//The Wire//2300Z December 31, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: FINLAND SEIZES SHIP AFTER UNDERSEA CABLES CUT IN GULF OF FINLAND. SOMALI FRAUD SCANDAL CONTINUES TO GROW NATIONWIDE AS RESISTANCE EFFORTS BEGIN IN MINNEAPOLIS.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----   -International Events- Finland: Authorities seized a vessel that was suspected of deliberately dragging anchor over undersea cables in the Gulf of Finland. This morning, anomalies were detected by Elisa, a Finnish telecom provider which operates several undersea cables providing internet connectivity between Finland and Estonia. Shortly after the disturbance was noted, Finnish Naval forces dispatched a helicopter to patrol the area, which resulted in the discovery of the M/V *FITBURG* dragging her anchor while steaming through the area that the cable outage was reported in. Finland immediately boarded and seized the vessel, which remains in Finnish custody as the investigation into the anchor dragging incident continues. -HomeFront- Minnesota: Significant resistance has been noted among the Somali community of Minneapolis as the fraud situation becomes more public. A few Somali TikTokers harassing random citizens have been reported, and a general hostile tone has been noted throughout the city. Due to the rise of independent journalists investigating random businesses, Somali enclaves are now calling 911 on any non-Somali they see at their front door, and making the false claim that the person has a gun in order to elicit a police response. Washington D.C. - In response to the scale of the fraud on display in Minnesota, the federal Department of Health and Human Services has announced a halt of all Administration for Children and Families (ACF) payments made to child care facilities in the state, until each child care facility can prove they actually exist and provide services. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: In Minneapolis, the saga continues as the Nick Shirley story continues to gain traction. Officially, the State of Minnesota has stated that the "Learing Center" was actually shut down before Shirley's report. However, after this rhetoric was issued, the entire Somali community of the local area came out to make a grand show of the "Learing Center" actually being open. They brought random children to the facility to "prove" that the center was open, and made a big production out of the whole affair. Meanwhile, state-level officials have been on TV over the past few days urging the public that the facility has actually been closed for some time. Some Somalis, however, do understand the stakes in Minneapolis. Overnight, a break-in was reported at the Nokomis DayCare Center on Bloomington Avenue. The owners of the facility called an urgent press conference to address the situation, which several local media outlets flocked to this morning. The owners stated that the miscreants which conducted the daring heist only stole very specific items...all of the child enrollment records held by the daycare, as well as the checkbook that held all the financial data for the facility. The official story by the daycare owners is that thieves broke in during the night...to steal paperwork. To even the casual observer, this is very clearly a "dog ate my homework" level of effort to conceal some sort of criminal enterprise. Additionally, at this same venue, a hole was discovered in the wall under an electrical panel. In the world of tradecraft, this is a classic sign....the remnants of a cash hide site. It is extremely common for cash obtained through illegal means to be stored inside a wall for safekeeping. When it comes time for the criminal to fly to coop, they break the drywall, scoop out the cash, and run for it. While this is completely speculative in this case, it's probably one of the easiest assessments to make as this tactic is widely used throughout the third world (though usually the cash is encased in concrete to protect it from rodents). Even the most basic investigator would come to have a very clear theory about what happened here: A shady business was broken into during the night, all their paperwork was stolen and there's a hole in the drywall, but nothing else taken....this was clearly an operation being rolled up, and whomever was using this one business for illicit purposes is probably long gone. Analyst: S2A1 Research:

S2 Underground GhostNotes

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//The Wire//2300Z December 30, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: SAUDI ARABIA BOMBS EMIRATI WEAPONS SHIPMENT IN YEMEN. RAIL DELAYS SPREAD AROUND EUROPE AFTER INCIDENT IN CHANNEL TUNNEL. CROWBAR ATTACK REPORTED AT BRITISH HOSPITAL.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----   -International Events- Yemen: Overnight tensions escalated sharply between several nations as the conflict in Yemen threatens to become more serious. Colonel Turki Al-Malki, the Saudi Air Force Colonel that serves as the spokesman for the Saudi mission to Yemen stated that two vessels departed the UAE without permission this morning, and sailed without turning their AIS transponders on before arriving in Yemen. Onboard these vessels were weapons and armored vehicles that the UAE was allegedly trying to smuggle to the Southern Transitional Council (STC), a faction that threatens the Saudi border. As a result, Saudi Arabia conducted a few airstrikes within the Yemeni port of Mukalla, targeting the combat vehicles to be used by the STC. After the strikes, Saudi Arabia also called for the UAE to leave Yemen entirely. A few hours after this morning's scuffle, the UAE announced a cessation of their already-reduced mission in Yemen, and are withdrawing all public support for the STC, per Saudi demands. United Kingdom: This morning an Afghan migrant was arrested for conducting an attack at the Newton-Le-Willows Hospital in Merseyside, a small village halfway between Liverpool and Manchester. The attack began after the man was denied an appointment after entering the lobby with a crowbar in hand. After being told there were no appointments, the man began attacking staff with the crowbar. 5x people were wounded during the attack. Europe: This morning a "major disruption" was reported in the Channel Tunnel, halting train services between London and Paris. The cause of the disruption was two-fold, resulting from several power lines being downed in one tunnel, and a train stuck in the other tunnel, blocking service both ways under the English Channel. Analyst Comment: This sounds like it wouldn't be that big of a deal, but due to the importance of this one tunnel (and the nature of rail logistics), passenger train services were halted from Amsterdam to Paris, all during one of the most heavily-trafficked travels season of the year. Delays have been reported all day, and EuroStar has recommended travelers to avoid trains which use cross-Channel routes until repairs are made. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: The situation in Yemen has always been a tangled web of factions, and thing's aren't as simple as "the enemy of my enemy is my friend". This latest development is no different, and throughout the day the statements from all parties reflect more of the plot of a soap opera than traditional diplomacy. The STC is a separatist movement in Yemen that is opposing the Houthi's, but also opposing the Saudis. The Saudis know that if the STC were to win the Civil War in Yemen and actually dominate the Houthis, the STC would probably sidestep the formal Yemeni government and succeed in their goal of creating a new state (what they call South Arabia), which the STC has been working toward for some time. The UAE provides materiel support to the STC for several reasons. For one, the UAE and the Saudis have bad-blood between them on cultural grounds, but both the Emirates and the Saudi royal family also don't want the Houthi's to control most of Yemen, thus the reason for both nations teaming up to form the security coalition in Yemen. However, the Saudis also don't want the Houthi's adversaries (the STC) to get too much control either...which the UAE *does* want so as to apply pressure to the Saudis because the UAE and Yemen don't share a land border, so they don't care. In short, the Saudis and Emirates don't actually like each other, but work together to control the dozens of factions at play in Yemen, and this morning, the UAE overstepped their bounds, so the Saudi's bombed their arms shipment. The Emirates have argued that that technically the armored vehicles that they mailed to the Saudi's enemies are not "arms" so it doesn't count as being an arms shipment. In return, the Saudis have pointed out that there were also conex boxes full of explosives onboard the vessels, and re-stating that any threats to their national security will be dealt with swiftly, et al, etcetera, and so on. Daytime TV drama aside, squabbling between factions as large as the Saudi royal family and the seven territories that collectively form the "United" part of the United Arab Emirates usually isn't great for stability in the Middle East, especially since major offensives are currently underway throughout Yemen between several different factions. Whether it's directly related to the drama between the Saudis and the Emirates is not entirely clear, but right now there's a whole lot of shooting going on in the city of Mukalla, the same city struck earlier this morning. Though it was probably planned some time ago, various factions (including STC) are trying to capitalize on the squabbling between the big kids on the playground, so as to improve their own tactical positions on the battlefield. Most Middle Eastern nations have picked up on this as well, and the Qataris and Kuwaitis have both issued statements of solidarity regarding the deterioration of the security situation in Yemen over the past 12 hours or so. All in all, a busy day for the Middle East, and things aren't over just yet. Analyst: S2A1 Research:

