The 2008 financial crisis did not appear out of nowhere. It was manufactured, step by step, by the Federal Reserve, Congress, and a constellation of Wall Street banks who all correctly understood that the government would socialize their losses.
Start with the Fed. After the dot-com crash in 2000, Alan Greenspan dropped the federal funds rate from 6.5% down to 1% by 2003 and held it there. That rate was artificially cheap credit, flooding the banking system with money that had no corresponding real savings behind it. Banks, mortgage originators, and ordinary homebuyers responded exactly as you would expect: they borrowed. Heavily. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, two government-sponsored entities with implicit federal backing, purchased and securitized trillions of dollars in mortgages, signaling to every lender on Earth that the credit risk ultimately sat with the taxpayer. Lenders stopped caring whether borrowers could repay. Why would they? They were selling the risk upstream immediately.
The instruments got exotic fast. Mortgage-backed securities, collateralized debt obligations, CDOs-squared: layers of complexity designed not to manage risk but to obscure it from ratings agencies like Moody's and S&P, both of which stamped AAA on paper that was, in plain terms, garbage. Free market economists who studied credit expansion had warned since the 1930s that artificial booms create the very busts governments then claim to be rescuing you from. Washington ignored these warnings.
By 2006 the housing market peaked. By 2007 subprime delinquencies were spiking. By September 2008 Lehman Brothers had failed, the Fed had engineered a shotgun rescue of Bear Stearns, and Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson was on his knees (literally, reportedly) in a congressional meeting room begging Nancy Pelosi for $700 billion. The Troubled Asset Relief Program passed. The Fed's balance sheet exploded from roughly $900 billion to over $2 trillion in weeks.
The people who took the risks kept their bonuses. The people who saw the crisis coming got ignored. The people who built nothing and understood nothing got bailed out with money conjured from thin air. The Fed then cut rates to near zero, held them there for years, and inflated the next bubble before the last one had even finished deflating.
