Judge Hardcase's avatar
Judge Hardcase
npub1k7v6...7ehv
Judge Hardcase's avatar
Judge Hardcase 15 hours ago
FWIW, my personal model for projecting BTC estimated bottom is ~$62.5K. Obviously, yesterday's ~$61K broke my model... but just barely. I'm going to chalk it up to a failure in precision rather than in accuracy, and am declaring the bottom is now in. Much lower, though, and I'll have to admit to myself that my model is junk (which TBH wouldn't really surprise me ๐Ÿ˜‰) *BTW, the reason February's ~60K hadn't already broke my model was at that time the estimated bottom was only ~55K.
FTX was a fraud because they were opaquely using customers' assets to fund investments - which only came to light because those investments turned out to be bad investments. Strategy's #STRC customers don't have to worry about this because technically, STRC isn't directly backed by any assets. That is, Strategy *could* decide to use all of its Bitcoin holdings to fund bad investments (that may or may not be dependent on BTC performance), and their STRC customers would just be SOL - regardless of BTC price. In short, what distinguishes STRC from a Ponzi is transparency; but, make no mistake, it's definitely, as @Lyn Alden put it, "Ponzi adjacent".
Nostr is amazing freedom technology! Also, if you think 200 replies a day would feel to restrictive, go touch some grass. Also, if you make 50 original posts in 1 day, you're getting unfollowed. ๐Ÿ˜‰ View quoted note โ†’
"Noobs should be able to send/receive Bitcoin secured only by ther nsec" "Noobs shouldn't have to worry about securing their nsec to use Nostr" This doesn't end well for noobs... and therefore, nor does it for the adoption of Nostr.
#STRC back at $100 par + #STRC monthly dividend lock-in coming this week = expect #STRC issuance to resume in full force #MSTR well above 1.22 mNav break-even cited by Strategy for #BTC purchases. Strategy USD reserves well below 2-year dividend coverage target. So, will Strategy use #STRC to buy #BTC or to repletion USD reserves? Will they raise even more capital by issuing more #MSTR for either purpose as well? All signs point to all of the above - despite recent signalling (the obvious) that they will "probably sell some of their Bitcoin eventually".
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