S2 Underground GhostNotes

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//The Wire//2300Z December 29, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: PRESIDENT TRUMP QUIETLY CONFIRMS LAND-BASED STRIKES HAVE BEGUN IN VENEZUELA. CHINA LAUNCHES LARGE-SCALE MILITARY EXERCISES NEAR TAIWAN.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----   -International Events- Far East: This morning China kicked off their large-scale yearly military exercise in the waters surrounding Taiwan. This year's exercise has been titled "Justice Mission 2025" and focuses on combined arms warfare techniques that will be necessary for the invasion of Taiwan. In the graphics and AI-generated content provided on the exercises by China, the focus for the drills is openly to deter a Taiwanese bid for independence. Analyst Comment: As usual, all eyes are on the drills this year to assess whether or not China will be capable of taking Taiwan when the time comes. Traditionally, China never announces their military drills ahead of time. In this case, approximately one hour elapsed between the official announcement of the drills, and the first aircraft detected on Taiwanese radar. Somewhat interestingly this year, China has leaned into camouflage as a concept. Ironically, China directly stole the idea of "urban camouflage" from Taiwan, which has taken the form of Chinese units camouflaging ICBM launchers to appear to be construction cranes...a tactic Taiwan has been using for many years. Due to the nature of the expected urban combat of Taipei, Taiwan has had to come up with unique ways for military equipment to survive as long as possible in the event that war kicks off. Turns out, China has also replicated much of this urban camouflage doctrine, which indirectly confirms that China is expecting missiles to be landing within their homeland as well. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: This afternoon, President Trump received Prime Minister Netanyahu at his Mar-a-Lago residence to conduct talks on the Middle East and other various topics. While this visit was quite standard (as these visits have become fairly regular over the past year), several very important items of note took place during the reception. As Prime Minister Netanyahu was welcomed, a brief press conference was called as is common for dignitary visits. As journalists were present asking questions, the topic of conversation turned to Venezuela. During this off-the-cuff press briefing, President Trump casually stated that the United States had conducted at least one land-based strike within Venezuela. President Trump stated that an "implementation area" (sic) was struck, which he described as being a dock area where boats were being loaded with drugs. This leaves more questions than answers, and when pressed by journalists about this rather important conflict, President Trump stated that he did not want to comment on the matter any further. As this short 30 second clip is all we have to go on, there's not much that can be discerned at present, however it's almost certain that ground strikes have already quietly started throughout the region. Throughout this short presser, various other topics came up as well. President Trump reiterated the commitment to continue strikes in Iran, which is not surprising but still notable as it confirms that this conflict is certainly far from over. President Trump also confirmed that he took an unscheduled call from President Putin regarding an event that occurred this morning. In Moscow, the Kremlin reported a Ukrainian drone strike being conducted at an undisclosed location which targeted one of Putin's personal residences. Ukraine has denied this attack outright, and has stated that the whole affair has been fabricated from the ground up. During this morning's ad hoc press briefing in Florida, President Trump stated that the phone call had taken place, and that the US stopped the sale of Tomahawks to Ukraine for this reason (presumably to prevent them from using these munitions to assassinate Putin). Granted, these minor details probably don't matter that much to the average American taxpayer, but it does shed light on the relationships between all parties during this war, as well as the high-stakes nature of this conflict and very tenuous peace talks. Analyst: S2A1 Research:

S2 Underground GhostNotes

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//The Wire//2300Z December 24, 2025// //FESTIVE// //BLUF: UNIDENTIFIED AIRCRAFT PILOTED BY MAN IN RED SUIT SPOTTED DEPARTING NORTH POLE.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----   -International Events- North Pole: Yesterday afternoon Santa's elves were carrying out final preparations for the yearly trip around the world. This year, a slight delay was noted by the Northern Observatory for Elvish Labor due to some of the flight plan paperwork and airspace clearance permits arriving a bit later than expected. Once the various paperwork was filed, the Supervisory Administrator for Nighttime Transportation Activities confirmed that Santa was able to complete final preparations for delivery this afternoon. Greenland: Earlier this evening, a US Air Force RADAR site detected an object departing the North Pole. As the object flew over the Norwegian territory of Svalbard, observers saw a bright red light shining from the object, marking it's position in the night sky. Alaska: Some time later, the United States Air Force Center for Logistical Analysis of Unknown Sky Events scrambled F-16 fighter aircraft to visually confirm the presence of Mr. Claus, however the pilots were unable to keep up with Santa as he was flying much too fast for normal aircraft. At Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson, the director of the Joint Organization for Leading Logistics, Yearly stated that he had never before seen anything fly so fast, and that Santa's sleigh must have been upgraded earlier this year. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: Santa Claus is indeed coming to town. For those who want to track Santa in real time NORAD has their yearly tracker to help find out where Santa is flying right now, which can be found at www.noradsanta.org. As a reminder, it is recommended that all children go to bed a bit early tonight, as local zoning regulations mean that Santa cannot deliver presents while everyone is still awake. St. Nicholas' power does work globally, however it is helpful to make his job a little easier when possible as he has a lot of homes to visit! As such, may everyone have a Merry Christmas, and to all a good night! Analyst: S2A1 Research:

S2 Underground GhostNotes

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Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report. //END REPORT//

//The Wire//2300Z December 23, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: MEXICAN NAVY AIRCRAFT CRASHES IN GALVESTON, 2X SURVIVORS RESCUED BY GOOD SAMARITANS. INVESTIGATION INTO BROWN UNIVERSITY CONTINUES.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----   -International Events- Caribbean: Yesterday the Pentagon announced the shelling of another narco-submarine, which was sunk in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. One individual was reported killed during the strike, though a full Battle Damage Assessment (BDA) has not been provided due to the nature of the submersible craft making it hard to count home many people were really on board. -HomeFront- Texas: Last night a Mexican Navy aircraft transporting medical patients crashed in the waters off the coast of Galveston while attempting to land. The flight was carrying medical patients who were to undergo surgery at the Shriner's Children's Hospital in Galveston. So far, of the 8x people onboard the aircraft 5x fatalities have been confirmed, with 2x survivors and one individual remaining missing. Analyst Comment: The accident appears to be the result of poor visibility at the time of the crash, and the fact that anyone survived at all is a sheer miracle. One woman was rescued from the wreckage by a good Samaritan who responded to the crash site, jumped in the water, and pulled her from the airframe. Other volunteers also helped recover everyone they could from the debris before it sank. The status of the survivors is not clear, however all were in extremely serious condition when they were rescued from the aircraft. Pennsylvania: This afternoon an explosion was reported at the Silverlake Nursing Home in Bristol. A mass casualty situation was declared as a significant blast destroyed part of the structure. Analyst Comment: At the time of this report, this is a developing situation and the casualty count is not yet known. The cause of the blast is also not confirmed, however initial assessments suspect this may have been the result of a natural gas leak. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: As the investigation into the Brown University shooting has continued, more information has come to light that clarifies some details of the incident. The Chief of the Brown University campus Police Department has been placed on leave as testimony indicates the shooter was observed acting suspiciously within the Barus and Holley building in the weeks leading up to the mass shooting. Derek Lisi, the custodian who works within the engineering building complex, stated that he reported the shooter to security over a dozen times for acting suspiciously. His tips were ignored and no investigation was launched. Regarding the lack of security camera footage, some useful information has actually arisen from a journalist during a press conference. The press conferences involving Chief Perez, AG Neronha, and others have become regularly disastrous to the point that even journalists are becoming hostile toward how poorly this is being handled. During one press conference, a journalist started asking a question which rapidly became more of a tirade, which accused the officials of something very specific. The journalist stated that the reason for certain cameras not functioning is because they were actually taken down completely at the request of a few dozen different activist groups, who wrote letters to Brown University demanding the school protect illegal immigrant students. So far this has not been confirmed as it's very unlikely for Brown University to incriminate themselves now (the press conferences have definitely become a "plead the fifth" kind of arrangement at this point). However, if this is true, this would line up with the initial suspicions expressed during the early moments after the shooting. Removing security cameras for social justice reasons has always been a main theory from the very start, and now it's looking like the mainstream media is catching on to this possibility as well. Analyst: S2A1 Research:

