Smart money is fleeing into the hardest assets. Gold, silver, Monero and surprisingly Bitcoin Cash. Why Bitcoin Cash and why not Bitcoin you may ask! BCH still has a dedicated community of early Bitcoiners who can easily maintain the price where it is guaranteeing a floor. Same with Monero. Both have actual on-chain use which helps further stabilizing exchange rates. Bitcoin is owned by institutions that want to shake out people. People have invested for speculative USD gains. As the market turns around and their livelihoods are endangered by USD inflation they start to sell off Bitcoin as they don't even own XMR or BCH.

Dictators like those pardons. They show the people who holds the power.

Bitcoiners need to wake up and sell their remaining BCH now or short it if they want to stop Bitcoin Cash from rising. The price chart shows a confirmed break out of BCH/BTC 8 year down trend. After 4 years of consolidation and stability this could be an early signal for a long-term trend reversal. Are Bitcoiners prepared for BCH eating into Bitcoin's security budget? Are Bitcoiners even hedged these days? Maximalist philosophy of many Bitcoiners might be their down fall.

This will be another unpopular post. The market suggests that BCH might become a better place to store your value than BTC at least for the next decade. It already poked the down trend against XAU and is ready to move against it in 2026. Not discussing BCH technical merits here. Thanks to the Bitcoin btrash campaign during the blocksize wars BCH has been sold short to such extremes that its natural tendency is to rise no matter what.

What if Bitcoin's store of value narrative gets disrupted? Are you prepared for that? Can one really be prepared for that? Should one be prepared?

XMR already broke out of its bull flag against M2 money supply and indices like NASDAQ. XMR/USD will follow shortly. XMR/XAU will be the show stopper for now. XMR/BTC still the grand master, that will be taken on in 2027-2029. Everything based on 1M charts.

All charts (XMR/XAU, XMR/USD, XMR/BTC) suggest that Monero has room for a short term +100% move maybe even touching 4 figures for a while before seeing a correction to $500 or BTC 0.005 in 2026. At that point I'd expect some states to enter pre-panic mode. Especially those that delisted or banned Monero as it shows they lost control. States will push the delisting of KuCoin. Market will dump on short term liquidity drain, but see it as ultimate proof that Monero is the real deal.

This won't be a popular post. But it will make future funny money billionaires. BTC/XAU painted a convincing quintuple top over the last 4 years on the 1M chart. But not only that. It broke its uptrend line without hesitation. Now, I wouldn't completely give up on BTC as gold might also be due for a correction, but the market formulated an idea that is hard to ignore. It may suggest that the BTC store of value narrative will fail. What then? Monero has painted a multi year bull flag against USD and XAU (gold) which has still room for a run up in the short term (+100%) before ultimately seeking a break out into new price discovery. This is a warning shot. It's time to position yourself. Pro tip. Never measure (anything) without a fixed scale. Especially if we are talking about hyper inflated fiat currencies the only thing you'll get out is garbage.

BTC not much to say. Pretty much under control and developing at its own slow pace. Grinding between 70 and 120k for a couple of years will make the store of value narrative believable. View quoted note →

PoW coin dominance - or as some old timers would say - all that really matters. 1. BTC 2. DOGE 3. BCH 4. XMR 5. ZEC 6. LTC DOGE meme fun is over. Elon backers can't be bothered to pump it more so it bleeds until it falls of a cliff. XMR currently has the strongest narrative and community. Upcoming bull flag out break. BCH still has some OG support and technical break outs against BTC and USD. ZEC has some VCs and US gov want to position ZEC against Monero. Charts in correction mode, but likely does not matter as they will get the money printer support like BTC (Tether) and DOGE (Elon) before. LTC has a solid track record as a medium of exchange. Solid chart with possibility to expand. This is a silent revolution/reordering in the market. Use it to your advantage.

