"prediction is very close to intelligence"
Prediction is intelligent as long as things unfold exactly as they did in the past. For surprisingly many fields this is true; which is why LLMs are more valuable than most people realize (and want to admit). However, at the same time, paradigm shifts cannot be predicted. When you truly go from zero to one, invent a new genre, come up with formulas that cannot be inferred or explained by historical data, you never predict - you always create. Which means there are at least two types of intelligence: logic + intuition.
Experiential intuition is logic, real intuition is inner knowing, original knowledge that the subconscious mind retrieves directly from a universal quantum field containing all possible information about the past, present, and future.
It cannot be logically deduced from past experiences, rahter it is pure "knowing" which surfaces as a sudden realization or gut feeling during brief moments when the rational mind temporarily relaxes its constant analysis and control.
This is why I believe these three statements to be true:
LLMs are extremely powerful and they are already on an exponential curve to outcompete every single human being and every collective of humans on the logical/rational intelligence.
For the near- and medium-term future at least, artificial intelligence can never achieve what humans — because we are conscious — can access on the intuitive side of intelligence.
If we fuse the strengths and power of all current forms of AI – including LLMs – with our uniquely human ability to access fields of information (and therefore invent, create, decide) we can create a future that is beyond the beauty of our wildest dreams.
The real problem is: most humans, almost all organizations operate entirely on a rational / logical / data-based level (that's why AI, big data, etc. are such a money-making industry). Very very few trust what they know to be true, even though all data, and AI disagrees.
This courage, to go against "predictive" intelligence, is what will separate creation from average.
Everyone will have access to the same powerful AI systems.
Most have access to the same or the least very similar data.
Your level of consciousness is the unique difference.