S2 Underground GhostNotes

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//The Wire//2300Z December 22, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: US SEIZES SECOND OIL TANKER IN CARIBBEAN, THIRD TANKER SEIZURE IMMINENT. AUSTRALIA INCREASES SECURITY AT POPULATED GATHERING PLACES.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----   -International Events- Netherlands: This evening a vehicle ramming incident was reported in the town of Nunspeet, to the east of Amsterdam. 10x people were wounded during the incident, which involved a vehicle ramming into a crowd during a Christmas parade. Analyst Comment: At the moment it's not certain as to if this was a deliberate attack, or an accident. The parade itself was taking place in the dark, as it was organized around the viewing of Christmas lights. Since this took place in the Netherlands, it may take some time for more details to come to light. Caribbean: The Tanker Wars have continued to expand in scope as the US targets multiple tanker vessels throughout the region. On Saturday, the United States seized the M/T *CENTURIES*, a Very Large Crude Carrier (VLCC) flagged out of Panama and registered to a Chinese company. Sunday afternoon the US Coast Guard was observed to be in pursuit of a third vessel, the M/T *BELLA 1*, a stateless tanker vessel illegally flying the flag of Guyana. This vessel is well-known to smuggle crude to the Iranians in violation of US sanctions. Australia: Fortification efforts have been observed at Bondi Beach, which have been emplaced for the memorial event that was held in the park over the weekend. Analyst Comment: Emplacing obstacles at a site that has already been attacked is a strong indicator that the threats are not over yet. Granted, it's cheap to move around blocks of concrete with a forklift, so it makes sense to put them up for the holiday season. However, both of the threats presented to Bondi Beach have been related to small-arms attacks, and not vehicle ramming threats. This indicates that either the threats of further attacks are genuine, or somebody thinks they might be. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: In the Caribbean, it would seem as though the tanker wars have begun. However, the situation might be a bit more complicated than simply conducting a heist for oil, and the target vessels themselves have pointed to the reasoning for the interdictions. Firstly and most importantly, the pretense of this mission being solely about narcotics trafficking has been dropped; the White House has shifted into also targeting oil vessels without much comment, so at least they're being more honest now. However, even though it's about the oil, there's a bit more to the story. Though Venezuelan crude is quite high-grade, the US doesn't actually need it as the oil that's been seized is negligible in terms of our own domestic production. As such, it's probably less about the US getting the oil, and more about making sure that China doesn't. The war in the Pacific (which looks increasingly more likely to take place within the next few years) will 100% be a war largely decided by energy: Just like WW2, the Pacific Theater is big and logistics and fuel are the name of the game. Straight-up stealing Venezuela's oil is one way to impact China's logistical supply lines before a war ever begins, and this doctrine is very similar (in many ways) to what transpired between the US and Japan before the war kicked off back in 1941. This history may seem irrelevant, however the seizure of the M/T *CENTURIES* gives us a clue. The *CENTURIES* itself was not a stateless vessel, nor was it a sanctioned vessel. Everything about the paperwork for the *CENTURIES* was completely legal and above board...it was the oil onboard that was the illegal part that was subject to US sanctions. This is very telling as the US has altered the deal of the blockade, and Venezuela is probably hoping that they don't alter it any further. Regarding the other vessel that is being sought right now, the *BELLA 1*, her status is less clear. However, doctrinally speaking all nations that have a substantial naval force would agree that the *BELLA* is up to no good and in violation of not just US sanctions, but the standards of maritime decorum generally agreed upon by everybody (stateless vessels with no registration are a big no-no in the maritime community). Some reports state that the USCG attempted to board her at least once, but somehow failed. Right now that's just a rumor which is probably inaccurate. What's more likely is that the USCG hailed her via radio and she refused to stop her engines to allow boarding, and is attempting to make a run for Venezuelan waters. If the US Navy and the US Coast Guard so desire to board a vessel, it shall happen regardless of the opinions of those onboard. So it's likely that the USCG is shadowing her for the time being, until a higher-tier of military unit gets in position to conduct a more kinetic interdiction. Of note, the *BELLA 1* is currently transmitting distress calls over the radio, wanting fellow vessels to save them from being boarded. This is the maritime equivalent of calling the cops on your own drug dealer because the deal went bad, so it's unlikely that anybody is going to help them evade pursuit. Analyst: S2A1 Research:

S2 Underground GhostNotes

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This week's intel update is out👍

//The Wire//2300Z December 19, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: BROWN UNIVERSITY SHOOTER ALLEGEDLY FOUND DEAD AFTER BRIEF MANHUNT. STABBING ATTACK STRIKES TAIWAN. NEW YEARS CELEBRATIONS CANCELED IN MANY NATIONS WORLDWIDE DUE TO TERRORISM CONCERNS.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----   -International Events- Global: Several nations have canceled or reduced their New Year's celebration events for many major cities. Paris, Hong Kong, Venice, Belgrade, and Tokyo have all canceled fireworks, concerts, and public gatherings due to terrorism concerns. Taiwan: This afternoon a complex terror attack was captured on video in downtown Taipei. One assailant began the initial phase of the attack by throwing a smoke grenade into the MRT Taipei Main Station (the central subway station in Taipei). During this initial incident, at least one citizen attempted to stop the attacker, however after a scuffle the citizen had either a medical emergency or sustained blunt force trauma (reports vary), and later died at a hospital. A few minutes after the attack began, it became clear that this initial incident was a diversion, and that the main attack was to be conducted at the Zhonshan Station a few blocks to the north. At some point after the first smoke grenade incident, the attacker moved to the second attack site and began stabbing people on the street right outside the Zhonshan Station subway entrance. The assailant also attempted to ignite a large incendiary device at some point during the attack, which was comprised of a bag full of Molotovs. Concerning casualties, 3x people were killed during the stabbing phase of the attack, and 9x others wounded. Eventually, the attacker took his own life by jumping from a high rise building during a foot pursuit by police, though the details of exactly how this happened remain unknown at the moment. The assailant was later identified as Chang Wen, however no details were provided regarding his motive for the attack. Australia: All seven of the suspects arrested during yesterdays counterterrorism investigation have been released from detention, even the suspects who were reportedly on terrorism watchlists. Authorities state that there was no reason to hold them, so they let them go. Analyst Comment: Analytically speaking, it's not usually a good idea to theorize just on gut instinct that a terror attack will take place, however if there ever were to be a time for such it would be right now. The intelligence value of letting known terrorists escape (so as to reveal the location of their buddies) seems like a good idea at first. However, the value of this investigative technique is negligible when the terrorist cell has reached the final stages of attack planning and have moved into the operational phase. By the time a group of terrorists are maneuvering into the objective area to obtain their weapons before an attack, the other cells have usually already cut contact for security reasons. These guys now know that they are being watched, and the element of surprise is gone at the same time they are walking free. -HomeFront- Rhode Island: Yesterday evening the Brown University shooter was identified by authorities as Claudio Neves Valente, a Portuguese national who was a former student of Brown University. Authorities state he committed the shooting at the Barus and Holley engineering building, before egressing to Boston. At some point during this trip, he is claimed to have swapped the license plates on his vehicle to evade detection. Once in Boston, he is suspected of murdering MIT professor Loureiro, whom he had worked with in back in Portugal some years ago. Last night Valente was allegedly discovered deceased in a storage unit in Salem, New Hampshire. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: Regarding the Brown University shooting, many details still remain to be ironed out. Most of the details are sketchy at best, and authorities are still withholding a lot of information. None of the witnesses who were in the room of the shooting have come forward with information either, an interesting observance that departs from nearly all prior mass shooting cases. Otherwise nobody with two brain cells to rub together believes the Providence Police department or the FBI after fumbling the case this hard. While the FBI was out kicking snow and explicitly telling us that there was no further threat to the public, the killer was quite literally driving a rental car to Boston to murder his former colleague. Or at least, that's the conclusion that can be reached using the official, government-approved version of the story. Considering the lack of trust in that official story, it will be some time before even the very basic details of these cases become supported to the point of being believable. Analyst: S2A1 Research:

