Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

$SIVE + Aeva likely coded from the new PR today and SIVE + Apple. For Sivers lasers powering robotics / physical AI. -> Sivers lasers powering Boston Dynamics Atlas via. LG Innotek for robotics -> Nvidia Hyperion ecosystem w/ Sivers lasers for physical AI. Are possible paths [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069388279355756826]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

$XFAB upgraded to outperform with a PT of €12.8 by Bernstein, up from €5. Okay I forgive you Bernstein for Kioxia and Intel. I still think that’s just reactive PTs off automotive recovery, SiC/power semi ramp up. And undershooting potential a lot… If markets price in the [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069373894398743000]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

There’s nothing like BoFA giving BS extreme bear predictions. To clear all the Korean leveraged traders a 2nd time this year. Korean markets are less resilient when it’s built on Aespa, Salmon skincare, and SK Hynix/Samsung memory names ig. [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069302402147360946]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Bank of America looks like the malicious equivalent of Bernstein/Jim Cramer to retail. - said $KOSPI / $EWY was an extreme bubble, compared it to Silver crash back in March, causing retail to sell positions. The index proceeded to close to double and hit ATHs since that call. [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069271973402931511]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

IMO photonics theme + CW laser chokepoint is goated. It's legit like markets have short term memory loss and forgot how $LITE went from $3B -> $65B+ from 2024 to now. Because $NVDA caused EML bottlenecks, and forced architectural changes. We're literally seeing the same [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069258326505140653]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Best time to long CXL for memory pooling was 4 months ago. $ALAB up 276% from $117 -> $440 $MRVL up 291% from $79 -> $309 [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069246038935065076]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

I actually think OE Solutions ($138080.KQ ) makes the most sense as an acquisition target by a large downstream player. Since it’s now trading at a stupid ~$215M MC for scarce EML/CW laser IP. A Source Photonics / Suzhou Dongshan Precision type acquisition might add a lot more [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069230221388333366]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

I wonder how it feels to miss out on the AI supercycle run… With photonics, memory, and even Neoclouds like $NBIS. Because you’re busy bagholding into the endless $6,000,000,000 active ATMs with $IREN.

[Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069214132415652048]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Wow, $TSEM up 10%+ today. Good times, should have made this one of my largest positions in hindsight back in March. Foundries like $GFS and $INTC have been going brrr lately. [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069188398825566318]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Wow, $SPCX is now down over $583B in MC... Since Jim Cramer gave a bullish call at $210. Pretty amazing to witness tbh. Inverse Cramer would have returned ~21% in 3 trading days, outperforming a year in your largest indexes? [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069068801329774691]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

That’s for you to decide. But just throwing this out there: If $AAOI hits projections, that’s over 800%+ Y/Y growth, and $5.6B revenue annualized off $12.8B MC. My guess is that the $471m/month will keep going up as demand seems to scale exponentially into 2028. I’d expect [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069062745308254434]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

As for $LPK: Maybe $3B-$5B seems reasonable when they fully volume ramp if I had to guess. Feels more asymmetrical to me personally since it's just a waiting game and they have the customers for glass substrates. Small machine supplier chokepoints usually cap out from TAM [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069005921318281566]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

I expect Japan to mog Sweden in the World Cup tomorrow. Probably another 4-0 after Japan's soccer players saw how Swedish media treated $SIVE. [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2068880324202008964]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Wow, 3 limit ups in a row with WUS TW. Pretty sad I didn't take larger positions. WUS TW is 1 my 2 NAV arbitrage + independent growth trades. If you want context: WUS TW is a ~$1.12B PCB player with AI DC growth. Their stake in WUS Kunshan is $4.79B (11.4% of 42.04 billion) [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2068866709667406286]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Jeez, Japanese markets seem happy. Everything from Furukawa, Towa, Harmonic Drive, Ibiden, are up today. Probably after winning the World Cup game 4-0?

[Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2068860355393290703]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

That’s a misconception: $SIVE is the laser supplier for next gen architectures, not just CPO scale up. Pluggable, scale out CPO, scale up CPO, NPO, etc. - Sivers and $JBL went god-mode and developed 1.6T optical transceivers with CW lasers. Effectively designing around the [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2068651355422814294]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

I've been getting a lot of questions about OE Solutions (138080) recently. Here's my research/thoughts so far on it: They're a small Korean optical transceiver company, similar to $AAOI. And they've become one the few EML players in the world (eg. $COHR, $LITE, Mitsubishi, [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2068603148311404902]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Apparently gym bros are the new hyperscalers. They’ve created a new bottleneck with whey protein? Now there’s $SNDK style price hikes. Maybe creatine is next with shortages. [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2068579389722546529]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Well, looks like prediction markets are about to get a ton of extra regulatory scrutiny. They should also investigate how Polymarket pays influencers for undisclosed paid comments to game the X algorithm. I get offered deals like this all the time as the most subscribed to [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2068567767951749467]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Trump administration is prob realizing now that the key to winning Trade Wars: Is through frontier supply chains like Quantum, AI, Robotics. Not cheap Nike sock exports. With $ASML, $TOWA, $LPK, Ajinomoto, over in Japan, EU, TW, Korea, and others holding all the cards… [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2068537478131118438]