All targets have been reached and exceeded. Time for some slower moves. Expecting some craziness starting from Q2 2026. View quoted note →

Expecting a soft landing into ATH territory over the next weeks. Then some consolidating and then some crazy stuff only early Bitcoiners still remember like the run up to $30 in 2011. View quoted note →

Price action without the noise can be boiled down to "Monero and gold are chilling together". Like Peter Brandt mentioned a couple of weeks ago, it's the most interesting chart in all of crypto at the moment. I tend to agree. The setup is unique. The real outbreak versus gold is not expected before end of 2027. However, there is still room and the expectation to grow x2 versus gold within the next 12 months.

ZEC pump and dump is over. It just closed with a huge monthly wick that signals weakness or at least a stalling of momentum. Maybe Sillicon valley VC's figured that Bitcoiners and Monero investors won't fall for their silly plays, while spill-over effects are real.

Monero slowly climbing ranks in this lack-luster market. Today it silently confirmed its highest monthly close in its almost 12 years of existence. Once again it proves that it is now the only fully decorrelated asset, independently moving from all other markets. You want, no you need exposure to this coin. Depending on macro market forces there is the possibility to accumulate within the $250 to $500 range for up to 12 months more. After that we'll see the 8 to 9 year bull flag getting fully resolved to the upside giving us potential targets between $10k and $100k, no less.

So far we are still on track. Trend reversal is in full force. Monero reached its shorter term target at a significant resistance level, meaning we either will see a temporary rejection here or sideways consolidation. Interesting that both XMRBTC and BCHBTC are currently flirting with their respective 8 year down trends against BTC. BCH is consolidating slightly above the already broken trend line. XMR is consolidating exactly at the trend line. Expecting a full confirmation of the trend reversal within the next 6 months.

Monero is old enough to watch the 3M and 6M charts. You won't find a clearer text book bull flag than XMRUSD. Almost as if maximum manipulation results in the clearest chart patterns. Add to that a very clear IHS on XMRBTC and you have a recipe for epic price discovery about to start at any time. You really don't want to miss this setup. Think ZEC, but for Monero.

The market dynamic currently present in ZECUSD is one of a kind. The only other price rise that is comparable is when Elon pumped DOGE. This is of course not an organic move. Someone with big pockets is moving ZEC against a stagnating and lack-luster overall market. ZEC marketcap went from around 500M to over 10B in 2 months. The narrative may be strong, especially since supported by crypto media outlets. This should make one extra cautious. This is not a sector wide move. This is a solitary pump. Maybe it is to distract from Monero. Maybe it is exit liquidity for DCG. Maybe it is a re-positioning of big whales preparing for the privacy narrative, when BTC becomes less useful. Interesting to watch, that even in 2025 x20 moves are not out of the window in shirt time frames.

Are you ready? As one of the oldest and boldest in this whole altcoin trading game, I've spent a lotta time glazing the charts. In our young, 15 year old (wet with a bag of quarters) market, we've never seen a chart like XMR 2025. Why? 7.86 years of accumulation since the all time high in Dec 2017. That's right, and an ascending triangle resolving - you guessed it - now... Or at least it sure looks like it'll confirm the close above $496 and go straight to $835. That's a lot of cushion for the pushin as I write this at $316 Oct 2023. This chart has seen it all and is a kettle cooker waiting to explode (or whatever KC's do). We've never seen a chart like this with actual strength AND the narrative of privacy is strong. Sectoral headwinds with zec recent 685% move beget more conviction. After all, sectoral narratives trade hotter than a kettle cooker in crypto. And truly private money has a monetary premium. institutions can buy into truly private money in the age of bitcoin adoption. Privacy in scarce digital money systems with anonymous rails for transactions have tradeoffs, but the people with the most money ultimately want true anonymity. And what's the valuation? $5B market cap? $10B? What's that an NBA team these days? On the back of political headwinds and common sense regulatory recapture, betting on truly anonymous money is a no brainer. You're welcome. Good luck. Don't fight the tape. Source:

XMR you ready? 8 year ascending triangle resolving for KRAKEN:XMRUSD by Paradigm9 — TradingView

Monero preparing for a move. Not yet sure how this works. Can I use any image from an external source and link it here or only images from Nostr compatible image sources?