S2 Underground GhostNotes

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//The Wire//2300Z December 18, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: ANOTHER POTENTIAL TERROR ATTACK THWARTED AT BONDI BEACH AS SEVERAL DIFFERENT COUNTERTERRORISM OPERATIONS ARE CONDUCTED. VENEZUELA BEGINS ESCORTING VESSELS THROUGH AMERICAN BLOCKADE.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----   -International Events- Australia: This morning another potential terror attack at Bondi Beach was halted as a vehicle full of Military-Aged Males (MAMs) was intercepted in Liverpool. 5x men of Middle Eastern/West Asian appearance were detained at the intersection of George St. and Campbell St. in Liverpool, just west of Sydney. The vehicle was allegedly heading toward Bondi Beach, and was intercepted by police ramming their vehicle to force them to stop. Separately, a different situation was reported at a different location, which also involved police ramming into a vehicle to stop the occupants. No further details have been provided on this second ramming incident, where it took place, or if this incident was linked to the first. However, the video of this second incident clearly shows a different location and a different vehicle being involved. Analyst Comment: Very few details have been provided on this case. All that the media have been told is that intelligence indicated the occupants of the vehicles were on their way to conduct another terror attack at Bondi Beach. Video footage of the first arrest in Liverpool indicated that 5x men were arrested from that initial vehicle. However, a total of 7x people were arrested during this operation, so the other two probably came from the second vehicle. Either way, nothing more than those basic details have been provided, as operations are ongoing and more arrests are likely over the next few days. Caribbean: Following the implementation of the blockade, Venezuelan naval vessels have reportedly begun to escort commercial ships in and out of Venezuelan ports. So far, the vessels that are alleged to be under escort by Venezuela are not sanctioned (and thus not subject to the blockade anyway) however this practice began yesterday, so the situation remains fluid at the moment. Analyst Comment: This blockade is really more of a soft form of embargo at the moment. Doctrinally speaking, blockades are a "you cross this line you get sunk" kind of thing, whereas an embargo is more akin to what's going on in the Caribbean. Not every vessel is being restricted from passing, the blockade only applies to sanctioned or stateless vessels. It's not clear as to what will happen once a sanctioned vessel tries to run the blockade, but considering one vessel has been seized already, more are very likely to be boarded soon. If the Venezuelan navy is now going to be involved, this might get rather interesting rather quickly. -HomeFront- Rhode Island: The Brown University shooting investigation continues, and authorities have provided a few updates throughout the day. The second individual that was sought yesterday has been identified and interviewed by police, and is not a suspect but did provide some information on the suspected shooter. A homeless man also reportedly provided a vehicle description and license plate number of the shooting suspects vehicle. Analyst Comment: This afternoon, local media stated that authorities believe there is a link between the Brown University shooting and the murder of an MIT professor in Boston. Right now the sourcing for this information is not known, however an unknown federal policing operation was observed in Boston this evening, which is alleged to be related to the case. Local media also claim that the shooter has been identified, and an arrest warrant has been issued. Shortly after this information hit local media sources, scanner traffic indicated that the New Hampshire State Police had found the suspect's vehicle in Salem. The vehicle is a grey Nissan Sentra, which matches the reported description of both the Brookline shooting, and the Brown University shooting. Per local reports (which are not confirmed in any way yet), the exact same vehicle is sought in both cases. Right now, this is a highly fluid situation, so more corrections are likely to come about by morning. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: Last night's Presidential Address turned out to largely be an update on the economic situation. The biggest announcement was the distribution of a bonus check "Warrior Dividend" which will be distributed to Active Duty service members in the amount of $1,776 to commemorate the upcoming 250th anniversary of the nation's founding next year. Everyone was expecting an official war declaration regarding Venezuela (or some sort of announcement of land-based strikes), however this did not happen and most of the speech revolved around economic issues. President Trump also re-announced the TrumpRX plan for prescription drugs. This part of the speech was not new information, and had already garnered a much-hyped media session a few weeks ago. However this was the same day that one of the pharmaceutical executives passed out in the Oval Office (which rained on the parade a bit), so the White House probably wanted a do-over regarding this announcement and included this part in the speech. However, Venezuela may have been mentioned indirectly in the speech. The $1776 bonus to service members is certainly very much appreciated by those who receive it, and is definitely welcome after the government shutdown which halted paychecks to government workers during the lapse in funding. However, this might also be received with a bit of suspicion. In the military, no good deed goes unpunished and this might be a steak-and-lobster moment....anything good in the military is often followed by rather unfortunate news. Either way, it's probably nothing, but still a theory worth mentioning. Analyst: S2A1 Research:

S2 Underground GhostNotes

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//The Wire//2300Z December 17, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: GEOPOLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS CONTINUE IN CARIBBEAN. BROWN UNIVERSITY SHOOTING INVESTIGATION CASTS DOUBT ON THE PROCESS.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----   -International Events- Caribbean: Diplomatic indicators continue to mount concerning the war with Venezuela entering into the final stages of preparation. The White House announced that a special address to the nation will take place at 9:00pm (local time), the contents of which have not yet been disclosed. Analyst Comment: So far it's mostly just rumor, however some historical context might help in understanding the larger strategic doctrine in play here. On this day exactly 118 years ago, the Great White Fleet departed port and officially began it's global journey around the world. The Great White Fleet was an initiative set in place by President Teddy Roosevelt which was intended to showcase America's military might on the high seas. This took the form of sending the US Navy's impressive fleet of battleships (which were painted all white, at the time) around the world as part of a very serious game of show and tell. This move, essentially a manifestation of the "big stick" part of Roosevelt's "walk softly" quote, eventually became known as a class of politics called Gunboat Diplomacy. Today, the US still abides by this doctrine (along with many other nations) to some degree, and in practice it usually works out to take the form of parking an aircraft carrier off a nation's coast to urge a people to strongly reconsider their actions. It's unknown as to if this date holds any significance to the White House, but since President Trump's style of command often takes cues from powerful people throughout history, it would make perfect sense for the White House to replicate this "big stick" effort. This has already come to pass and become routine by the striking of fastboats in the Caribbean, so while the world awaits what happens next, the larger strategic goals would be wise to consider. As a reminder, since the seizure of the M/T *SKIPPER* a few days ago, the United States has changed the official position on Venezuela to not just be about drug trafficking, but also oil as well. This might have been obvious from the very start, but it's still a fast pivot to make for any administration, so as events develop over the next few days we'll have to see how this shakes out. -HomeFront- Rhode Island: Images of a second person have been released during the Brown University shooting investigation. Providence Police have not provided the context for why this person is being sought, only that they would like to speak to whomever this individual is. Analyst Comment: The general theory is that this person is not the shooter, but rather an individual who may have walked past the shooter at some point. Authorities have not confirmed this or really made any comment on this at all, so this is just a best guess regarding this new person that is being sought. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: In Rhode Island, the development of events following the Brown University shooting has been nothing short of a PR disaster. Normally, it's completely out of the question for any sort of arm-chair quarterbacking to be helpful during a shooting like this. However, in this case, the chance of random anons on the internet finding the killer before the actual police...is higher than zero. As such, more time and resources can be allocated to examine this case, purely in the interest of finding the truth. And right now, it sure looks like a coverup is taking place. The press conferences in particular have been a source of concern as officials have not been able to answer even basic questions. Chief Perez has been corrected by journalists several times after he mis-stated basic details of the case; for example, yesterday he stated the the footage of the suspect that was released was from inside the Barus and Holley building, when in reality all of the footage has been from exterior cameras. This is important because a major sticking point in this case is the complete lack of interior security camera footage. In response to the sheer disbelief in the lack of security camera footage of a mass shooting, Brown University released their entire security camera layout plan. From a security perspective, this is highly secret information. Now, criminals know exactly where the gaps in camera coverage are and crimes can now be committed at certain points because of this knowledge. However, this chart is also not complete, and there are at least two cameras that can be seen in Google Street View, which are not depicted on the camera plan. Both of these cameras appear to be directed at the rear of the Prince Engineering Lab, and the rear of the Barus and Holley building....EXACTLY where the suspect is assessed to have exited the building from. This means that the two cameras which may have footage of the killer...don't officially exist. This of course does not prove that the suspect was actually captured on these cameras, as the distance from the Engineering building was probably too far to actually matter that much even if the suspect was seen in this footage. But it does prove that someone at some point is lying about the cameras that actually exist in this general area. This calls into question other details provided by the University, such as the route that the suspect is alleged to have taken to egress from the area. Another detail in the case that adds to the incredulity is the fact that the room in which the shooting took place was locked, and could only be accessed by keycard, at least according to eyewitnesses who had class in that building. This has been stated by multiple students and faculty; no one can enter the exterior doors of the building without swiping their ID badge. The exception to this access is during times of heightened foot traffic, such as exam week, so this detail doesn't help much...it's likely that the doors would have been unlocked anyway. As such, this detail might not mean much, but it's still a question that needs to be answered. All things considered, many eyes are on this topic now. Everyone from members of the student body at Brown, to anons on the internet are examining details and trying to both piece together exactly what happened and also trying to apprehend the suspect(s). For their efforts to get to the truth, members of the public have been berated and insulted by AG Neronha who became visibly upset during a press conference, regarding a question of why Brown University has quietly taken down pages from their website that featured personnel that might be suspects. This afternoon Congressman Sheldon Whitehouse called anyone who questioned the official story of what happened "stupid" and told them to "shut up", urging the censorship of any non-governmental-approved efforts to get to the truth in this case. Officials have stated that there is no threat to the community, which is not reflected in the basic fact that the killer is still on the loose, and no indication warned of the attack in the first place. The only basis for claiming that there is no further threat to the public, is a scenario in which the intended target is dead, so there's no risk of another mass shooting taking place. Since the shooting, no terror cell or organization has claimed credit for the attack either. As such, the threats continue, and time is running out when it comes to finding the killer. Analyst: S2A1 Research:

