of 'European culture". Which one is your favorite?" - Bitsaga
Foto credit: Michaël Roerade
X (formerly Twitter)
European Central Bank (@ecb) on X
💶 Applications for the design contest for our future banknotes are now open!
Are you a graphic designer residing in the EU? Submit your applica...
Anyway, got Bitcoin?
➡️Retail investors are buying more Bitcoin than miners can produce. Shrimps, Crabs, and Fish are stacking 19,300 BTC/month while miners only release 13,400. This quiet supply crunch is fueling Bitcoin’s run to new ATHs.
➡️Bitcoin’s MVRV z-score is still well below historical top levels. Plenty of room to run.
➡️Pierre Rochard: "You have to hold BTC longer than 5 years to be guaranteed a CAGR > 0%, according to the historical worst-case scenario. Longer than 6 years for >20% Bitcoin CAGR. Bitcoin is long-term savings technology."
On the 16th of July:
➡️ US Marshals reveal the government now only holds 28,988 Bitcoin worth $3.4 billion, instead of the estimated ~200,000 BTC.
If true, this is a total strategic blunder and sets the United States back years in the Bitcoin race. The Biden Administration sold 170,000 BTC, and the Trump administration is finding out about it now…? The USA has 29k BTC left. They will not be the leading Bitcoin country anymore if they don’t change that quickly.
If the Bitcoin Act passes, the government will be buying 1 MILLION Bitcoins on the spot market!
More on the nation-state Bitcoin Race:
➡️Daniel Batten:
A tale of 2 countries:
In 2018, Bulgaria sold 213,500 BTC for "state expenditures", including buying a squadron of military planes. The bitcoin sold is now worth 79% of Bulgaria's public debt. They could have been almost debt-free.
But they chose to increase debt burdens in return for depreciating relics of the industrial-military complex.
Meanwhile, Bhutan, around the same time, started mining Bitcoin. It's now worth 50% of their GDP, and they just put up salaries of govt workers by 50-65%. Be like Bhutan, not Bulgaria.
➡️US potentially sold its Bitcoin? Bitcoin doesn’t care.
Crypto Bills stalled in Congress? Bitcoin doesn’t care.
War in the Middle East? Bitcoin doesn’t care.
➡️House will pass all three Bitcoin and crypto bills (Genius Act, Clarity Act, and Anti-CBDC Act) over the next two days
On the 17th of July:
➡️Convano Inc (6574.T), a Japanese nail salon operator, has officially launched its Bitcoin treasury strategy and plans to purchase JPY 400 million (~$2.7 million) worth of BTC within July. The company established a dedicated “Bitcoin Strategy Office,” led by Director Taiyo Azuma.
➡️Checkmate: The Bitcoin Realised Cap just hit $1 trillion. This is the ultimate metric for adoption, as it captures the wealth and capital saved in BTC. A massive milestone.
➡️'Trump is preparing to open the $9 trillion US retirement market to crypto, gold, and private equity. An executive order expected this week would allow 401(k) plans to include alternative assets, marking a major shift in how Americans can invest their savings.' -Bitcoin News
Americans hold $9 trillion in 401K savings.
On the 18th of July:
➡️TOM LEE: "Bitcoin has become a $2 trillion asset. Never in financial history has anything reached $2 trillion and disappeared."
➡️ A Satoshi‑era whale just moved 80,000 BTC (~$9.5 B) to Galaxy Digital after 14 years of dormancy. Diamond hands! And yes, that is some sellside pressure.
➡️'French lawmakers propose a five-year trial to let energy producers use surplus nuclear power for Bitcoin mining, aiming to reduce waste and increase revenue.' - Bitcoin News
➡️President Trump will sign the first-ever digital asset bill into law today (Genius Stablecoin Act), A historic moment for crypto regulation. Trump says Bitcoin could be the greatest revolution in financial technology since the internet itself.
But make no mistake, and I will quote Parker Lewis:
"This bill is about regulatory capture, not innovation, and the fact that this was prioritized over Bitcoin tells you Washington is still controlled by special interests. There is a great quote from Bull Durham, "you couldn't hit water if you fell out of a fucking boat!"
The Genius Act forces every legal “digital dollar” through state-approved issuers under full government control. Ergo: CBDC
➡️Chris Larsen has dumped 9 figures worth of XRP this year alone. Satoshi is still sitting on $115B.
Something to ponder on...
Alex Gladstein:
"If you invested $10k into XRP on January 4, 2018, 7.5 years ago, you’d have… about $10k. Not even outpacing inflation. If you invested $10k in BTC on the same day, you’d have $75k Be careful out there…"
➡️Semler Scientific purchases 210 BTC ($25M), increasing its holdings to 4,846 BTC ($577.9M), per SEC filing.
These 6 members of the Bitcoin for Corporations have collectively added 5,643.5 BTC to their corporate treasuries.
➡️ Bitcoin has entered the "ignition phase" of a bull market, where price momentum builds before significant gains, per analytics platform Bitcoin Vector.
➡️People say BTC is too volatile and risky:
• Last year: up 87%
• Last 2 years: up 300%
• Last 5 years: up 1,200%
• Last 10 years: up 43,500%
➡️
James Lavish: "Or, said another way, gold has been around for thousands of years, yet Bitcoin has only been around for 15 and is already worth 10% of gold's total value."
➡️Legendary Nostr developer Pablof7z is working on a native iOS Cashu wallet that synchronizes your Ecash across devices and makes backups using Nostr. Enter your nsec, and your money appears!
