Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

oh i think u misunderstand... I'm actually more bullish than ever as prices go down. $SIVE at ~$1.9B MC you have: - $GFS reference laser - laser for Ayar and others in $NVDA NVLink ecosystem for CPO scale up - $POET and others for CPO scale out - $JBL and others for 1.6T+ [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2070179074048409662]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Feels like the only thing that hasn’t crashed… Is memory like $MU, indexes, or large cap semis like Intel so far. - Photonics from $AXTI to $SIVE down 40%. - Space from $ASTS and $RKLB down 40% 1M. - Popular AI names like $PLTR is down ~35% YTD. - Software like $CRM down

[Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2070157835137434015]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

The $WEN meme traders made it to Global Media from Japan to US! The burger fast food chain is now up ~50%, which is pretty impressive. Feels bad to be sidelined and see my AI memory/optical portfolio perform worse than a $RDDT memestock tho. Did anyone take positions?

[Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2070020727441621026]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Global markets in a nutshell: Japanese Company: Active monopoly over random chokepoints in the hyperscaler AI buildout. Valuation: $150m-$350M Silicon Valley: Here's a $200m for a "Seed Round". [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2070008157892751624]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Very interesting statement today: $MU CEO predicts a multi-decade memory demand cycle driven by humanoid robots. "Humanoid robots, he says, will require roughly ten times more memory than today’s Level 2+ autonomous vehicles." "And that demand wave is set to begin before the [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069990311296975133]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Just from my personal experiences: My new heuristic is markets tend to price things in ~8 months in advance unless your theme is Space, Robotics/Quantum. For themes I'm tracking: For photonics: - Next-gen pluggables (1.6T) are right around now (ex. $LITE, $COHR, Innolight, [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069979863986176210]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Think so. But in the meantime, I call my strategy: Diversified Losses. With $AXTI, $SOI, $AAOI, and many others. Had a massive drawdown recently, CPO exposure was hit the hardest (Foci, Msscorp, etc) and adjacent names, feels bad. Probably lesson personally, I had too much

[Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069967746377662587]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Today, Anthropic has directly accused the $BABA Qwen AI lab of distilling its frontier AI models. By creating thousands of fake accounts and over 28.8 million exchanges. Feels like this is kind of known by now... but there's been no real penalties enforced yet. We'll see [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069938631817699588]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Always amazing looking at $MU earnings: Revenue: $41.46B vs. $35.8B est. EPS: $25.11 vs. $20.78 est. Forecasts: Revenue: $49B to $51B, vs $43.24B est EPS: $30.00 to $32.00, vs. $25.31. “Micron said on Wednesday that it has signed 16 long-term agreements” "When completed,

[Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069892511406100716]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Nancy Pelosi just disclosed: - $1 million - $5 million of $INTC March 2027 calls - 200 $UBER March 19, 2027 call option contracts with a $50 strike price This was done last month May 29th. (her husband is the active trader executing this). Just for the people who like [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069780882018459851]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Nancy Pelosi just disclosed: - $1 million - $5 million of $INTC March 2027 calls - 200 $UBER March 19, 2027 call option contracts with a $50 strike price I know a lot of people out there like following Nancy (this was done last month May 29th, Intel has appreciated quite a bit [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069779605767278902]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Fun new information discovery from Poet OSINT community: Seems likely that $POET / $SIVE are going to power a Top-3 hyperscaler (either Amazon, Microsoft, Google). Given a Linkedin update from Ankur Singla (CEO of Lumilens). Who stated their customer is one of the top 3 [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069775271562289299]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

OpenLight (private) seems to get bigger and bigger every time I look at it. If you’re curious about their public ecosystem outside of Advantest: $JBL ( $SIVE partner ) for scaling PICs $MRVL and $MXL for DSPs $TSEM for the foundry. $300394.SZ / TFC Optical (OSAT/subassembly) [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069675057300082728]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Don’t quite think “siphoned off” is the correct term. It’s capex for massive revenue increase or margin increase down the line. $AMZN is probably my favorite hyperscaler right now and example to give. Amazon’s headcount is absurd, like ~1.57M. If the capex goes into [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069655980456149142]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

I find it interesting that the degens on $RDDT are starting a viral campaign to save Wendy’s ( $WEN ). The US fast food burger chain. And the stock price is now up 20% overnight. Just for background: Wendy’s is a popular community meme, where people work behind the dumpsters

[Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069633445903675865]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Curious if anyone's portfolio is green after today's fun day. $KORU: -32.06% $SOXL: -22.98% $IQE: -13.58% $DRAM: -12.6% $AXTI: -12.57% $FLNC: -12.5% $AAOI: -11.2% $SIVE: -11.7% $TSEM: -10.24% $SNDK: -12.5% $MU: -11.8% Sk Hynix: -12.35% Samsung: -9.6% $MRVL: -8.3% $LITE: -7.6% [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069445918114697463]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Today, $XFAB (1.23B MC) receives €127.4 million from CHIPS ACT for their MEMS Foundry. "The «Fab4Micro» in Erfurt is a key project for the technological sovereignty of Germany and Europe, explained Thuringia’s head of government." The production start is planned in 2028 [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069430169300070612]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Dip looks like a clear buying opportunity for me personally from $MU, $INTC, to $TSM. Since we got a massive drop off BS narratives like 3 rate hikes off no newly material macroeconomic data (which comes out Thursday). If institutions really believed 3 rate hike sellside [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069422448345518346]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

Nothing is more stupid than Bloomberg copying BofA playbook with KOSPI back in March. And framing Taiwan’s $TSM ~23.6x forward p/e and $NVDA upstream supply chain as a “bubble”. Then using the words going into “debt” instead of “margin” + comparing Taiwan’s market to the .com

[Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069399639154213281]

Serenity (X Mirror) 2 months ago

$SIVE + Aeva likely coded from the new PR today and SIVE + Apple. For Sivers lasers powering robotics / physical AI. -> Sivers lasers powering Boston Dynamics Atlas via. LG Innotek for robotics -> Nvidia Hyperion ecosystem w/ Sivers lasers for physical AI. Are possible paths [Source: https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2069388279355756826]