S2 Underground GhostNotes

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//The Wire//2300Z December 16, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: STABBING ATTACK STRIKES MOSCOW SCHOOL. TURKEY DOWNS UNIDENTIFIED DRONE OVER BLACK SEA. AMERICAN FORCES CONTINUE STAGING IN THE CARIBBEAN. WHITE HOUSE EXPANDS IMMIGRATION VISA RESTRICTIONS.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----   -International Events- Russia: This morning a mass stabbing was reported at the Gorki-2 school just outside Moscow. The suspect has been identified as a 15-year-old by the name of Timofey K. (full last name unknown). One student was killed during the attack, and many others wounded. Turkey: Yesterday Turkish defense forces shot down an unidentified drone that was on a course to violate their airspace. F-16's were scrambled to intercept the drone over the Black Sea, and the decision was made to down the drone before it entered Turkish airspace, so that the debris would land in the Sea and not injure anyone on the ground. Analyst Comment: Turkey has not commented on which nation the drone was from, however the most likely culprit is probably Russia, as reports of rogue drones flying off course have been common lately. It's certainly possible it was an errant Ukrainian drone, however Russia is really the one who is famous for industrializing the use of long range drones during the war. Caribbean: Strikes have continued as American force posturing remains elevated throughout the region. Observers have noted the presence of 10x KC-135 tanker aircraft forward deployed to the Dominican Republic, adding to the growing list of forces being staged in the region. Analyst Comment: This afternoon President Trump announced on social media the formal implementation of a total blockade of sanctioned oil tankers within Venezuelan waters. This is a major escalation that will very likely result in the situation becoming more tense over the next few days. -HomeFront- Massachusetts: This afternoon a suspicious death was reported at the home of a high-ranking MIT professor. Nuno Loureiro, the director of the Plasma Science and Fusion Center at MIT was found dead in his home in Brookline. He was found deceased, with several gunshot wounds being the preliminary cause of death. Analyst Comment: Due to the Brown University shooting, it's likely that increased scrutiny will be placed on crimes that occur at universities or within the sphere of higher education in general. So far, not enough information is known on this murder case to discern what happened here. This could be a more routine murder, or it could be something else entirely, there's no way to know at the moment. Washington D.C. - This afternoon the White House announced a revision to the previously-implemented travel restrictions from High-Risk nations. The update now includes a total travel ban on Palestinians entering the US, along with adding partial restrictions to most of the continent of Africa. Laos and Sierra Leone have also moved up from partial restrictions to full restrictions. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: Mass stabbing attacks are rare in Russia, and this one was very disturbing even by western standards. The attacker recorded the attack by mounting his phone to his helmet, and took selfies with the victims after he stabbed them. Regarding motive for the attack, so far this looks like a classic 764/O9A situation. Going by the textbook, the US might classify this individual under the new category of terrorist, the "NVE" or Nihilistic Violent Extremist. This is a comparatively new class of terrorist which often displays strange and contradictory ideology. In this case, the main clue that this was a 764/O9A-style attack is the firearm that was recovered from the suspect's home after the attack. Phrases written in white paint pen on an all-black weapon are the calling card of both the 764 Network and the Order of Nine Angles. Both of these groups are infamous for taking pride in encouraging children to carry out attacks like this, and the hallmarks between these attack styles are incredibly uncanny. Also of note, this attack was preventable as the assailant sent his manifesto to fellow students before he conducted the stabbing attack. Analyst: S2A1 Research:

S2 Underground GhostNotes

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//The Wire//2300Z December 15, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: MORE DETAILS COME TO LIGHT REGARDING WEEKEND TERROR ATTACKS. MORE QUESTIONS REMAIN UNANSWERED FOLLOWING BROWN UNIVERSITY SHOOTING.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----   -International Events- Australia: More details have come to light regarding the terror attack at Bondi Beach yesterday. What was originally observed to be a total of three attackers has been corrected by police who state that there were only two shooters, a father and son, who conducted the shooting. The shooters have been identified as Naveed Akram, and Sajid Akram. -HomeFront- California: This morning the Department of Justice announced the arrest of four members of the Turtle Island Liberation Front organization, a group affiliated with ANTIFA and various other far-left political causes. The arrests were made after the four planned to carry out attacks at ICE facilities in New York. Analyst Comment: The members of this group posted exceptionally clear threats and calls to violence on social media using their real names. They also organized their terrorism plans openly on social media, without any sort of concern for being caught. Of note, the name Turtle Island Liberation Front refers to a much larger conglomeration of groups, it's not just these four people. These four in particular called themselves the Order of the Black Lotus. Somewhat interestingly, the FBI actually released drone footage of the group engaging in a range day event, in which the suspects constructed and tested explosive devices that they planned to use during their attacks. This footage shows a total of at least 6x people...not four. So per the FBI's own intelligence product, either these extra people were not arrested, or (more likely) were FBI agents planted in the group. The footage that was released also doesn't show any crime being committed, so it's not entirely clear why this footage was put together for public release. Rhode Island: The Brown University shooter remains at large as the victims of the shooting have been identified. One victim was identified by her church as Ella Cook, the Vice President of Brown University's Republican Club. The other fatal victim has been identified as Mukhammad Aziz Umurzokov, an Uzbek national. The shooter has also not been identified, however investigators have been observed walking around the shooting site as part of the ongoing investigation. This afternoon Providence Police released an extremely low-resolution video clip of the suspect, though no further description was provided. After this initial clip was released, private citizens came forward with private doorbell camera footage, which so far is the highest resolution imagery that has been made available. Crime scene investigation and evidence preservation techniques have also been a challenge. After the long-distance footage of the suspect was released, local journalists geolocated the location where the video was taken and visited the site to discover that the FBI has not fully processed the crime scene. Journalists were able to enter and contaminate the crime scene, and also take photos of the evidence that was in the process of being collected by FBI field agents. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: As always, it is often a good idea to wait for solid information to come out regarding a crisis, rather than just speculating on details that are uncertain. However, when a fugitive is on the lamb, more analytical leeway can be granted if it helps catch the shooter, such as the case in Providence. Regarding the Brown University shooting, so far many of the details of the incident do not add up. The shooter's identity remains unknown, and many other details are extremely conflicting at best, to the point that even journalists are becoming frustrated with the press conferences on the situation offering up very little information. The "person of interest" that was detained by police in the hours after the shooting has been released, even though the Providence Police Chief confirmed that they were confident that this individual was the shooter. This was, however, a rather loose use of the word "confirmed", because as the investigation progressed this individual was assessed to not be the shooter. As of this report the shooter has officially not been identified by Law Enforcement authorities, and the status of the investigation is unclear. Concerning the very poor video footage that has been released of the suspect, it's not clear why the FBI or Providence Police have not released better imagery from the university itself. Brown University is well known for their surveillance operation on campus. In fact, a student-led initiative to log these cameras back in 2021 revealed that Brown University has over 800 security cameras on campus. Even more pertinently, the exact building where the shooting took place (the Barus and Holley Engineering Building) has security cameras on quite literally every single corner of the building, and covering every single entry/exit. This afternoon Providence Police Chief Oscar Perez stated that they have released all that they have, indicating that none of the cameras inside, outside, or surrounding the Engineering building captured the shooter. As this is a major sticking point in this case, one detail must be considered which might explain the situation. A few months ago, many initiatives came about to protect students nationwide from ICE raids. Brown University has dedicated major resources to protecting illegal immigrant students from ICE raids, and has published vast quantities of resources helping illegals evade prosecution under immigration law. During the height of these efforts a few months ago, the idea was floated to destroy evidence of illegal activities at various campuses around the US. How far and wide these efforts have become is unknown, it may be just a meme, or it may be something serious. But since time is of the essence, the possibility must be considered that these cameras weren't actually recording anything, just in case ICE wanted to tap into the footage for the deportation of students. Under normal circumstances this sounds like a harebrained theory, however since this situation is not over yet (the shooter is still on the loose), the public needs to know why only Bigfoot-grade footage has been released regarding this suspect, and how the 800+ cameras on campus somehow did not record a mass shooting. Shutting off security cameras to somehow "protect" immigrant students sounds right up the alley of a staffer at Brown University, so we have to consider this possibility. As a reminder, the Providence Police Chief himself is an immigrant from Colombia, and even conducted parts of today's press briefing on the shooting completely in Spanish. Chief Perez has also become legendary for openly stating that his police forces will not work with federal agencies or share information with ICE. Back in July, Chief Perez was the point of focus for an ICE raid that occurred in his jurisdiction. He held a press conference to reassure the public that his officers were not helping ICE during the raid. Considering this historical context, it would not be out of the question to surmise that Chief Perez might be personally withholding evidence on this case from federal authorities, because he has already openly confessed to doing so in the past. Regarding the motive for the attack, nothing is official until the suspect is caught. And in the absence of information being released, speculation can run as wild as one wants: Exam times are often times of heightened stress (and sometimes violence), the winter holiday season is sometimes prone to exacerbate pre-existing mental illnesses, and the world is a dangerous place in general these days, with shootings taking place daily for any variety of reasons. However, in the absence of information, it is always a good idea to make decisions based on the Most-Dangerous Course of Action (MDCOA) that is feasible, and then walk assessments back to more reasonable ground once more information comes out. Right now, considering the victims, it would be prudent to assess that this attack was the worst-case scenario of some kind of political targeting, as this theory will have wider-ranging impacts nation wide. Once more information becomes known, this analysis can be updated with more current information, but right now concerns are mounting that this is not a standard mass shooting. One of the major details that have not been clarified is exactly where the shooting took place inside the Engineering building, and what the classroom was being used for at the exact moment of the shooting. Initial reports indicated that the shooting took place in a classroom, during a final exam. However, when pressed on this by journalists, University personnel have not been able to confirm what was going on inside the classroom at the time of the shooting, and some details point to the shooting taking place at a student-run club meeting instead of an exam, however this remains unclear at the moment. That's the interesting part about speculation; in the absence of information, we the people have to do the best we can with what we *do* have. And right now, confidence is not particularly high that the shooter will be caught as the fact that a BOLO notice has been posted is proof that the FBI have very few leads to investigate and need the public's help to catch this guy. This is not doing a whole lot to reassure the public either, since it's well known that if a suspect can evade detection for 48 hours, they're probably long gone (before they resurface due to a mistake week/months from now). In any case, the failure to catch a mass shooter within the first couple of days provided critical information to future mass shooters...this case demonstrates how easy it is to get away with this type of crime in what was previously thought to be a heavily surveilled area. This will certainly be a very strong motivator for those who seek to continue violent attacks. Analyst: S2A1 Research:

