Blake launch curve
$100→$400→$1,500→$600
Chat says:
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A liquid launch might have 2–3M coins offered and $100–300M demand. That probably produces something like $50–$200 BLAKE.
A constrained launch might have 500k–1.5M coins offered and $250–750M demand. That gets you into roughly $200–$1,500 territory.
And an extreme squeeze could have <500k genuinely available while several hundred million dollars tries to establish a position. That's where you could get temporarily stupid prices—$2,000, $5,000, maybe more—without those prices representing durable long-term value.
And then the market starts performing its own coin-splitting incentive program:
P↑⇒$ value of dormant BLAKE↑⇒more people learn to claim⇒float expands⇒P↓
That could make launch look something like:
$100→$400→$1,500→$600
View quoted note →
gojiberra
gojiberra@nsec.app
npub1g49u...tqvs
figuring it all out
I appreciate your humor, insight, and your post whether or not I agree
Chief Vacuum Tube Maintainer at the Piggy Bank
https://github.com/gjbrr/bitcoin-deposit-booklet
BLAKE price = 348$ ??
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20 million BLAKE will exist
remove lost, custodied coins: River estimates 55% self-custody
~9M BLAKE available for sale
apply $1000 hassle cost
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"If it opens at $20, huge quantities may simply remain inaccessible/dormant because claiming them isn't worth the trouble or risk.
low price→low effective float
and
high price→rapidly expanding float
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Take representative prices of $3, $40, $250, $1,000 and $3,000:
E[P]=.30(3)+.30(40)+.22(250)+.13(1000)+.05(3000)
which gives roughly:
E[P]≈$348
Take representative prices of $3, $40, $250, $1,000 and $3,000:
E[P]=.30(3)+.30(40)+.22(250)+.13(1000)+.05(3000)
which gives roughly:
E[P]≈$348
if it costs ~$1000 to setup node to transact on blakecoin:
$100 BLAKE → 10 BTC holders activate
$500 BLAKE → 2 BTC holders activate
$1,000 BLAKE → 1 BTC holders activate
$2,000 BLAKE → 0.5 BTC holders activate
$10,000 BLAKE → 0.1 BTC holders activate
Chat tells me if we match this to the shrimp/crab/whale distribution, we could find a "Supply curve for bitcoin". i currently can't find that graphic.
Maybe exchanges will list blakecoin wallets separately, and that will enable much more supply at lower prices.
according to lifestyle clip: tip the waiter at the beginning of the meal
does anyone do this?
it makes a lot of sense... however, it seems like it would confuse the waiter...