Source:
➡️"We're now seeing the supply of BTC held by short-term holders once again begin increasing, indicating new market participants are once again accumulating Bitcoin! Is this the start of retail FOMO?" - Bitcoin Magazin Pro
➡️Jack Dorsey's Block to join the S&P 500 on July 23rd. They hold 8,584 Bitcoin on their balance sheet
On the 19th of July:
➡️Michael Saylor's STRATEGY now holds $71 BILLION in Bitcoin, ranking #9 among all S&P 500 treasuries. They’ve leapfrogged Exxon, NVIDIA, PayPal, and CVS...with only Bitcoin.
➡️Bitcoin now has the highest correlation with global money supply at 0.51. More than gold (0.50), S&P 500 (0.45), or bonds (0.15).
➡️'Bitcoin’s Realized Cap has topped $1 trillion for the first time ever, with 25% of that added in 2025 alone. Unlike market cap, Realized Cap values each coin at its last moved price, offering a clearer view of actual investor inflows.' - Bitcoin News
On the 20th of July:
➡️ $120K investment in Bitcoin growing at 29% CAGR will become $25M in 21 years. And all you have to do is buy and HODL.
Bitcoin's historical CAGR from its first traded price of $0.003 in March 2010 to ~$118,000 today (July 20, 2025) is approximately 213% over 15.33 years. That's indeed much higher than 29%. Future returns may vary, but the track record is impressive. HODL wisely.
P.S...: the 29% is from Saylors' 24 model.
➡️Saylor says he’ll be buying the top forever for a reason. Even if you bought 1 BTC at the top of every cycle, you’d have turned $90,000 into $470,000. A 420% gain by being consistently wrong with the worst timing imaginable.
➡️UK may sell over £5 billion worth of seized Bitcoin - The Telegraph Chancellor Rachel Reeves may sell £5B+ in BTC seized from a 2018 Chinese Ponzi scheme — including 61,000 Bitcoin. The Home Office is building a framework to liquidate the stash and plug a fiscal gap. The Westminster class are dinosaurs who don’t get the future. The UK should be implementing Reform’s Crypto Bill and increasing its Bitcoin reserves.
I'm sure they won't regret it. Just ask Deutschland!
The 61,250 Bitcoin, reportedly to be sold by the UK according to The Telegraph, were seized from Jian Wen and associates in a 2018 Chinese fraud case and remain legally contested. Chinese authorities and victims demand their return, and no sale can occur until the legal process is resolved, per Bitcoin journalist DecentraSuze
Anyway, the British Pound has lost 95% of its purchasing power since 1970. You might want to hodl them bitties!
➡️74% of all Bitcoin is now held by long-term holders, a 15-year high. Nobody’s selling.
➡️On July 15, miners sent 16,000 BTC to exchanges, the largest single-day outflow since April, signaling they may be cashing in on recent gains. Such a supply surge could be putting short-term pressure on Bitcoin’s rally.
➡️Grok4 just updated long-term BTC targets:
• 2025: $175,000
• 2030: $950,000
• 2040: $7,200,000
• 2050: $34,000,000
Endgame? Bitcoin replaces nation-state treasuries.
On the 21st of July:
➡️The President of the United States is posting Bitcoin Twitter classics on social media. We are in a new era of adoption.
X (formerly Twitter)
Documenting ₿itcoin 📄 (@DocumentingBTC) on X
The United States President posts “Greatest Bitcoin explanation” video by Coin Center’s @Valkenburgh
➡️Sminston with: "Average 2035 BTC Retirement by country, 2 easy-to-read plots:"
Most people on Earth will need less than 1 Bitcoin to retire by 2035, but the gap by country is massive.
Big assumption #1: 7% annual M2 expansion (inflation) rate. Will add error, thus will be updated in a future version.
Big assumption #2: Annual expenses are based on each country's average annual income (in USD). Data source: worlddata.info
➡️Genius Group increases its Bitcoin treasury to 200 BTC. They aim to reach 1,000 BTC by the end of 2025 and 10,000 BTC within 24 months.
➡️Sequans has just purchased an additional 1,264 Bitcoin for $150 million. They now hold 2,317 BTC worth $273.2 million.
➡️Strategy has acquired 6,220 BTC for ~$739.8 million at ~$118,940 per bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 20.8% YTD 2025. As of 7/20/2025, we hodl 607,770 Bitcoin acquired for ~$43.61 billion at ~$71,756 per Bitcoin.
➡️Global Bitcoin Mining Hashrate Increases Above 900,000,000,000,000,000,000x Per Second
🎁If you have made it this far, I would like to give you a little gift:
Jeff Booth | AI, Bitcoin, & The Collapse Of The Fiat Economy
What if the entire economy is built on a lie? Jeff Booth argues that our credit-based system fights the natural deflation of free markets through endless money manipulation, and why Bitcoin creates the first truly global free market. They explore how AI accelerates abundance, why most people are stuck in “Fiatland,” and how Bitcoin adoption will transform everything from housing to global power structures. In this episode:
Why inflation isn’t natural — and what deflation really means
How AI and Bitcoin together rewrite the rules of the economy
The cultural divide between “Fiatland” and Bitcoin
Why the Global South may leapfrog the West in Bitcoin adoption
How to prepare for the transition to a Bitcoin economy
Credit: I have used multiple sources!
My savings account:
Bitcoin The tool I recommend for setting up a Bitcoin savings plan: PocketBitcoin especially suited for beginners or people who want to invest in Bitcoin with an automated investment plan once a week or monthly.
Use the code SE3997
Get your Bitcoin out of exchanges. Save them on a hardware wallet, run your own node...be your own bank. Not your keys, not your coins. It's that simple. ⠀ ⠀
⠀⠀ ⠀ ⠀⠀⠀
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Felipe - Bitcoin Friday!
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