S2 Underground GhostNotes

Introduction and Welcome - S2 Underground GhostNotes - Obsidian Publish

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Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report. //END REPORT//

//The Wire//1500Z December 14, 2025// //PRIORITY// //BLUF: TERROR ATTACK STRIKES AUSTRALIA AS 12X KILLED IN BONDI BEACH MASS SHOOTING. VEHICLE RAMMING ATTACK FOILED IN GERMANY. MASS SHOOTING REPORTED AT BROWN UNIVERSITY IN PROVIDENCE.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----   -International Events- Australia: A few hours ago, a complex terror attack took place at a Hanukkah event in Bondi Beach. Multiple gunmen approached a gathering of people at a picnic area on the east side of the park, and began engaging those taking part in holiday celebrations. At least two gunmen took up a tactical position on the pedestrian bridge at grid coordinate: 56H LH 40786 48784 // 61.2 ft MSL. From there, the gunmen began firing at event participants in the park below. After a few minutes, these two shooters were eventually neutralized by armed police on this bridge. At least one other gunman was present at the shooting, but was disarmed by a bystander who attacked the shooter with his bare hands and took the weapon from him. This disarmed-shooter was later detained by police on the pedestrian bridge with the others. Analyst Comment: Concerning casualties, right now the number stands at 10x killed during the attack, with a few dozen wounded. At least two of the attackers were wounded/killed by armed police, however their status is not known. The total number of shooters involved in this attack is also not known, but right now the count stands at 3x shooters taking part in the attack. At least one shooter did survive, as indicated by the videos of the incident taken by observers. Regarding the identities of the attackers, official confirmation of their name and status will take some time. However, photos of some of the shooter's drivers licenses have circulated social media in the hours after the attack. At least one of the attackers appears to be Naveed Akram, who had a NSW driver license. Germany: Yesterday a vehicle ramming attack was foiled by police, which involved a local terror cell in lower Bavaria. Local authorities state that 5x suspects have been arrested after they planned to carry out a vehicle ramming attack at a Christmas Market in the Dingolfing-Landau area. Analyst Comment: The suspects have not been identified by name, however their nationalities are: 1x Egyptian, 3x Moroccans, and 1x Syrian. All are currently being held in pre-trial detention, and more documents are expected to be released regarding how this plot was alleged to have been planned. -HomeFront- Rhode Island: Yesterday evening a mass shooting was reported at Brown University after a shooter opened fire during final exams near the Barus and Holley Engineering building on campus. 2x people were killed and 9x were wounded during the attack. Analyst Comment: The assailant egressed from the area after the shooting, which triggered a manhunt for several hours and prevented the scene from being secured for medical personnel to provide aid to the wounded. As of this morning, police state that they have one "person of interest" in custody regarding the case, however they stopped short of calling this person a suspect. Officially, the shooter has not been captured yet. No weapon was recovered from the scene, and the assailant was wearing a mask during the attack. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: In Germany, it must be noted that if this terror cell was rolled up by police, there are probably others which have not yet been detected. Five terrorists is NOT a lone-wolf-style attack, and heavily indicates a more hierarchical organization structure. Depending on how well this cell was organized and commanded, this could mean that other terrorists that haven't been detected yet might be motivated to accelerate their attack planning. Considering the success of the horrific attack in Australia, it's possible that other attacks are coming down the pipeline. As such, increased situational awareness and vigilance is strongly recommended as terrorism risks remain high this holiday season. Analyst: S2A1 Research:

S2 Underground GhostNotes

Introduction and Welcome - S2 Underground GhostNotes - Obsidian Publish

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Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report. //END REPORT//

This week's intel update is out 👍

//The Wire//2300Z December 11, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: AUSTRALIAN AGE VERIFICATION LAW COMES INTO EFFECT. ARRESTS MADE IN LAST WEEK'S STABBING ATTACK IN CHARLOTTE.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Australia: Yesterday Australia's Age Verification law came into effect for most websites, effectively blocking the vast majority of social media to the entire nation, unless users upload a scan of their face to prove that they are over 16 years old, and thus allowed to be on social media. Caribbean: The tanker vessel seized by the United States yesterday has been identified as the M/T *SKIPPER*, one of the infamous "shadow fleet" vessels which is used to smuggle oil around the world. The *SKIPPER* was her most recent name change, and at the time of capture she was flying the flag of Guyana (though her registration status is dubious at best). As of this afternoon, AIS ship tracking platforms noted her position being just off the east coast of St. Lucia, heading north at around 10 kts. -HomeFront- North Carolina: More details have come to light regarding the stabbing attack that took place on the Blue Line commuter train in Charlotte last week. Back on December 5th, a stabbing was reported on the train, with the assailant eventually being arrested. At the time of the incident, the attacker was not identified, but after a few days authorities said the attacker was Oscar Gerardo Solorzano-Garcia, an illegal immigrant from Honduras who had multiple warrants out for past violent crimes, to include aggravated battery with a deadly weapon. Analyst Comment: From here, the situation takes a rather unfortunate turn. Solorzano stabbed a man on the train, who was hospitalized with severe wounds. Earlier this week, the victim was identified as Kenyon Dobie, and was lauded as a hero during the attack because of his efforts to confront the attacker to stop him from harassing other commuters. Dobie did intervene, and prevented the attacker from bothering other passengers, which resulted in him getting stabbed in the process. However, after this news story hit the local media, and the victim made statements in front of the camera, Dobie (the victim) was arrested. Turns out, he had open warrants for his own arrest for beating a pregnant woman so severely she received skull fractures during a domestic dispute. Both Solorzano and Dobie are being held in jail due to Iryna's Law preventing their release. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comment: Unlike many other cases of Digital ID being mandated around the world, Australia has implemented even more dystopian procedures to take effect during this rollout. Of note, the social media platforms which are known to cause extreme harm to children (such as Discord and Roblox) are exempt from the social media ban. However, the platforms that are affected, are impacted in very specific ways. As one might expect, VPNs are popular ways to circumvent such crackdowns on speech. However, the IP addresses associated with VPNs are public record, so social media companies can easily blacklist those IPs, effectively making VPNs useless for evading the ban. At least some platforms have been observed using these blacklists (but not all). For those in the United Kingdom wondering about how their own Digital ID scandal will play out, this might be a clue; Australia is providing a case study for what a more totalitarian crackdown on communications throughout the global West might look like. How serious platforms are taking this plan is anyone's guess, and reports vary widely. Some users report no issues whatsoever with being prompted to verify their age, whereas others have reported every app they have now requiring a face scan. Some users report that they can simply put in a false date of birth with no verification at all, and others report their accounts being hard-locked even though the mandate doesn't apply to them. This wide variance is because most of the ID verification needs are being driven by AI in conjunction with a person's advertising ID; the way that this is rolling out in practice is that the ID verification requirement is being tailored for each individual human being and not simply a blanket policy for all platforms. In short, the AI models being relied upon already know if a person is over 16 years old, simply based on their online signature, and the digital fingerprints they leave behind. This is why some people don't notice the law taking affect at all, whereas others are hit pretty hard with the ID check requirements. But, the system isn't perfect, and many times users are prompted to give over extremely precious biometric data anyway. Many users have reported successfully bypassing the 3D face scans by using a classic trick...video games. Many popular video games have a character creation menu which people can hold their phone up to in order to pass the 3D head scan requirements which have become common now. Users have reported even more effectiveness by using the video game Death Stranding, which features a mode in the settings menu to make the character assume different facial expressions, opening and closing the mouth, and various other poses which are still effective in bypassing the AI-driven face scanning technology. In short, it's probably fair to assume that there are potentially tens of thousands of Norman Reedus's living in Australia and trying to access TikTok. This trick was discovered by children during the lead up to the implementation of Digital ID in the United Kingdom, and it still works for those who are trying to bypass the ID check systems. There is also a side-benefit to this effort, even for people who are legally accessing the internet and not trying to bypass the law. A major motivating factor for all of this crackdown on communication is the financial aspect....there's a LOT of money to be made from selling biometric data. Since there's now a massive pool of biometric data being collected and sold to the highest bidder, it's very likely that AI models are being trained off of this data....data which will 100% be used in other ways later on that have nothing to do with accessing Instagram. A high-resolution 3D scan of a person's face is very valuable, and once it's collected *and associated with a person's online identity* this is quite literally impossible to dissociate. Once Palantir has that data, that genie can't be put back into the bottle. As such, everyone using the same face is very likely to skew this data and make it harder for many other AI models to recognize faces in the future, so this little civil disobedience at least helps somewhat. This is very important information for the future of digital security, and the rollout of even more draconian Digital ID practices around the world. Analyst: S2A1 Research:

S2 Underground GhostNotes

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//The Wire//2300Z December 8, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: WAR REIGNITES IN SOUTHEAST ASIA AS BORDER CLASHES FLARE UP BETWEEN THAILAND AND CAMBODIA. MILITARY COUP ATTEMPTED IN BENIN.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Southeast Asia: Over the weekend hostilities recommenced between Thailand and Cambodia. What started the latest round of fighting is not clear, however Thailand has crossed into the disputed zone and occupied the village of Pairachan (also known locally as "Prey Chan" village). The US State Department has upgraded the travel alert for the region, due to the ongoing fighting along the border. Analyst Comment: As usual, both sides have accused the other of reigniting hostilities, and right now it's not clear who actually started what. Nevertheless, Thailand has been bombing Cambodia fairly regularly, and Cambodia has been launching unguided rockets at Thailand in return (even though Cambodia states that they have not retaliated). Sporadic fighting has been reported all along the front throughout the day, with most of the heavy shelling being confined to the border itself. No official word on any casualties yet, but Thai sources claim one of their soldiers was killed, while Cambodian sources claim 4 soldiers killed/wounded on their side. Africa: A brief military coup was attempted in the small nation of Benin over the weekend, which took the form of a low level military commander seizing a TV station and announcing that he had taken control of the government. Lieutenant Colonel Pascal Tigri announced the overthrowing of the government and the deposition of the President on television. Turns out, none of that had actually happened, and the TV station was the only location that rebel forces had actually captured. LTC Tigri and his platoon of soldiers were captured shortly afterwards. -HomeFront- Washington D.C. - This afternoon the Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that they will not be publishing the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the month of October, and the PPI report for November will be delayed until January. Analyst Comment: This follows the previous jobs report, the CPI report, and various other reports also not being available for October, reports which usually provide major indicators of how the economic is functioning. The PPI specifically is intended to track the changes in the prices of goods at the producer-level, and is normally used in comparison with the CPI (and other reports) to gauge how major manufacturers and big industry in general is doing. Inferences can be made without this specific dataset, however when a major report is not available this causes problems with data analysis. With the economy, "no news" is usually covering up "bad news", as a rule of thumb. Either way, it's not possible to know what the story is without the data. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comment: For the aspiring warlords of the world, in order for a military coup to be successful, it's generally advised to actually seize control of government before making the announcement of such. Some units loyal to LTC Tigri were successful in closing a few border checkpoints, however no actual key sites were seized by the rebels before making the announcement on TV. Most interestingly, the neighboring nation of Nigeria assisted in providing air support for the government of Benin to help put down the coup attempt. This is part of a long-standing security pact, and mostly took the form of Nigerian aircraft flying over important sites in Benin (such as military bases, checkpoints, etc) to see if anyone on the ground would shoot at them (and thus reveal their allegiance to the rebels). Or at least, that seems to be the theory used during the response. In some cases, Nigerian aircraft were fired upon with small arms, and at least one report exists that alleges Nigerian aircraft dropping a bomb in Benin. Locals in Benin have taken to social media to claim that Nigeria is currently invading Benin, while Benin's government is trying to suppress a coup. This wouldn't be the first time an African nation pounced on their neighbor during a time of weakness, but right now it looks like Nigeria is not actually invading Benin, at least not yet. Analyst: S2A1 Research:

S2 Underground GhostNotes

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This week's intel update is out 👍

//The Wire//2300Z December 4, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: ENOCH BURKE INDEFINITELY JAILED IN IRELAND. J6 PIPE BOMBER ALLEGEDLY IDENTIFIED.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Ireland: Yesterday Enoch Burke was sentenced to an indefinite prison term as the culmination of a long-standing scandal comes to a head. Burke was initially arrested for refusing to use a transgender person's pronouns during his job as a teacher back in 2022. Burke did not bow to this agenda, and desired to continue his job of being a medical teacher as he had done for many years. This snowballed into a gargantuan legal battle over the past few years, which has culminated in his termination from employment. He has been imprisoned several times since this scandal first began years ago. The court cleared him of speech crimes some time ago, but the school was able to find a judge who would help them ban him from the school grounds, but more specifically hold him indefinitely as long as he resisted their efforts to make him cave to their demands, namely that he use the pronouns. Burke has continually tried to return to his job and physically enter the school to continue teaching (attempts which have been regular over the past few years), but this has now been shut down due to him being arrested and held in jail indefinitely. Analyst Comment: This situation is obviously a longer saga that has been developing for some time. Burke, desiring to continue his work and return to the time before one student tried to ruin his life, has dug his heels in and turned activist, using his situation as an example of the sheer mental illness that has become enshrined in all facets of society. At this point, the two issues are now merged (the trespassing and the pronoun use). Burke is being indirectly targeted in this way because of his views on the transgender agenda, and the only way they could bag him was to get him for trespassing while he tries to continue his profession that was stable before the insanity began. Now, it seems that the proverbial final hill has been arrived at (maybe). Burke will be held in prison indefinitely as long as he refuses to cave to the trans agenda, and whatever fantastical charges they can come up with will be applied if he doesn't do so. Right now, he's effectively been sentenced to life in prison for contempt of court as this Irish-standoff situation will continue for as long as he holds out. All of the pro-trans mainstream media are quick to "Fact Check" this situation, even though the persecution is clear as day. If Burke were to cave to the insanity, the trespassing charges would be dropped, and he would immediately be re-employed without question, even if nothing more than to serve as a reminder that the insane ideologies of the day will break anyone. So far, however, Burke has not broken and he will be in prison for what is likely to be a very, very long time because of it (unless the situation changes due to national outrage, which has been building). -HomeFront- Washington D.C. - This afternoon, the infamous J6 pipe bomber was allegedly identified as Brian Cole Jr. of northern Virginia. A raid was conducted at Cole's home, which resulted in his arrest. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comment: This case is probably one of the most sketchy situations to come to light regarding the entire J6 fiasco, and this is a massive can of worms that has been debated endlessly over the past few years. As a bit of backstory, for the longest time, the general theory was that the J6 pipe bomber was a government agent of some kind, as evidenced by the wealth of Congressional testimony involved in the years after the incident. There were a lot of suspect things that day, but the pipe bomber story smelled like the classic clandestine shenanigans that occur within the Beltway, so that was the assumption for the longest time. Last month, The Blaze published a report which reportedly relied upon gait-analysis techniques to identify the way the alleged bomber walked. This analysis produced a name, who they claimed was a DC police officer at the time, who transitioned to being employed by the CIA. At the time, this report seemed far-fetched, mostly because the gait-analysis (which is a real analytic technique) relied upon too many variables for any sort of conclusion to be arrived at beyond reasonable doubt. At the time, this line of analysis was interesting, but mostly a shortfall as the field of criminal justice requires a lot more than experimental analysis to be definitive. Gait Analysis is a real thing in the world of intelligence analysis and good for indicators and other very specific investigative needs, but Positive ID is hard to do. As such, this initial report was mostly ignored by anyone serious; journalists are not professional investigators, nor do they often rely upon Structured Analytic Techniques to form an analysis. Plus, the integrity of journalists (particularly The Blaze in general) is called into question due to long-standing issues; journalists have many different motives to conduct such efforts. However, the timing of today's arrest is incredibly suspect and without question points to something going on here. The Blaze may or may not have been wrong in their initial assessment of who the bomber was...but they certainly kicked the hornet's nest enough that federal agencies felt the need to actually produce a name and tie up this case in a neat little bow. Adding to this is the sheer unbelievable nature of the evidence presented against Cole in the unsealed indictment...the FBI quite literally had his license plate number recovered at the scene, his cell phone data pinged him at the location, in real time, as he walked through DC, and his credit card history neatly listed all of the components of the IEDs which he purchased from various hardware stores. And apparently...it took the FBI conducting a nationwide manhunt over a period of *five years* to identify him. Quite literally all of this is wild speculation at best, but right now anyone remotely familiar with how Washington works is fairly certain that something is afoot with this case. For five years, not one single shred of investigation was conducted to identify the bomber, and yet just a few short days after a news groups gets close to the truth, suddenly an entire investigation is conducted start-to-finish. Grandmas walking their dog at the wrong time on that day were arrested and interrogated instantly, but this guy presented an entire binder full of evidence and somehow it took years to identify him. Everyone would have safely ignored The Blaze's outlandish theory if the FBI had done nothing, but now the timing of all of this points to this whole affair being incredibly suspicious. It's always possible that The Blaze is correct, however at this point what's vastly more likely is that the feds don't want anyone poking around any more, so they offered up a name to stop people from looking. As to the reasoning for why federal agencies want to put this issue to bed right now, it's impossible to know based on the information that we have been given. Maybe people were getting too close to the truth, maybe the people who organized the plot still work for various intelligence agencies, maybe many other different clandestine operations are going on to this day, which prying eyes might disrupt. It's impossible to know. Brian Cole Jr. may or may not be the suspect in one of the most suspicious days in American history. But what's quite clear is that the FBI is very much interested in making the American people *think* it's him. Analyst: S2A1 Research:

S2 Underground GhostNotes

Introduction and Welcome - S2 Underground GhostNotes - Obsidian Publish

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Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report. //END REPORT//

//The Wire//2300Z December 2, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: UNITED KINGDOM OFFICIALLY LAUNCHES PLAN TO END TRIAL BY JURY IN MOST CASES. PRESIDENT TRUMP STATES THAT KINETIC AIRSTRIKES MAY BEGIN SOON IN VENEZUELA OR OTHER NATIONS.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- United Kingdom: This morning Justice Secretary David Lammy announced the previously mentioned plan involving the removal of the right to trial by jury, reversing 800 years of legal precedent throughout the nation. A new category of "Swift Courts" will be created, allowing for rapid verdicts to be issued for crimes where a guilty verdict would result in a sentence of less than three years imprisonment. -HomeFront- Washington D.C. - President Trump stated that airstrikes within Venezuela might begin soon, and might not be contained to Venezuela itself. Per statements made by President Trump himself, the US will target narcotics traffickers in any nation that conducts such activities. Analyst Comment: The comments made during today's press conference were vague, which is to be expected due to the secrecy needed to ensure the success of the impending military operation. Nevertheless, this is probably as clear of an indication and warning as we're going to get regarding the shifting of the operation to including ground-based airstrikes. Probably the biggest revelation is that the comments made today confirm what has obviously been building for some time; the US is not necessarily interested in just Venezuela. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: Around the United States winter weather conditions have arrived as significant snowfall was reported throughout the northeastern and mid-atlantic regions. Multiple traffic pileups were reported from Missouri to Connecticut, and a snowfall record was reported in Louisville overnight. States of Emergency have been reported in several states, which were not prepared for roughly a foot of snow. Every year the first wave of winter weather highlights gaps in personal preparedness in the form of calamity on the highways. As winter gets underway this year it would be wise to remember budgetary cutbacks which have reduced capabilities this season in many jurisdictions. For example, the village of Vernon, Wisconsin (a small municipality outside Milwaukee), approved a 47% budget reduction for the Public Works department earlier this year, so staffing delays and long wait times for road plowing have been reported. This is an important planning factor for many locations this year, as dwindling resources remain common in many small towns. Analyst: S2A1 Research:

S2 Underground GhostNotes

Introduction and Welcome - S2 Underground GhostNotes - Obsidian Publish

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Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report. //END REPORT//

//The Wire//2300Z December 1, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: AFGHAN ARRESTED IN TEXAS AFTER MAKING THREATS ON TIKTOK. ULTIMATUM ISSUED TO MADURO IN VENEZUELA.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -HomeFront- Texas: Following the terrorist attack in Washington D.C. last week, The Department of Homeland Security announced the arrest of another Afghan national, who was arrested due to making terroristic threats online. Mohammad Dawood Alokozay was arrested after threatening to construct an explosive device to use to attack a building in Fort Worth. Analyst Comment: The arrest in Texas is unrelated to the incident in Washington; the Texas arrest occurred the day prior to the D.C. attack that killed one solider and wounded another. The suspects in both cases, however, were part of the same Operation Allies Welcome migration program. California: Over the weekend a mass shooting was reported in Stockton as a suspected gang hit took place at a children's birthday party. 4x people were killed during the attack, and dozens more were wounded. This incident was the result of Filipino gang members shooting into a crowd of around 150x people, who were gathered at the Monkey Space Event Venue on Lucile Avenue. The primary target was a local rapper by the name of "MBNel" along with "Fly Boy Doughy" (of the Fly Boy Crips gang), who were attending a birthday celebration of a young family member. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: Down south, details of the talks between the United States and Venezuela have come to light, indicating diplomatic options are not working out. All of this is rumor at the moment, however in the interest of expediency it's worth being aware of. On Sunday, President Trump conducted a phone call with Nicolas Maduro, the contents of which have not been released. However, observers that were in the room leaked the gist of the call (probably with permission), which involved President Trump issuing an ultimatum to Maduro...resign and flee the country right now with close family members, or else. Maduro rejected this deal, and his counteroffer involved leaving the country, but also retaining control of the military. At this point the details are more unclear, however the general atmospherics are that the US obviously rejected this option. That's where things stand right now; the ultimatum brings the unstoppable force to an otherwise immovable object. Until something happens, there's not much to go on as this potential war lies solely on the decisions made by the White House. The United States has not been entirely forthcoming as to the reasons for ousting Maduro, which makes risk assessments difficult. Whatever the reason, be it for oil/gas, mineral rights, drugs, or even just to oust a powerful figure from American spheres of influence, a war on in the American hemisphere is certain to impact daily life here in the United States in ways that probably aren't apparent until it happens. If a "leave now" ultimatum is being issued, this is probably an indication and warning of the late stages of a military mission planning. This is most sharply evidenced by President Trump himself announcing the closure of airspace in Venezuela, which has presented even more indicators that the hour may be approaching in which the war goes hot. It's never too late for either side to back down and work out the dispute, but right now no indications are present on either side that suggest conflict will be avoided. Analyst: S2A1 Research:

S2 Underground GhostNotes

Introduction and Welcome - S2 Underground GhostNotes - Obsidian Publish

Not Found File S2 Underground PUBLISH/00 START HERE/Introduction and Welcome.md does not exist.

Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report. //END REPORT//